Trump should immediately take advantage of a weakened Islamic Republic and launch a US aerial military campaign on the terror state
My piece @TheTPPInstitute —
For a Policy to Confront the Islamic Republic of Iran
🧵
insights.telosinstitute.net/p/for-a-policy…
My piece @TheTPPInstitute —
For a Policy to Confront the Islamic Republic of Iran
🧵
insights.telosinstitute.net/p/for-a-policy…
***The time is now for a radical rethinking of our relationship to the world's lead state sponsor of terror.
Conventional wisdom of both political parties in Washington since Iran’s revolution in 1979 has been that military action against the Islamic Republic is unwise. Trump himself has repeatedly said he has no interest in regime change in Iran and is even willing to reward the terror state financially if it relinquishes its nuclear program.
Conventional wisdom of both political parties in Washington since Iran’s revolution in 1979 has been that military action against the Islamic Republic is unwise. Trump himself has repeatedly said he has no interest in regime change in Iran and is even willing to reward the terror state financially if it relinquishes its nuclear program.
***Trump still seeks only a deal with Khamenei.
Even after October 7 and the overthrow of Assad, the prevailing assumption in Washington remains unchanged: military action against Tehran would be too costly and too risky.
A Trump deal with the Islamic Republic would keep Iran’s evil empire in power and provide it with security guarantees and economic opportunity.
Even after October 7 and the overthrow of Assad, the prevailing assumption in Washington remains unchanged: military action against Tehran would be too costly and too risky.
A Trump deal with the Islamic Republic would keep Iran’s evil empire in power and provide it with security guarantees and economic opportunity.
***Tehran is counting on isolationism prevailing in Trump's second term, ie @JDVance & @TulsiGabbard winning out over @marcorubio & @michaelgwaltz
The Islamic Republic plays the long game, betting it will not face a unified, coherent U.S. foreign policy aimed at its destruction.
The Islamic Republic plays the long game, betting it will not face a unified, coherent U.S. foreign policy aimed at its destruction.
***What does it cost America to merely "contain" the Islamic Republic?
+ Our military presence in the region, intelligence operations, cyber defense, sanctions enforcement, diplomatic efforts, and domestic security cost the American taxpayer billions each year.
+ Our military aid to Israel and other allies in the region cost the U.S. taxpayer over $10 billion each year.
+ The tremendous burden on global maritime navigation from the Islamic Republic’s control of the Red Sea via Houthi rebels.
+ Our military presence in the region, intelligence operations, cyber defense, sanctions enforcement, diplomatic efforts, and domestic security cost the American taxpayer billions each year.
+ Our military aid to Israel and other allies in the region cost the U.S. taxpayer over $10 billion each year.
+ The tremendous burden on global maritime navigation from the Islamic Republic’s control of the Red Sea via Houthi rebels.
***The regime has invested heavily in a creating a messaging apparatus on American soil to sustain a mere containment strategy against it and to extract massive financial concessions.
@JZarif, the Iran Lobby, and the Iran Experts Initiative are mobilized to appeal to the incoming Trump admin, to feign pliant accommodation, encourage a new deal, and ensure regime survival.
@JZarif, the Iran Lobby, and the Iran Experts Initiative are mobilized to appeal to the incoming Trump admin, to feign pliant accommodation, encourage a new deal, and ensure regime survival.
***There is an outsized view in Washington of the real power of the brutal regime. The Islamic Republic is deeply dysfunctional and heavily penetrated by Israeli intelligence. Its military is decrepit. It is detested by the Iranian people.
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