Stephen Barlow Profile picture
Dec 15 24 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Just some notes about my use of the top 1% of the richest people in the world, being both responsible for the climate and ecological crisis, and in obstructing attempts to address it, to maintain their lifestyles.

1/🧵threadreaderapp.com/thread/1867722…
I always get similar responses, falsely claiming that most people in the developed world, are in the global richest top 1%. Simple arithmetic proves that this is a false claim. The US population alone is 4.23% of the global population.

2/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demograph…
The population of the richest countries, in total, is much bigger than the population of the US. You can't give an exact figure, because of the problem of defining it. But it must be in excess of 10% of the global population, probably by some way.
3/
How can 10-20% of the global population, possibly be in the top 1% of the richest people in the world. However, in those countries, like the US, the UK, there is massive disparity in wealth, from the poorest to the richest. Claiming we're all in the top 1% is just plain silly.
4/
As I get tired of explaining, the top 1% is just a handy metric. Not a thing, whether someone is in it or not. It seems like you need assets of in excess of net $1 million, to be in the top 1% (there's no easy way of calculating it).

5/
However, these constant false points about lots of people being in the top 1% globally, in rich countries, contain the same falsehood. The bottom level of wealth needed to be in the top 1%, is vastly different from the richest people, in the world, who are also in the top 1%.
6/
To explain how rich a billionaire (doesn't matter if it is in US dollars or whatever) is, I use this simple thought experiment. Not taking into account interest etc, if you were to save $1 million per year (beyond the dreams of even many relative well off people).
7/
It would take 1,000 years, to save up $1 billion in this way. And getting on for 1/2 million years to save up as much as Elon Musk has.

In other words, even in the top 1%, there is a massive disparity between those at the top of the 1%, to those at the bottom.
8/
That is why trying to claim it is most people in rich and developed countries, is just outright false argument and sophistry. Self-evidently, some in the top 1% is richer, than 99% of people. The top 1% is not a club, it is a wide-ranging demographic.
9/
Nevertheless, it is a very useful way of talking about our current predicament, when you realize the top 1% produce more emissions, than the bottom 66%. All the really high emitters, and consumers, are in this demographic.

10/theguardian.com/us-news/2023/n…
Those trying to obfuscate, are missing my point, probably quite deliberately, because they don't like the clarity of my argument.

Just about every person in charge of a large organization, is in the top 1% of the richest. The most powerful people who control everything.
11/
From government, to large media organizations, senior journalists, CEOs of corporations, even the head of NGOs. They are nearly all in the top 1%, who consume far more than 99% of humanity. Have much higher emissions. Fly far more.

12/theguardian.com/business/2020/…
This has created a clique of people, who mostly have a vested interest, in leading very extravagant lifestyles, much different to 99% of people. They also occupy nearly every major decision-making position in society, from controlling our governments, to what is in the media,
13/
I realize not everyone in the top 1% is in a major position of power, where they can personally make decisions, that affect the lives of millions, or everyone.

However, just about all people with this power, are in the top 1%.
14/
Therefore, consciously, or unconsciously, these people in this top 1% clique (and they do coordinate a lot), have a common and vested interest in preserving their affluent, extravagant lifestyles, that are driving the climate and ecological crisis.

15/theguardian.com/environment/20…
The only way we can avert climate and ecological catastrophe is by reeling in all extravagant consumption, and activities driving high emissions. Bearing in mind that the top 1% produce more emissions than the bottom 66%.
16/
So yes, those in the top 10% and just outside it, also need to make changes to their lifestyles, but far, far smaller changes, than those in the top 1%. That is why it really is a top 1% thing. Because without them making massive changes, we are facing planetary catastrophe.
17/
Here is the big thing. As I say, the top 1% tend towards cliquishness, and coordinate out of self-interest. But everyone in a major decision-making position is in their clique. So they have massive power to block any climate action, which impinges on their self-interest.
18/
Yet, as we can see, we are only ever going to be able to address the climate and ecological crisis, if we address the lifestyles of the top 1%, who also tow along demographics below them, like the top 10%.
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However, as we can see from the last 50 years, those in the top 1% will not agree to any changes to society, which impinge on their extravagant lifestyles. They are in every major decision-making position in our societies, in a position, to block this action.
20/
I am not, for one moment, suggesting every person in the top 1% would be unwilling to make personal sacrifices, or are evil.

