Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 30 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
The Iranian proxy forces had this cheap victory of US forces using a drone version of a 82 year old tactic that torpedoed the USS Yorktown (CV-5) at the battle of Midway.

The Iranian drone followed closely behind a US drone to get past air defenses, just like the IJN torpedo
1/
Flight deck view of U.S.S. YORKTOWN after IJN torpedo plane attack (4 June 1942).
...planes did at Midway and Japanese Kamikazes did in the last 11 months of WW2.

It is very likely the trailed US drone had no IFF transponder at all, as the MX12B micro Mode 5 Identify Friend or Foe (IFF) transponder was only certified in 2021.

2/
defenseadvancement.com/news/mode-5-if…
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In all likelihood these dead servicemen are victims of a sluggish Pentagon procurement system geared to maximize the opportunities for Congressional campaign contributions and post DoD career opportunities.

The need for micro-IFF Transponders for small drones was a stated

3/
...military requirement in the late 1990's, that is, 30(+) years ago.

This was in the aftermath of 1994 American friendly fire deaths when two USAF F-15's shot down two UH-60 Blackhawk over Kurdistan in 1994.

4/
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Blac…
And even if the US drone approaching Tower 22 had a MX12B micro Mode 5 IFF transponder, there is no guarantee procedures for its use in an air tasking order were being followed.

It wasn't in 1994, which is one of the reasons why 26 US military and civilians were killed.

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Getting electronic identification friend or foe right takes highly professional, multi-service and well trained air defenders.

A skill category that the US Military ran into the ground early in the post Cold War "Peace Dividend."

Demobilization is always a deliberate policy
6/
...of firing all the best & most skilled specialists in the military, government and industry as "unnecessary costs."

They are always the first let go under the "End of History" delusion.

It has ever been thus in the USA.

7/
And US Military always pays dearly via:

"Learning by Doing,
Learning by Dying"

...to get those specialist military skills back again in the next war.

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More from @TrentTelenko

Jul 27
This is a "Flaming datum" of the complete "Lanchester Square Collapse" of Russian ground based strategic air defenses.

Most VKS high altitude SAM batteries went to Ukraine...

...and died.

A Strategic Implications🧵
1/
Russian air space is as vulnerable to high altitude penetrations as it was in the 1950's.

Rather than needing SRAM's to deal with ground launched SAM batteries.

2/
twz.com/28180/b-52-wou…
B-52's with a powerful AESA radar and a dozen SM-6/AIM-174 will overmatch any Russian Fighter air to air missile.

Especially since a B-52 could use the SM-6 booster stage on the AIM-174 that is too heavy for carrier landings on an F-18.

3/
twz.com/air/aim-174-mi…


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Read 5 tweets
Jul 27
What is scary for me here is that Crooks used a commercial drone to do final surveillance of site security before his attack.

That, and this letter, indicates to me that USSS at Butler PA lacked both drone detection capability and drone jamming guns, as well as drones.

1/
It also tracks with the USSS technological backwardness with the complete lack of visible gunfire location sensors at the Butler, PA rally.

Raytheon's McKinney, TX facilities dealing with such kit were local to me in 2010

2/
spacewar.com/reports/Acoust…


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...when I worked for DCMA Dallas.

I'd have thought every USSS Presidential candidate detail would have had them by 2016, let alone 2024.

@dbongino and @susancrabtree should be asking questions about this since no one else wants to go there.

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Read 4 tweets
Jul 26
The idea that there is any such thing as "Cover" from an FPV drone is purest copium.

Drone operators can land their FPV's and wait if you have have a hatch or door they cannot fly through.

1/
And when you are in any place that has an opening for radio signals and a quadcopter.

Infantry are going to lose close quarters battle fights with a high explosive kamikazes.

2/
And FPV's can follow trails under camouflage nets right into heavy weapon positions.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Jul 25
While this is true about Ex-Soviet arms stockpiles versus new production.⬇️

The thing to watch like a hawk is Russian railway operations.

Russian railway watch🧵
1/
The Russian railways living on Cold War rolling stock (40%) & infrastructure, now ended contracting out to Europe, and now has less advanced Chinese rail contractors, means Russia is on right side of the curve below.

2/
Russian railway car trucks (illustrative photo⬇️) rely upon Western SKF & Amsted cassette bearings that have not been supplied since May 2022 and the Russian co-production facilities were shut down from a lack of proprietary software...

3/

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Read 7 tweets
Jul 23
It has been clear for about 18 months that the Ukrainian military has put in the time to master and digest the materials in the US Strategic Bombing Surveys for lessons on how to take down an industrial economy.

The latest rail ferry strike is just the latest example.
USSBS🧵
1/

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The USSBS made a big fat hairy deal about Japanese railway ferry's moving coal from Hokkaido to Honshu.

Ukraine learned that lesson for Crimea⬇️

2/
The top level summary USSBS reports are filled with political agenda.

The lower level reports feeding into those summaries have a lot of really useful economic data that is still applicable today.

Those reports aren't used anywhere near enough by 21st century analysts.

3/
German aircraft factory shop floor
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Read 11 tweets
Jul 22
This was the "Biden vs Trump Debate moment" for USSS Director Cheatle.

In a situation as "1st shot at Fort Sumter" volatile as this, Cheatle needed to "Come to Jesus," be 100% truthful & offer a full mea culpa admitting to her follies.

She didn't.

1/
Lest the heavens fall🧵
Worse, both she and her superior DHS Secretary Mayorkas were very publicly caught out as lying on the most important facts regarding the lack of protection for former President Trump.

2/
I am still in the "Incompetence leading to culpable negligence" camp on the Trump rally shooting.

Culpable negligence that created an opportunity for a nutjob hearing Ross Perot in his tooth fillings to take a shot.

3/
Read 17 tweets

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