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Jan 19, 2024 17 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/ At least 2,500 scientists are reported to have left Russia since the start of the war in Ukraine in February 2022 and the number of published scientific papers has collapsed. This comes as the result of isolation due to sanctions, visa restrictions and state paranoia. ⬇️ Image
2/ Novaya Gazeta Europe (NGE) reports on the outcome of a survey of the international ORCID database, which lists more than 20 million scientists globally. Registration in ORCID is mandatory for publishing employees of large Russian universities.
3/ The data indicates more than 130,000 scientists resident in Russia in October 2023. The share of these changing their residence from Russia to a foreign country was practically unchanged from 2012 to 2021, but jumped to 30% in 2022.
4/ NGE estimates that, based on the trendlines, around 2,500 scientists have emigrated since 2022. The number of foreign scientists choosing to come to Russia has also dropped by over two-thirds.
5/ Many of the emigrants are likely to be younger people, as older, more established scientists face more professional and personal difficulties from emigration. Younger men are also more likely to be subjected to mobilisation and have a bigger incentive to leave Russia.
6/ According to one university professional interviewed by NGE, "the best are trying to leave immediately after completing their bachelor’s, master’s and postgraduate studies." Unlike IT workers, scientists are not exempted from being mobilised to fight in Ukraine.
7/ While most emigrating Russian scientists left for the US, Germany and the UK before the war, since February 2023 other destinations have been prefered, in particular Uzbekistan, Armenia, Kyrgyzstan and the UAE with a 300% growth in Russian scientific immigration.
8/ The top three destinations are now Germany, the US and Israel – which has had a 175% increase. However, Russian scientific immigration to the UK, France and the US has fallen by more than 20%.
9/ The impact on Russian science is already visible, with a sharp fall in the number and quality of published papers. The share of global science attributed to Russia has fallen from 2-3% to only 1-2%. Russian participation in international scientific conferences has shrunk.
10/ The collapse has been particularly noticeable in the proportion of academic conference papers with a Russia-affiliated author. Around 35,000 had at least one Russia-based author in 2021 but this dropped to about 20,000 in 2022 and only about 11,000 in 2023.
11/ One publication, the UK-based Journal of Physics: Conference Series, illustrates this trend starkly: papers by Russian authors presented in the series fell from nearly 6,000 in 2021 to only 106 by November 2023, despite Russia traditionally being a leader in physics research.
12/ The reasons for this are not hard to find. Scientists are often physically unable to attend conferences due to visa restrictions and bans on direct flights between Russia and the West. Russian scientists were also removed from international collaborative programmes.
13/ Russian scientists report an growing atmosphere of fear and paranoia at home, as well as a shortage of equipment and scientific supplies due to sanctions. Contact and collaboration with foreigners is regarded with increasing suspicion by the authorities.
14/ In some instances, distinguished scientists working on hypersonics and quantum technology have been charged with treason and illegally sharing information in a number of high-profile cases, even though they are said to have had official permission to collaborate.
15/ The impact on Russian science is likely to last for decades. The losses are not all one way, however, as Russia's withdrawal from the global scientific community is likely to hinder collective efforts on issues such as climate change. /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Sep 17
1/ The Russian Black Sea Fleet is reportedly in a "systemic crisis" due to manpower problems, a recruitment campaign that is mainly attracting "chronic alcoholics and drug addicts", and ongoing systemic corruption involving stealing repair funds for unseaworthy ships. ⬇️ Image
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports that, according to a source, "All vacations have been cancelled, units are overcrowded, and newly arrived contract soldiers are being massively appointed to key positions in the crews."
3/ "About 70% of them are chronic alcoholics and drug addicts. For such “fighters”, the Black Sea Fleet administration has come up with a special “punishment” – transfer to the 810th Separate Marine Brigade.
Read 13 tweets
Sep 16
1/ South Korea's government has announced that it is launching an investigation into human rights abuses said to have been carried out by the United States' ICE agency against South Korean workers deported from Georgia, following further damaging testimony from the deportees. ⬇️ Image
2/ The government said today that it "plans to immediately begin a joint investigation involving the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Justice, and the company regarding the human rights violations against our citizens detained in the US state of Georgia."
3/ "To this end, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs is currently consulting with the company representatives." An official says it "will need to discuss specific investigation methods with the company representatives ... We expect to begin as soon as preparations are complete."
Read 19 tweets
Sep 16
1/ Prominent Russian sources are warning that soldiers returning from Ukraine, many of them with PTSD and unable to find jobs, are prime candidates for recruitment into crime and terrorism – especially highly-skilled drone operators. ⬇️ Image
2/ Former Roscosmos head Dmitry Rogozin notes that in just one Russian drone unit, "there are dozens of highly qualified pilot-operators with hundreds of combat sorties and thousands of flight hours", with more having already returned home after completing their contract.
3/ He questions what they will do after the war: "[In] modern cities there are hundreds of thousands of different surveillance cameras, servers with software for decrypting numbers and recognizing faces, but all of them will be useless if suddenly illegal actions are committed…
Read 23 tweets
Sep 16
1/ Russia's Zapad-2025 military exercises have come in for bitter criticism from Russian warbloggers for being a "circus performance" and "dogshit", that ignores the lessons of the war in Ukraine and showcases irrelevant capabilities. ⬇️
2/ The Zapad exercises, which were last held in 2021, are a heavily scripted demonstration of Russian military capabilities. Unlike NATO exercises, they make little contribution to improving military skills, as Russia's failures in 2022 showed vividly.
3/ 'Military Informant' highlights the demonstrations of low-level bombing and airborne landings as particularly pointless, as both capabilities performed disastrously at the start of the invasion and have been used little or not at all since:
Read 24 tweets
Sep 16
1/ After nearly three years of war, the few survivors of Russia's September 2022 mobilisation have had enough. A bitter commentary by four 2022-vintage 'mobiks' highlights the war-weariness and frustration being felt. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Vokzhak' writes:

"THINGS WE CAN'T TALK ABOUT

This is a difficult topic and not pleasant for everyone, but here I will try to express as correctly as possible the consolidated opinion of my friends, those guys who were called up with me in '22 and who are still alive."
3/ [Mobik 1]: "We are not newbies anymore. We are burned out as hell. I am going to the combat mission and I don't care what will happen there, whether they will kill me or not, whether we will complete the task...
Read 10 tweets
Sep 16
1/ Russia is bogged down in its Sumy pocket in north-eastern Ukraine, a prominent Russian warblogger admits. The 'Two Majors' channel reports that the situation is difficult due to Ukraine's large-scale drone attacks and calls out commanders for lying. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Two Majors' writes:

"Sumy direction. Not everything is so easy. Overview:"
3/ "While the official and departmental channels are forced to write on the command of senior chiefs that ‘creation of a security strip’ and the notorious ‘buffer zone’ is underway, the situation remains difficult.
Read 12 tweets

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