I'm simply saying, most are understandably self-interested, in their decision-making.
21/
After all, you don't generally get to the top of big organizations, by being an altruist who only thinks of what is best for other people. It tends to be naked self-interest, that drives them on. So don't be surprised when their decisions, are made out of self-interest.
22/
I could go into much more detail about this. However, I think I have already illustrated, why I say the top 1% are the main drivers of the climate and ecological crisis, and why they are the biggest obstacle to addressing the crisis. Any argument to the contrary is sophistry.
23/
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More from @SteB777

Dec 16
This is a change in tack from my normal commenting. I just want to make some points about the latest #drones hysteria.

This is because I have been seeing drone like objects, regularly in the night sky, in North Shropshire/North Wales, for at least 6 years.
1/🧵
I've always assumed them to be #drones because they don't behave like fixed wing aircraft, or your typical nighttime military helicopter activity, which I'm used to seeing and hearing.

I'm just going to describe how they look and behave, with no speculation.
2/
I've mainly seen them from Fenns and Whixall Moss, National Nature Reserve, whilst doing nighttime surveys for birds like Nightjars, Common Snipe, and checking for other nighttime bird activity.
3/
Read 23 tweets
Dec 15
A few more points about the 1%. As I've said, it's not something you're in, or you're not in.

The actual web of key individuals, who can make decisions, which affect millions or even billions, are all in the top 1%. But most in the top 1% don't have anywhere near that power.
1/
Nevertheless, it would be rare, to non-existent, to find a key decision maker, who's decisions can affect the lives of many, who is not in the top 1%.

In other words, it narrows down the search for where to look. If someone is not in the top 1%, it's unlikely they are key.
2/
I'm not meaning to imply that all those in the top 1%, are engaged in some sort of conspiracy against us. However, as they have far more money, have the most to lose from a high top rate tax, they will be far more sympathetic to tax cuts for the rich, and those pushing them.
3/
Read 19 tweets
Dec 15
I find myself variously accused of scapegoating the rich, envy, of being a left wing ideologue etc.

All this is false, everything I say is about sustainability, the long term survival of humanity, and our societies. I'm trying to clarify thinking.

1/threadreaderapp.com/thread/1868193…
I do not claim to have all the answers. However, there are certain core aspects of the problem, which must be addressed, if we are to address the climate and ecological crisis, and to avoid the collapse of our civilization.

2/pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
I have spent over 50 years, thinking about this in enormous depth. Not thinking I knew the answers, just to understand the overall situation, what was the right thinking, and what was mistaken.
3/
Read 17 tweets
Dec 15
@JillBelch Just a few notes on climate change, carrying capacity, at different levels of warming/ecological damage. I've been thinking about this very deeply, for over 50 years, since I was about 10. At first the ecological crisis, later climate.

I'm puzzled at conventional thinking.
1/
@JillBelch Firstly, what I find odd and very worrying, is the complete failure for anyone to study, the stability of our civilization in relation to unfolding ecological and climate impacts. I mean, quite literally no one is studying it. See here.

2/pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
@JillBelch If you say, the carrying capacity of the Earth is 1 billion, at 4C, what does this actually mean?

Pre-industrial revolution, the global population was well under a billion, and had taken about 1000 years to double.

3/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estimates…
Read 21 tweets
Dec 14
All the people who seem to be either climate change deniers, or climate crisis deniers (I will explain the difference), are by no coincidence, also believers in the continuing use of high levels of fossil fuels.
1/🧵
I class someone who is a climate change denier, as someone who disputes at least some part of the science, showing that climate change is primarily due to anthropogenic carbon emissions. Such as claiming that climate change is natural, or the climate is constantly changing.
2/
Whereas I class a climate crisis denier as someone who appears to accept the science, but who fails to acknowledge, that we must greatly reduce carbon emissions, to avert climate catastrophe.
3/
Read 21 tweets
Dec 14
I've been around a fair bit, coming up to my 65th year, and I started to become aware of the global situation before I was even 10, it was still in the 1960s. Becoming fully environmentally aware by time I was 10. I was born only 15 years after WW2.
1/🧵
My only point here is that I've seen much of the post-WW2 world happen, first hand, and was aware of the bit before me, by people who had lived through it. WW2 veterans were younger than I am now, and WW1 veterans just a bit older, or even the same age.
2/
Much of the world as we know it now, only really formed in this post-war period, even if some of it had roots, a bit earlier. My great-grandmother who was alive until I was 14, was born less than 10 years after the American Civil War ended.
3/
Read 22 tweets

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