Robinhood CEO Says Firm Earns More Revenue from Trading Crypto Than Equities
Other crypto takeaways:
Crypto’s Strategic Importance: Robinhood is focused on becoming a leader in both crypto and AI, recognizing pivotal role in shaping financial services. Example: Robinhood’s crypto trading generated $150 million in quarterly revenue, surpassing the $100 million from equities trading.
Stablecoin Adoption & Asset Tokenization: Stablecoins, particularly USDT on TRON, are driving significant transaction volumes globally, especially outside the U.S. Vlad predicts that tokenization of assets, including stocks, will further enhance accessibility and liquidity in financial markets.
Efficiency of Crypto Infrastructure: Robinhood experiences significantly lower operational costs with crypto services compared to traditional financial systems, making blockchain technology an attractive alternative. Example: The cost efficiency in offering crypto trading services has allowed Robinhood to scale its crypto operations effectively while maintaining a competitive edge.
Fascinating survey of Central Bankers from the World Gold Council reveals gold-buying plans at record high.
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The percentage of respondents who think their dollar reserves will be "significantly lower" in 5 years more than doubled to 13%.
More 70% of respondents think Gold reserves will be "moderately" or "significantly" higher vs only 13% who think "moderately" or "significantly" lower.
81% think global Central Bank gold holdings will rise in the next 12 months, a record.
"Bitcoin lacks intrinsic value, or so the argument goes among skeptics in the asset management industry.
But a formidable performance track record — including being the top-performing asset of the last decade — and an $800 billion market capitalization achieved without traditional corporate structures challenge this view.
Start with the extensive literature on momentum, defined as the long-term, multi-year outperformance of assets. Studies including a 1993 paper by UCLA management professors Narasimhan Jegadeesh and Sheridan Titman, a 1999 paper by Tobias Moskowitz of the University of Chicago and UCLA's Mark Grinblatt, and more recent analyses — notably, the 2013 study by Moskowitz, AQR's Cliff Asness and Lasse Heje Pederson of New York University — have all indicated that momentum works as a reliable factor in forecasting future returns compared to other factors.
We've done so many client meetings on #Bitcoin recently.
Here are some of the questions we get, and our answers -->
What attracted us to the space? Why are we spending resources on the space?
- No other asset class has recouped its bear market round trip as quickly as BTC
- Many equity markets that have peaked and not remade all time highs
- Gold/real assets lineage and use cases for those markets informed our views on BTC/digital assets -- digital gold
- Asymmetric upside, growth asset with scarcity and store of value features
- Bitcoin halving next year, has historically been a bullish time to be involved
- Combined with the ETF approval hopes supporting prices currently
Why is halving a big issue?
- validators / miners get paid rewards in new BTC for validating
- every 4 years (aligned with election cycle) they get paid 1/2
- rewards going from 6.25 BTC to 3.125
- pressures miners bc revenues go down in half
- reminder of scarcity, 21M total BTC to be in supply
- BTC tends to rally around halving
Prediction:
Gary Gensler will leave the SEC after a face-saving victory vs. Ripple in 2023.
10 more crypto predictions for 2023 from @vaneck_us -->
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#Bitcoin will test $10-12K in Q1 amid wave of miner bankruptcies, which will mark the low point of crypto winter. Ripple losing its SEC lawsuit (possible in Q1) may coincide with this final downdraft, which would take out nearly the entirety of the post-2020 bull market
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In the second half of 2023, Bitcoin will rise to $30K. Lower inflation, easing energy concerns, a possible truce in Ukraine, and a turnaround in M2 supply will power the start of a new bull market.
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