Joni Askola Profile picture
Jul 27 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/8 Dictators only understand power and china picked its side long ago: Ukraine should exercise caution in placing trust in china and consider altering its strategy, as the current appeasement approach has failed to yield the desired results. Image
2/8 Following his discussion with the chinese counterpart, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba announced that Ukraine has received a clear indication that china is actively working to bring an end to russia's war against Ukraine. Image
3/8 While it's understandable that Ukraine seeks dialogue with china given its current predicament, it feels compelled to appease china in order to limit its support for russia in the war. Nevertheless, this may not be the most effective strategy. Image
4/8 For the past two and a half years, china has consistently supported Ukraine's invasion and genocide. china is actively engaged in a conflict against Ukraine and has displayed no intention of seeking an end to the war. Therefore, china's statements hold no credibility. Image
5/8 Ukraine should have absolutely no trust in china. When it comes to china, actions speak louder than words, and talks hold little significance. Image
6/8 china is providing financial support for russia's invasion of Ukraine, assisting russia in bypassing sanctions and supplying machinery for its defense industry. Additionally, china is providing russia with geospatial intelligence to target Ukraine and its civilians. Image
7/8 china does not respond favorably to appeasement, as it only comprehends strength. Ukraine may want to reconsider its strategy and take a firmer stance against china by exposing its behavior, instead of attempting to gloss over china's actions in the hope of appeasement. Image

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More from @joni_askola

Jul 29
1/8 As expected, the situation on the Ukrainian front remains somewhat critical but is expected to experience substantial improvement by the year's end as Ukraine's mobilization efforts start to bear fruit. Image
2/8 Ukraine commenced a new wave of mobilization in May following the enactment of a new mobilization law. Although there has been some improvement from the worst phase, the front-line situation in Ukraine remains critical due to shortages of personnel and shells. Image
3/8 Ukraine's current status regarding manpower, shells, and fortifications is an improvement from its worst point in the early months of 2024. Nevertheless, the country still faces significant shortages that will require several months to rectify. Image
Read 8 tweets
Jul 29
1/7 A story of corruption, violence, failed economic policy and genocidal allies: watch as the most evil regimes and tankies all come out in support of Maduro after he stole the election Image
2/7 The current president, whose legitimacy is in question, has reportedly won 51% of the vote, defeating the leading opposition candidate, Edmundo González, by a substantial margin. This result is not being taken seriously by anyone. Image
3/7 The Venezuelan election turned out to be as laughable as anticipated. Why bother pretending to be a democracy when one can simply act as a dictator, as many of his allies do? Image
Read 7 tweets
Jul 28
1/5 Trump is now older than Biden was when he ran for his term, so those who think Biden was too old should apply the same standards to Trump. Image
2/5 Many believe that Biden is too old to be the president, and they might be correct. They should apply the same standards to Donald Trump, who is now older than Biden was when running in 2019. Image
3/5 If elected, Trump would be older at the end of his term than Biden is currently. It is not impossible that Trump's VP would have to step in at some point during the four years, making the VP pick even more crucial than usual. JD Vance is a terrible VP choice. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jul 27
1/7 Anti-personnel mines represent a low-cost and potent conventional deterrent: it is now the right time for neighboring countries of russia to reconsider their commitment to the Ottawa treaty. Image
2/7 The failed invasion of Ukraine by russia has brought the relevance of the Ottawa Treaty to the forefront. This multilateral treaty prohibits the use, production, transfer, and stockpiling of anti-personnel mines, but russia has not ratified it. Image
3/7 Landmines serve as a powerful conventional deterrent against potentially hostile states. This capability could be crucial for a state that shares a land border with an aggressor, as demonstrated by India, South Korea, and others, all opting out of the Treaty. Image
Read 7 tweets
Jul 26
1/5 The story of a shaky economy and lost potential: Putin fears inflation and will do anything to avoid it. As anticipated, the russian central bank has raised its interest rate to 18% today, marking a significant increase from 7.5% in June 2023. Image
2/5 As expected, the russian Central Bank announced that it would raise the interest rate from 16% to 18%, reflecting the accelerated inflation in the russian economy due to the ongoing failed and costly invasion of Ukraine. Image
3/5 Despite the boost in growth from increased public spending, russia's economy is struggling. The challenges are expected to intensify as the scarcity of labor drives inflation, compelling the russian central bank to increase its interest rate. The rate was at 7,5% a year ago. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jul 25
1/13 Putin's dirty secrets: russia excels at bluffing, but its resources are not limitless. The extensive stocks of Soviet equipment are gradually depleting, recruitment is becoming increasingly challenging, and inflation is compelling the central bank to take drastic measures. Image
2/13 Negotiations have been a prominent topic of discussion lately, and russia has been exerting significant efforts on this front. This is not a coincidence; Putin is aware that time is gradually running out for russia. Image
3/13 Vast resources are russia's only real strength. russia is bad at conventional warfare, often resorting to sacrificing substantial numbers of men and resources to achieve results. When these resources become scarce, russia is severely limited in its capabilities. Image
Read 13 tweets

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