1/Thread with data that I could find about immigration and race in France. I am obviously not an expert and don't speak French so if you think I am not presenting the full picture please correct me, especially if you are French.
3/ In a medium migration scenario this is expected to grow to 17.4% in 2050.
4/ It is illegal for the govt to collect information on ancestry, but it is estimated that France is about 85% white. 10% north African, 3.3% black and 1.7% Asian. worldatlas.com/articles/what-…
5/ This poll gives a slightly lower estimate that only 70-75 percent of France is white.
6/ However demographics for the youngest are different. It was estimated that nearly 40% of French newborns were tested for sickle cell anemia in 2016, which is done if both parents have ancestry from parts of the world described below. thosewhocansee.blogspot.com/2022/09/whos-r…
7/ In 2019 nearly 20% of baby names given in France were muslim:
8/ It is estimated that if immigration increases white could become a minority by the end of the century.
9/ It seems clear that Muslims are overrepresented in the French prison population, though we don't know to what extent. It is commonly stated that they make up 70% of the prison population but this seems to high. Better estimates range from 30 to 50 percent. adamsmith.org/blog/are-70-of…
10/ Macron claimed that half of criminals in Paris were committed by foreigners. This seems to be true, but this newspaper blames this on police discrimination. lemonde.fr/en/les-decodeu…
11/ This article finds that foreigners are overrepresented in those incarcerated but again blames it on bias in the legal system. I am unable to find any data that looks directly at race and crime in France. archive.is/nf0BQ
12/ Looking at the crime rate overall it is higher than it was in the mid 20th century, but doesn't seem to have increased much since the 80s: archive.is/jDBCu
13/ Looking at the economic situation, men from Turkey, Africa and the Maghreb make less than French born men and this is true even among the French born. wol.iza.org/articles/racia…
14/ They are also more likely to be unemployed: archive.is/9dWkq
15/ Ryan Faulk put together an estimate of the fiscal impact of blacks and muslims here. I understand these analyses are controversial so keep that in mind. archive.org/details/youtub…
16/ When it comes to Arab opinion polls, most think that their faith is viewed negatively in France: arabnews.com/node/1770751/w…
17/ 45% of French Muslims say that they want the destruction of Israel and a similar number support the 10/7 attacks. jns.org/frances-skyroc…
18/ 42% of French Muslims support Shariah over local laws. This is higher for young people.
19/ After the Charlie Hebdo attacks 25% of French Muslims refused to condemn the terrorist attacks and 41% refused to participated in a moment of silence for the victims: breitbart.com/europe/2020/09…
20/ Muslims make up a small percent of the electorate in France but they seem to vote overwhelmingly for socialist candidates: brookings.edu/articles/is-th…
15/ French also consistently don't seem very concerned about immigration:
26/ It is hard to find data on interpersonal relationships between natives and immigrants, but significant number of Parisians would not date someone of a different race:
27/ Another argument against immigration is terrorism. There have been a couple major Islamic terrorist attacks in France in the past few years:
2015 Charlie Hebdo Attack: 12 killed
2015 Paris attack: 131 killed
2016 Nice Truck attack: 86 killed
28/ In the case of Paris there may have been explicit racial motive:
29/ Another issue is riots. In 2005 there were major riots after two teens were electrocuted after hiding from the police in a power plant. These riots killed three people.
30/ In 2023 there were major riots after an Algerian teen was shot. These riots killed two people, and cost 650 million Euros.
31/ A common justification for immigration is dominance in sports. However the team was beaten by the mostly Spanish Spain team today:
People say illegal immigrants, trans people black people and muslims face the most discrimination. It is worth pointing out that this list only loosely correlated to economic standing Muslims make a decent amount and gay men earn more than straight men.
By party. There is most agreement about Jews and ruralites.