Joni Askola Profile picture
Aug 17, 2024 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/9 Day 12: The Kursk operation has restored a sense of hope, and we should not underestimate its importance during wartime. Nearly two weeks in, russia has yet to stop Ukrainians from advancing Image
2/9 russia remains unable to halt Ukraine's advances in Kursk. Ukraine is progressing in multiple directions, leaving russia struggling to find a solution to prevent this from occurring. Image
3/9 It appears that Ukraine is, as mentioned earlier, attempting to acquire territory for leverage while simultaneously establishing a buffer zone to shield its cities from russian artillery. Image
4/9 It is notable to observe the minimal resistance Ukraine encounters from local residents, who are receiving humanitarian assistance from Ukraine. This stands in stark contrast to the experience of russian troops when they occupy a city in Ukraine. Image
5/9 As Ukraine makes progress in Kursk, its forces in the east continue to face challenging circumstances, with russia gradually advancing while Ukrainian troops deal with significant manpower shortages. Image
6/9 The overall situation still presents numerous questions, but we should not overlook the significance of hope in a prolonged conflict like this. This operation has instilled hope in many Ukrainians and their supporters. Image
7/9 For a mobilized Ukrainian, witnessing the Kursk operation is more uplifting than observing the situations in Niu-York or Chasiv Yar. This operation has also demonstrated that the front lines can still change and that russia's red lines are merely a bluff. Image
8/9 Let’s hope that the remainder of this ambitious, risky, and so far highly successful operation is planned and executed with the same effectiveness as the first 12 days. Image

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More from @joni_askola

Mar 21
1/5 Wild paradox:

Iran’s military has been incredibly unimpressive in this war, but it still managed to back Trump into a corner and keep the regime alive.

The war is existential for Iran, not the US, and when you combine this with Trump’s horrible planning, you get a disaster Image
2/5 Usually an underdog has to pull off a massive military upset to corner a superpower, as we have seen in places like Ukraine. That is not happening here.

Iran is failing militarily. They have lost almost every single ”battle,” yet they are still ”beating” the US Image
3/5 The reason is simple:

Tactical victories mean little when the enemy is fighting for survival and you aren't ready to go as far.

For Tehran, this fight is existential. For the US, it is not Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 20
1/6 Time for some introspection?

Tech oligarchs have made themselves universally hated simply by revealing who they truly are and how little self-awareness they possess.

They are, actually, the best argument against themselves Image
2/6 Some have crossed the line from opportunistic greed into neoreactionary extremism, with figures like Peter Thiel and Marc Andreessen leading the charge.

They insulate themselves from reality, and their absolute lack of self-awareness makes them dangerous Image
3/6 Andreessen recently gave an interview proudly admitting to having zero introspection.

We see the consequences of this daily.

When people wielding immense power refuse to ever look inward or question their motives, disaster inevitably follows Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 20
1/5 Trump’s three main options in Iran are all bad for him 🧵 Image
2/5 How to unnecessarily corner yourself:

Trump is transforming pure military domination into a strategic failure because of bad planning and unclear strategic goals.

Trump's three main options in Iran are now all bad Image
3/5 After three weeks of war and despite dominating militarily, Trump is completely cornered in the Strait of Hormuz.

Stumbling into this severe bottleneck is a textbook example of strategic failure Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 19
1/5 As Hungary approaches the April 2026 elections, Orbán faces a severe political test.

His failed rule has actively aligned Budapest with Moscow, obstructed European support for Ukraine, and prioritized Russian energy over Western unity, thereby ruining Hungary's potential Image
2/5 The economic reality of this geopolitical positioning is stark.

Hungary's GDP growth stagnated at just 0.4% in 2025.

It has completely decoupled from regional growth trends, falling drastically behind the expanding economies of neighboring Poland and Romania Image
3/5 This economic stagnation is tied directly to structural state capture.

Transparency International recently ranked Hungary at 40 out of 100 on its Corruption Perceptions Index.

It remains the lowest-scoring and most corrupt member state in the European Union. Pathetic! Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 17
1/5 Peter Thiel holding secret lectures in Rome about the Antichrist is pure dystopian fiction.

He is no theologian, just a dangerous, yet pathetic, Bond villain trying to sound profound.

Yet no one fits the description of the Antichrist he fears so much better than he does Image
2/5 Look at his daily life.

He is an oligarch who builds military AI and global mass surveillance networks, yet he sits in Rome and tells his audience that the people trying to regulate his tech and stop his unaccountable power are the actual Antichrist Image
3/5 His hypocrisy is staggering.

He is a gay immigrant who built a massive fortune thanks to the tolerance of liberal, democratic California, and now he uses that very wealth to fund an ultra-conservative movement designed to strip those freedoms away from everyone else Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 16
1/5 The underrated threat:

We need to get serious about preparing for terrorists using FPV drones.

Recent wars have shown that even the world’s best armies struggle against them.

If modern militaries cannot easily stop them, local police forces are completely exposed Image
2/5 We are incredibly lucky that this has not yet become a common issue in our cities.

But make no mistake, it unfortunately will.

FPV drones are brutally efficient, incredibly cheap, and easy to use.

The barrier to entry for terrorists is terrifyingly low right now Image
3/5 There is no perfect solution, especially with fiber-optic drones that are completely immune to electronic jamming.

We need to stop guessing and start asking for help directly from combat veterans who have real-world experience fighting these threats Image
Read 5 tweets

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