auonsson Profile picture
Mar 11, 2024 15 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The trio of Russian war transports continue west in the Med, passing south Sardinia.

Anyone with more naval expertise care to comment on Sparta's maneuvers? @FouthTimeLucky @IntercityFC @OptimisticCon

If i let my own sunday-sailor imagination run wild it looks like patrols?
@FouthTimeLucky @IntercityFC @OptimisticCon It does not stop. Had I not known better I would think this is three sailboats beating upwind.... But it is three Russian quite motorized ships.
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Russian trio of absurdly maneuvering war transport ships in the Med last 24 hours:

continued sailboatsmovements, tightening of formation, going back and forth.

Last days tracks in relation to yearly traffic in next post.
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Russian trio of absurdly maneuvering war transport ships in the Med last 24 hours:

Closing in on Gibraltar, slightly increased speeds. Threat behind them now?
Said ships in relation to other traffic. They are not exactly alone. Great ship spotting opportunity for passing seamen! Please provide photographic proof of spot.
Russian trio of absurdly maneuvering war transport ships in the Med, heading for Baltics, last 12 hours:

Gibraltar by nightfall. 0.5 mile get together this morning. Possibly being met by a Spanish patrol ship.
Morning get together. Lasted just a few minutes according to AIS, so I doubt time for STS of fuel not cargo. Image
Russian trio of absurdly maneuvering war transport ships passing STROG for Baltics, last 12 hours:

Ships spread out over a ~45 mile distance. Sparta IV and Yaz were briefly visually inspected by a small UK Royal Navy boat. No other mil vessels seen, but AIS is often incomplete
Ursa Major took the lead through STROG and was photographed by @key2med . The two following are passing after dark.

Each of the three conspicious russian ships where checked out by Portugese navy as they passed Portugal, if I understand this post correctly.

The RU ship trio has really spread out, 500 NMi between them.
2.5 days til Ursa Major pass the Danish straits, ie at this speed in daylight.

Wonder if the naval tanker Kola that left Baltiysk a few days back for unknown (?) reason might be involved? @Drox_Maritime @skateparken Image
Allegedly the trio were escorted by frigate Grigorovich til Gibraltar. So likely a precious cargo. Thanks @IntercityFC

This precious cargo will start arriving to Baltics in 2-3 days. Image

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More from @auonsson

Jan 30
4 days ago Baltic States + UK wrote a letter interpreted as "Baltic Sea closing for shadow fleet".

No sanctioned tanker has arrived since (unusual*) but coming 24-36h the claim will get its first test with 5 sanctioned tankers inbound. Image
* It is unusual to not see daily sanctioned tanker arrive to Baltic Sea, usually a few each day.

But, the last 4 days lull ismight be explained by weather: Atlantic storms, low temperature and an increasingly frozen Gulf of Finland.
The ice is growing thicc around Russia's Baltic oil terminals.

Ice data outlets list a bunch of ice-breakers in service, but other sources have stated Russia lack capacity to keep the ice-sensitive rust-bucket tankers in play. Image
Read 10 tweets
Jan 17
Underappreciated fact:

The paths and positions of the cable damages around New Years 2026 were to most of Estonia's internet backbone routes.

Had it fully succeeded/happened by accident (lol) Estonia would have been left with a crippled connectivity. Image
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Read 5 tweets
Dec 31, 2025
I just deleted a post where I had misread a press release.

5 cables have been damaged, but 3 of those from storm conditions. Image
I might not have been that wrong.

There is a SE-EE incident and a FI-EE incident.

The SE-FI is described as two breaks on the same cable last I read.

As per usual the details, allusions and contexts are vague in news and statements.
Updated map of cable breaks between Sweden and Estonia, based on press release from Estonian ministry for digital affairs.

The details are murky and partly incoherent and I have asked Swedish authorities for clarification.

Whats clear: there are several breaks on one cable. Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 20, 2025
Russian logistics ship ADLER is at anchor IN Sweden.

Possibly broken down. Usually runs heavy weapons to Russian bases in Africa / Middle East.

Was inspected by military aircraft 2h ago. Swedish Coast Guard just arrived to area.

Tnx @butafly over at the better site. Image
@butafly Coast Guard patrol is about to dock in Höganäs, port a few kms south.

Here they will likely pick up more staff for whatever they plan.

Guess: Nationella Insatsstyrkan or something similar. NI are police, but carry proper guns. Or, a cadre of really nitpicky bureaucrats =) Image
@butafly ADLER is very much IN Sweden, only 2 nautical miles from the coast.

Legally Sweden have much more legroom here then if she was outside our territory.

Let's see if we use it. Onboard one would likely find weapons or supplies headed for Libya/Syria or similar Russian base.
Read 18 tweets
Sep 23, 2025
@pmolpmol lists three ships interesting as suspected drone carriers in last night attack on Copenhagen Airport.

In this thread, I will argue that Russian ship ASTROL 1 is an excellent fit.

Right time, right type, erratic track just before attack, highly suspicious background. Image
Article that led me down this rabbit hole, by @pmolpmol nyheder.tv2.dk/live/krimi/202…
ASTROL 1 is a largely flat cargo ship with hatches that likely would serve well as drone pads.

She is a similar model to SCANLARK, recently apprehended by German authorities on drone suspicions and to PORT OLYA 4, drone import ship on Iran trade. Sunk by Ukraine. Image
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Read 15 tweets
Sep 22, 2025
Copenhagen Airport is closed for operations because of drones in the air.

Northern Europes most busy airport. Image
Plane diverting last minute. Image
Copenhagen Police in a ”massive operation on scene” (commanding police officer to news)

dr.dk/nyheder/indlan…
Read 21 tweets

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