Despite breathless climate reporting about ever more fire
The US burned area last year was the lowest this century
It was less than 7% of the 1930s
Climate does increase the burned area
but zoning and forest management are much more important
Thread + refs
The US burned area last year was the lowest this century
It was less than 7% of the 1930s
Climate does increase the burned area
but zoning and forest management are much more important
Thread + refs
We actually have good decadal estimates of US burned area from 1900
2023 saw less than 3% of the area that burned each year in 1900s (1900-1909)
data credibility: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.…
nifc.gov/fire-informati…
2023 saw less than 3% of the area that burned each year in 1900s (1900-1909)
data credibility: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.…
nifc.gov/fire-informati…
https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1353012754462998529
Climate change played a minor role in the wildfires that devastated California in the past three years, a panel of experts said
blaming most on land management and development.
"25% ...from climate change, and 75% is the way we manage lands"
eenews.net/stories/106202…
blaming most on land management and development.
"25% ...from climate change, and 75% is the way we manage lands"
eenews.net/stories/106202…
Reduction in US burn in the middle of last century is likely due to fire suppression
Part of the uptick over the past decades likely due to climate
But we're badly informed, when e.g. Economist tell us “wildfire in America has quadrupled in 40 years”
economist.com/graphic-detail…
Part of the uptick over the past decades likely due to climate
But we're badly informed, when e.g. Economist tell us “wildfire in America has quadrupled in 40 years”
economist.com/graphic-detail…
And no, US forest area has not decreased since 1900
actually, it has slightly increased
(p7)fs.usda.gov/sites/default/…
actually, it has slightly increased
(p7)fs.usda.gov/sites/default/…
If the entire world keeps burning a crazy amount of fossil fuels
annual burned area in the US will stay about constant
EPA estimates for the Fourth National Climate Assessment, cfpub.epa.gov/si/si_public_r…
annual burned area in the US will stay about constant
EPA estimates for the Fourth National Climate Assessment, cfpub.epa.gov/si/si_public_r…
If the entire world reduces CO₂ emissions dramatically — about 70% from RCP8.5 — it means just slightly lower burned area in 2100
It should be obvious that zoning and forest management is much quicker, cheaper and will help many more people better, faster
It should be obvious that zoning and forest management is much quicker, cheaper and will help many more people better, faster
More houses are being built in high-risk areas for wildfires
Maybe our first wildfire policy should focus much more on stopping people from building in vulnerable areas?
And then better fire regulation for those who stay?
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Maybe our first wildfire policy should focus much more on stopping people from building in vulnerable areas?
And then better fire regulation for those who stay?
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Despite breathless climate reporting about ever-more fires
US fires burn 5-10x less today
Even with extreme climate emissions, area burned stays about same across century
Climate does increase burned area,
but zoning and forest management much more important
US fires burn 5-10x less today
Even with extreme climate emissions, area burned stays about same across century
Climate does increase burned area,
but zoning and forest management much more important
https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1353012739736817666
Contrary to what you constantly hear in the media
Global fire in 2023 burned 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 than normal
Yes, Canada burned very much more (constantly reported), but surely the media should also tell you that US, Africa and Europe burned much less?
gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.stat…
Global fire in 2023 burned 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 than normal
Yes, Canada burned very much more (constantly reported), but surely the media should also tell you that US, Africa and Europe burned much less?
gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.stat…
Climate alarmists scare us of ever more fire
But NASA satellites show that the world is burning 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨
Why don't we hear this?
wsj.com/articles/clima…
archive.ph/WfDJh
modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/dataprod/…
But NASA satellites show that the world is burning 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨
Why don't we hear this?
wsj.com/articles/clima…
archive.ph/WfDJh
modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/dataprod/…
https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1741116561304228073
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