Joni Askola Profile picture
Aug 17 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/9 Day 12: The Kursk operation has restored a sense of hope, and we should not underestimate its importance during wartime. Nearly two weeks in, russia has yet to stop Ukrainians from advancing Image
2/9 russia remains unable to halt Ukraine's advances in Kursk. Ukraine is progressing in multiple directions, leaving russia struggling to find a solution to prevent this from occurring. Image
3/9 It appears that Ukraine is, as mentioned earlier, attempting to acquire territory for leverage while simultaneously establishing a buffer zone to shield its cities from russian artillery. Image
4/9 It is notable to observe the minimal resistance Ukraine encounters from local residents, who are receiving humanitarian assistance from Ukraine. This stands in stark contrast to the experience of russian troops when they occupy a city in Ukraine. Image
5/9 As Ukraine makes progress in Kursk, its forces in the east continue to face challenging circumstances, with russia gradually advancing while Ukrainian troops deal with significant manpower shortages. Image
6/9 The overall situation still presents numerous questions, but we should not overlook the significance of hope in a prolonged conflict like this. This operation has instilled hope in many Ukrainians and their supporters. Image
7/9 For a mobilized Ukrainian, witnessing the Kursk operation is more uplifting than observing the situations in Niu-York or Chasiv Yar. This operation has also demonstrated that the front lines can still change and that russia's red lines are merely a bluff. Image
8/9 Let’s hope that the remainder of this ambitious, risky, and so far highly successful operation is planned and executed with the same effectiveness as the first 12 days. Image

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More from @joni_askola

Aug 17
1/14 Hard to see the Big Picture: Many frontline units are so stretched thin that it is difficult for many soldiers and officers to see beyond their own mission and perceive the larger context. Image
2/14 On the evening of July 28, soldiers from the 80th Brigade reached out to Ukrainska Pravda with an urgent request for us to publish an appeal in support of their commander at the time, Colonel Emil Ishkulov, who was facing dismissal. Image
3/14 The only information available regarding this command decision was that Ishkulov had declined to execute a task assigned by Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi, stating that it was disproportionate to the brigade's human resources. Image
Read 14 tweets
Aug 16
1/8 A Very Special Military Operation: How Long Can russia's Economy Last at the Current Pace? Image
2/8 The Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT) forecasts that russian economic growth will begin to slow this year. Growth is expected to be about 2% in 2024, with an annual rate of around 1% for 2025 and 2026. Image
3/8 A 1% growth rate is very low for a country at war that has significantly boosted its public spending and maintains full employment. Image
Read 8 tweets
Aug 16
1/11 Under pressure: Time is not on russia's side, as it faces multiple challenges simultaneously. The only two factors that could save russia are increased support from china or a display of cowardice from the West. Image
2/11 russia is grappling with multiple challenges in addition to the humiliating situation in the Kursk region involving Ukraine. It is unlikely that Putin is getting much sleep at the moment. Image
3/11 The initial phases of Ukraine's operation have been surprising and highly successful. russia has yet to stabilize the situation and continues to anticipate possible further actions by Ukraine in the future. Image
Read 11 tweets
Aug 16
1/7 Day 11: russia continues to struggle in halting Ukrainian advances in the Kursk region as Ukraine strengthens its buffer zone. Image
2/7 russia has yet to succeed in halting Ukrainian advances or preventing Ukraine from capturing a significant number of russian prisoners each day. Image
3/7 Observing the statements of Ukrainian officials and their recent advances, it increasingly appears that Ukraine is aiming to establish a buffer zone that could also serve as leverage for potential negotiations. Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 15
1/9 UNO Reverse: Will Ukraine establish a 'sanitary zone' in russia to shield its citizens from russia? Image
2/9 According to Minister of Internal Affairs Ihor Klymenko, a "buffer zone" in russia's Kursk region will provide protection for Ukrainian communities near the russian border from daily shelling. Image
3/9 Since the start of the Ukrainian operation in the Kursk region, the military objectives have largely remained unclear, despite numerous educated guesses being proposed. Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 15
1/9 He is so back! Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi deserves recognition for the initial phase of the Kursk operation. Image
2/9 The first 10 days of the Kursk operation have been highly successful for Ukraine. Their planning, execution, and OPSEC have been nearly flawless. Although the future is uncertain, Syrskyi deserves commendation for the progress achieved so far. Image
3/9 When Syrskyi took over from Zaluzhnyi, many analysts quickly criticized the decision. Syrskyi was known as a micromanager who frequently spent time on the front lines, instilling fear in many officers and being prepared to accept high losses if necessary. Image
Read 9 tweets

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