Joni Askola Profile picture
Jul 27, 2024 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 Dictators only understand power and china picked its side long ago: Ukraine should exercise caution in placing trust in china and consider altering its strategy, as the current appeasement approach has failed to yield the desired results. Image
2/8 Following his discussion with the chinese counterpart, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba announced that Ukraine has received a clear indication that china is actively working to bring an end to russia's war against Ukraine. Image
3/8 While it's understandable that Ukraine seeks dialogue with china given its current predicament, it feels compelled to appease china in order to limit its support for russia in the war. Nevertheless, this may not be the most effective strategy. Image
4/8 For the past two and a half years, china has consistently supported Ukraine's invasion and genocide. china is actively engaged in a conflict against Ukraine and has displayed no intention of seeking an end to the war. Therefore, china's statements hold no credibility. Image
5/8 Ukraine should have absolutely no trust in china. When it comes to china, actions speak louder than words, and talks hold little significance. Image
6/8 china is providing financial support for russia's invasion of Ukraine, assisting russia in bypassing sanctions and supplying machinery for its defense industry. Additionally, china is providing russia with geospatial intelligence to target Ukraine and its civilians. Image
7/8 china does not respond favorably to appeasement, as it only comprehends strength. Ukraine may want to reconsider its strategy and take a firmer stance against china by exposing its behavior, instead of attempting to gloss over china's actions in the hope of appeasement. Image

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More from @joni_askola

Jul 12
1/9 THREAD: The worst leader in history?

The only man capable of turning Europe’s hibernating coalition of the unwilling into a coalition of the willing? Putin.

He overreached, launched a war he’s losing — and now he’s fumbling a golden chance to save russia. Arrogance kills 👇Image
2/9 Did Putin fumble again?

It sure looks like it.

russia is strategically losing in Ukraine. But it had a golden opportunity to save itself — thanks to Trump’s return and Europe’s inertia.

And yet… Putin blew itImage
3/9 russia has suffered over 1 million total casualties, failed to capture any of Ukraine’s 23 regional capital and special status cities, and is nowhere near its strategic goals. It’s bleeding.

But traitors and geopolitics handed Putin a lifeline — he arrogantly tossed it asideImage
Read 9 tweets
Jul 11
1/7 THREAD: russia’s economy isn’t fine.

It’s fragile, unsustainable, and cracking under the weight of war.

Just because it’s not constantly in the headlines doesn’t mean it’s healthy. Here’s what’s really going on 👇Image
2/7 russia is battling high inflation, a labor shortage, and crippling interest rates.

Its key interest rate jumped from 7.5% in June 2023 to 21%, and still sits at 20%.

That’s not stability. That’s survival modeImage
3/7 A 20% key interest rate with low or no growth and high inflation is a disaster.

The only reason russia isn’t in a deep recession is because of massive war spending.

Without it, the economy would be shrinking fastImage
Read 7 tweets
Jul 11
1/5 THREAD: Is Europe finally waking up?

There are promising signs — but let’s not hold our breath just yet.

Here’s what’s happening, and what still needs to happen 👇Image
2/5 France and the UK are finally restarting the production of SCALP/Storm Shadow cruise missiles.

Merz says ”the time for diplomacy with russia is over.”

And Berlin is close to convincing Trump to allow US arms sales to Ukraine — financed by NATO countries. That would be big! Image
3/5 Germany is also stepping up to finance Ukraine’s long-range strike capabilities. It’s a shift.

But we’ve seen hopeful moments before — only to watch them fizzle.

Europe must understand: this war won’t end by hoping it will Image
Read 5 tweets
Jul 10
1/8 THREAD:

Despite the successful propaganda, russia is quietly facing a strategic defeat in Ukraine — and too few realize itImage
2/8 russia’s propaganda blurs facts and makes a brutal war feel like a stalemate.

But the truth is: Ukraine is winning, and russia is quietly, catastrophically losing.

It all comes to strategic objectivesImage
3/8 Imagine telling someone in March 2022 that 3.5 years later:

- russia controls way less territory
- Ukraine still holds all 23 regional capital cities
- russia has over 1M casualties
- north korean troops are on the frontlines

That would sound like a massive russian defeat Image
Read 8 tweets
Jul 10
1/6 Human safaris in Kherson — Daily war crimes the world ignores.

russia is punishing civilians for refusing to surrender and be russified. This is a crime against humanity.

What are we waiting for to act? Image
2/6 In Kherson, russia has turned drone warfare into a grotesque spectacle.

FPV drones are used to hunt civilians — yes, civilians.

This isn’t speculation. It’s documented. Locals call it the human safari.

The worst part? russia shares videos of these attacks like trophies Image
3/6 These drones target cars, ambulances, volunteers — even pedestrians.

russian telegram channels openly declare any moving object a target.

The goal? To terrorize, punish, and break the will of Ukrainians who refuse to surrender and be russified Image
Read 6 tweets
Jul 10
1/4 Another night of terror in Kyiv.

Another wave of russian drones and missiles targeting civilians.

How long will we let this go on before doing something real about it?

We need to finally make Putin understand that actions have consequences.

If we don’t, we are complicit Image
2/4 russia just launched its second mass strike in a row — not for military gain, but to terrorize.

These attacks kill, maim, and traumatize civilians.

And the world watches.

What are we waiting for? Image
3/4 Every time russia does this, we must respond:

- More sanctions
- More weapons to Ukraine
- More consequences

Send Ukraine cruise missiles. Fund its defense industry. Help it build more drones, more cruise missiles, and more ballistic missiles to strike back — hard Image
Read 4 tweets

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