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Artur Rehi

@ArturRehi

Sep 20, 2024 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X

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Russia is transferring new reserves to the Pokrovsk direction: a military man explained why the enemy is in a hurry. Russia is transferring new reserves to the Pokrovsk direction and plans to take advantage of favorable conditions to storm the city. It is in a hurry because
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it wants to do it before the rainy season, because then it will be very difficult to carry out assaults. This was stated on air by Vlas, an officer of the 1st separate detachment of the separate special purpose unit "OMEGA". According to him, it is obvious that the Russians'
2/8

goal is to capture Pokrovsk and Donbass as a whole. There is high enemy activity in order to take advantage of favorable weather conditions. Because when the rains start, it will be very difficult or even impossible for the Russians to carry out assault operations. As far as
3/8

I know, the enemy is not trying to push the troops to the Kursk direction or anywhere else, on the contrary, they have a lot of reserves here," the soldier said. The occupiers constantly carry out assaults in small groups and try to gain a foothold, but the Ukrainian
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defenders do not give them such an opportunity. "They keep coming and coming in small groups, trying to gain a foothold somewhere, but our unit is doing everything to ensure that the enemy does not succeed in this in any area. "They are just trying to gain a foothold, and we
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immediately knock them out," the officer noted. Sergei Tsekhotsky, an officer of the 59th separate motorized infantry brigade, said that the Russian occupiers are attempting to bypass Pokrovsk and strike at the flanks. The situation in this area of the front is tense, but
6/8

under control. It was previously reported that the pace of the Russian troops' advance in the Pokrovsk direction of the front is not very high and may decrease in the future due to weather conditions. At the moment, the enemy does not seem to be advancing particularly
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far into the city of Pokrovsk itself, but there is a serious danger for the settlements to the south.
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Artur Rehi

@ArturRehi

Jul 1

The Russian economy is losing momentum. Sberbank chief German Gref warned that the country is entering a period of serious challenges. Speaking at the bank’s annual shareholders’ meeting, Gref pointed to military spending, inflation, and high interest rates as key factors
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that will continue to weigh on the economy through 2026. He noted that loan quality is declining, and more individuals and businesses are seeking to restructure their debts. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reports that senior bank executives see the risk of a banking crisis within
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the next 12 months. Unpaid loans are quietly piling up, though this has yet to show in official figures. The agency estimates that bad loans could hit 3.7 trillion rubles — about 20% of the banking sector’s capital. Much of this traces back to the war. Many soldiers received
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Artur Rehi

@ArturRehi

Jun 30

According to BILD, "Russia is expected to emerge stronger after the war in Ukraine, and the Kremlin is actively preparing for a potential invasion of NATO countries." While the Russian threat remains real, and it must not be dismissed — and we must indeed prepare for it — at
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this stage, nearly all statements about a potential Russian attack on NATO countries are nothing more than attempts to divert NATO’s attention and resources away from the war in Ukraine. Let’s look at the facts. The so-called “grand” summer offensive in the Sumy region
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stalled after just a month. Russia gathered 50,000 troops, but it has no more equipment. Its reserves are nearly depleted, while Ukraine’s arsenal is expanding — its range of weapons is growing, and its capabilities are increasing despite all the challenges with manpower.
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Artur Rehi

@ArturRehi

Jun 26

Ultimately, the main achievement of both Putin and Trump is that NATO has now committed to increasing annual defense spending to at least 5% of GDP by no later than 2035 — a level unseen since the Cold War. Previously, the target was just 2%. Some countries, like Estonia,
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are already set to reach this threshold as early as next year. Spain opposed the move, but it is geographically the farthest from the main threat — Russia. At least, that’s how it seems to them. But one should not forget that Russia’s core strategy revolves around hybrid
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threats, which have no borders. For major European countries — France, Germany, and others — the decisive factor was pressure from Trump. The war in Ukraine, ongoing since 2014, had not pushed Europe toward a more serious approach to security. While the Baltic states, Poland,
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Read 7 tweets

Artur Rehi

@ArturRehi

Jun 26

NATO suggests that Russia can sustain the war at its current pace until 2027. Of course, I may be accused of being sympathetic to Ukraine and having a biased opinion, but let’s look at the facts—what’s wrong with this statement? The Russian war machine currently relies on
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Soviet-era equipment reserves, a large number of soldiers, and the National Wealth Fund. Let’s start with the first point. Soviet equipment reserves are almost completely depleted. The offensive on Sumy is carried out mainly through infantry assaults, and the amount of
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destroyed Russian equipment in recent weeks is two to three times lower than during the same period in previous years. If Russia continues the war at the same pace, by 2027 almost all of its equipment will be gone—perhaps even the few donkeys they have. As for soldiers,
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Read 18 tweets

Artur Rehi

@ArturRehi

Jun 24

The appointment of Robert Brovdi, known by his call sign "Madyar," as head of the Unmanned Systems Forces of Ukraine has already yielded noticeable results, according to Russian military bloggers. They report that Ukrainian drone strikes are now primarily aimed at eliminating
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Russian UAV operators. Madyar has openly declared his goal of building a "drone wall" along the entire front line and destroying up to 35,000 Russian soldiers per month—the estimated number that the Russian army can mobilize on a monthly basis. He advocates for establishing
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dedicated UAV units for each section of the front line, with operators who are intimately familiar with their own sector, rather than deploying UAV teams as a mobile reserve shuffled between hotspots. His concept is to create a continuous "kill zone" across the whole
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Read 12 tweets

Artur Rehi

@ArturRehi

Jun 20

The war in Iran benefits Russia in the short term, but in the long run, the loss of Iran would be a major defeat for Moscow in the region, further weakening its already diminished position in the Middle East. The fall of Syria has significantly undermined Russia’s influence
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there, and Iran remains its last major ally in the region. Russia is trying to squeeze every possible advantage out of this unfavorable situation. The war in Iran distracts the West and its allies from the conflict in Ukraine, but the main gain for Russia is the rise in oil
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prices. Russia’s 2025 budget is under enormous strain because it was planned based on an oil price of $80 per barrel. However, since the summer of 2024, oil prices have been steadily falling, reaching around $50 per barrel for Urals crude in the spring of 2025. The war in
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Read 16 tweets

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