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Aug 12, 2024 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ As Ukrainian forces advance in the Kursk region, law and order in frontline Russian-held areas is reported to have collapsed completely. "Rampant looting" is said have broken out – being done by the Russians themselves – while local residents say they feel abandoned. ⬇️ Image
2/ The VChK-OGPU Telegram channel reports that "in the border areas of the Kursk region, where fighting has been going on all week, there are no police, no firefighters, no doctors, no representatives of the administration.
3/ "According to official information, more than 76,000 people left the settlements (most of them left on their own, since there was no organized evacuation, despite the statements of the authorities), but there are still people there, mostly elderly."
4/ The channel says that "the desertion of villages and towns has become a catalyst for rampant looting". The disorder is being carried out by the Russians themselves, though it isn't clear if opportunistic civilians or indisciplined soldiers are responsible.
5/ A local resident says: "They are robbing stores, there is a collapse in Korenevo, the “Magnit” [supermarket, pictured below] was simply destroyed. There is no water, no gas, no electricity. Image
6/ "There was no organized evacuation, and if there was, then why didn’t we hear anything about it in Lobanovka [an outlying area of Korenevo]?"

According to VChK-OGPU, "a similar situation exists in other border municipalities."
7/ It reports that "Kursk residents are sure that representatives of the [regional] administration, having abandoned people to their fate, themselves provoked the collapse in the border areas.
8/ "Currently, it is impossible to get through to the administration of the Korenevsky district of the Kursk region. People are forced to self-organise in order to protect themselves and their property and essentially perform the functions of state and law enforcement agencies."
Addendum: The Ukrainians have now published a video which shows soldiers, possibly from the Rosgvardia, looting an abandoned Russian house in the Kursk region. New thread here:

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Aug 15
1/ Russia's police state is running out of police. Low salaries and poor working conditions have prompted so many to leave for better-paid army or war industry jobs that basic police services are falling apart and educational requirements for new recruits are being eliminated. ⬇️ Image
2/ Russia's law enforcement agencies, which come under the Interior Ministry, have been experiencing an increasingly severe manpower crisis. In some regions, the police are as much as 50% under strength. Many Russian warbloggers have been discussing the reasons for the crisis.
3/ This has been prompted by a report from the Ural Mash Telegram channel which has aroused outrage in Russia. Yekaterinburg police failed to detain an alleged fraudster who was accused of stealing a million rubles ($12,500), because no police were available to make an arrest:
Read 49 tweets
Aug 14
1/ Russia's recent creation of a salient north of Pokrovsk has been met with dismay by the Ukrainians, but with a surprising degree of caution from Russian warbloggers. They caution that it's an extended meat assault with an uncertain chance of success. ⬇️ Image
2/ Roman Saponkov writes:

"Given the successes near Pokrovsk, I would still recommend waiting a little longer. As it turned out, reserves were withdrawn from there to another important direction."
3/ "But if nothing happens, it is a very good sign that they have learned to operate in conditions of drone warfare and a positional stalemate."

'DONTSTOPWAR' is similarly cautious:
Read 34 tweets
Aug 14
1/ Russian commanders are able to commit crimes with impunity, according to a Russian commentator, because they can send witnesses to their deaths, obstruct investigators, and exploit the relative powerlessness of investigative bodies. ⬇️ 'Goodwin' and 'Ernest'
2/ Notorious cases such as the killing of two drone pilots (pictured above) by their commander after denouncing him for dealing drugs have gone unpunished. Russian warblogger Anastasia Kashevarova explains why criminal commanders are able to evade military justice:
3/ "Problems with inspections at the front: inaccessibility of the front line for the supervisory authorities, failure of the command to comply with the orders of the supervisory authorities, lack of authority of the supervisory authorities,…
Read 20 tweets
Aug 13
1/ The Trump Administration is reportedly planning to cooperate with Russia in exploiting rare earth minerals in occupied regions of Ukraine. It is also said to be planning to offer Russia the chance to exploit Alaska's mineral resources and to ease aviation sanctions. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Daily Telegraph newspaper reports that the US Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, has been presenting ideas on US-Russian economic cooperation to Trump ahead of Friday's summit. They are said to include:
3/🔺 US-Russian cooperation on mining Ukrainian mineral deposits;

🔺 Lifting export bans on parts and equipment needed to service Russian aircraft;
Read 5 tweets
Aug 13
1/ The Times newspaper reports that the Trump Administration is planning to propose to Russia that the occupation of eastern Ukraine should be modelled on Israel's occupation of the West Bank, with Russia in full control but the borders remaining unchanged. ⬇️ Image
2/ According to a Times source, "It’ll just be like Israel occupies the West Bank. With a governor, with an economic situation that goes into Russia, not Ukraine. But it’ll still be Ukraine, because … Ukraine will never give up its sovereignty."
3/ "But the reality is it’ll be occupied territory and the model is Palestine."

The proposal is said to have been raised with the Russians by Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff, who is also the US Special Envoy to the Middle East.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 13
1/ The war in Ukraine has resulted in so many Russians joining war industries, the army, dying or being crippled that the Russian government needs to import millions of Indians and North Koreans to replace them. Ordinary Russians aren't keen, calling them unhygenic or robotic. ⬇️ Image
2/ Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin recently admitted that the country is currently experiencing a drastic shortage of labour, due to "the consequences of the demographic collapse and the movement of workers to the military-industrial complex".
3/ Russia is forecast to be short of 2 million workers by 2030, particularly in the trade, healthcare and manufacturing sectors. An official of the Agency for Strategic Initiatives says that a shortage of construction workers could mean that housebuilding will cease in 5-7 years.
Read 21 tweets

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