1/ Russian warbloggers are furious about the catastrophic defeat of a Russian armoured column in the Kursk region, reportedly causing hundreds of casualties. They are bitterly critical of the commanders responsible. ⬇️
2/ The failed assault happened near the hamlet of Nikolskiy, near Malaya Loknya in Russia's Kursk region. According to the Russian 'North Channel' Telegram channel, Nikolskiy was mostly recaptured by North Korean forces, who then lost it in what may have been a failed rotation.
3/ North Channel wrote on 15 February: "Our allies were one step away from liberating the Nikolskiy farmstead in the Malaya Loknya area. As of yesterday evening, they controlled 80% of the settlement under intense fire pressure."
4/ "They waited for reinforcements from the [Russian] 155th Brigade for several days, but they never came (hello, [155th Brigade commander Colonel Mikhail] Gudkov).
This morning, North Korean stormtroopers began to slowly, in organised groups, leave Nikolskiy."
5/ The channel asks why there was a "betrayal" of the North Koreans which "turned out ugly in front of our allies."
It's unclear why the Russians didn't reinforce them, but it may either have been a botched rotation or (as the channel goes on to suggest) a deliberate ploy.
6/ The following day, Colonel Gudkov ordered an assault by T-80BV tanks and BTR-82A APCs across open fields. The column drove into a minefield and was swarmed by Ukrainian drones, taking heavy losses. The infantry was forced to dismount and was then largely wiped out.
7/ 'North Channel' writes: "There's a fucking shit going on near Nikolskiy right now. The 155th column, under red fucking flags like on parade, went head-on into a swarm of Ukrainian drones on a mined road!!!!"
8/ "Don't rub your eyes, we wrote it right - exactly under the red flags of Victory and exactly along the mined road. We'll have more details later. Praying for the lads who are in the fields now!
9/ "[Commanders] Gudkov, Tatarchenko, Solodchuk - you are complete bastards! Two out of three are hohols [Ukrainians]. These are not planning errors - this is betrayal and murder!"
10/ The channel says "the brilliant plan was to attack in two waves with a pause: first the allies wear down the enemy defence, the Ukies lose their vigilance due to the supposed retreat of the assault groups, and then the 155th heroically breaks through the weakened resistance."
11/ "On paper, it does look pretty good. It is obvious that they tried to save the personnel of our brigade. albeit at the expense of cynically using allies as bait.
12/ "But apparently in the rapture of their tactical genius, Gudkov and [Igor] Tatarchenko took a huge bolt on all other aspects of planning the operation.
13/ "The second wave came forward not after a short pause, but a full day later. During this time, those among the Ukrainians who were tired had time to either rest or be replaced by fresh fighters.
14/ "The assault was launched in broad daylight. And in clear weather. So the enemy saw you still fucking knows where, and had 15-20 minutes to think about how he should react.
15/ "It is somehow inconvenient to write about the lack of engineering reconnaissance on the main offensive road. A couple of months ago the 810th went onto the mines near Pogrebki in the same way. Didn't those losses teach anyone anything???
16/ "In the end, our column was dispersed in about 40 minutes.
The Ukrainians probably threw all their drones into the battle when they saw such a tasty target.
17/ "It's disgusting to imagine how they then hunted with a sly grin for a couple dozen of our infantrymen who had to parachute into the middle of an open field.
18/ "It makes sense to reinvent the wheel when there are no questions about the basics. All these tactical manoeuvres are worthless when we can't provide the basics.
19/ "Excellent students in their second year at a military academy plan more competently, but here everyone wants to be [the 19th century generals] Kutuzov-Suvorov.
20/ "A week ago, the leadership of the "North" group of forces removed [Colonel Pavel] Filyaev from the post of brigade commander of the 11th Airborne Assault Brigade. It was the right move, but Filyaev was not the only one of his kind in our direction.
21/ "If we gather all the power of the northerners under adequate command, the enemy will not be pleased."
After the failure of the assault, 'North Channel' writes, blame is being put on the now-deceased drivers of the armoured vehicles:
22/ "They were driving too slowly. There is no longer any way to punish them, the senior officers will get it for poor training of personnel.
They are now starting to make excuses that the electronic warfare worked and everything was well organised – but nothing good happened.
23/ "Almost all the [Ukrainian] FPVs flew in and did their job. It is quite possible that the attack would have been successful if it had been carried out a day earlier.
24/ "Red flags on the vehicles. By and large, there is nothing terrible about this. Well, in the sense that it is stupid to write that the flags were a giveaway factor. A large armoured vehicle in an open snow field is in itself a pretty good giveaway object.
25/ "There is a suspicion that these flags were some kind of compliment to the North Korean allies, like, well, you and I are of the same blood. But this is an unfounded assumption.
26/ "We will not write about the number of the dead. Some of the fighters were later hit by air drops, some ran away to the treelines. At a temperature of minus 15, frostbite is not the worst option, everything can be much worse."
27/ 'Military Informant' considers the wider lessons from this fiasco:
28/ "With the current dominance of drones over the battlefield, even a relatively well-prepared attack with anti-mine trawls and electronic warfare systems has every chance of failing simply because several FPV drones at different frequencies will fly at each armoured unit,…
29/ …breaking through the jamming. Without a systemic solution to the problem of drones in the sky and continuous minefields on the ground, such attacks, in most cases, will end either unsuccessfully or with heavy losses, as they ended for the Ukrainian Armed Forces…
30/ …during their recent counterattacks near Sudzha." /end
1/ Russian commentators are asking if the Russian government has shut down mobile Internet in Moscow due to fears of a coup attempt. With the shutdown now well into its second week, they express concern about the stability of the Putin regime. ⬇️
2/ Since March 5th, mobile Internet and even Wi-Fi in public places such as the Moscow Metro and State Duma have been shut down in central Moscow on the government's orders, for vague and unspecific security reasons. The shutdown has caused havoc for businesses and the public.
3/ This has caused widespread complaints and discontent, as discussed in the thread below. Only a few whitelisted services still work, with basic services such as taxi apps, payment terminals, maps, ATM cash withdrawals, and online banking all now blocked.
1/ A superpower invades a small island off the coast of an enemy nation. After a short bombardment, marines seize and hold the island. 126 days later, they stage a humiliating retreat under constant fire from the mainland. This is the story of Ukraine's Snake Island. ⬇️
2/ With reports that the US may be considering seizing Iran's Kharg Island, it's worth reviewing what happened in Russia's disastrous attempt to capture the strategic Ostriv Zmiinyi (Snake Island) off the south-western coast of Ukraine between February and June 2022.
3/ There are of course very important differences between the two islands, but the similarities are also worth discussing.
Snake Island is a small, barren rocky outcrop of some 0.2 km², located in the Black Sea 35 km off the coast of Ukraine. It has no permanent population.
1/ Russia's air defences are doing great, according to Russian warbloggers. However, they say that those of Laos (a synecdoche for Russia, to evade censors) are crippled by shortages of manpower and resources, and an inflexible command and control system.
2/ Two popular Russian Telegram warbloggers discuss problems with the Russian air defence system, using carefully worded euphemisms to avoid getting into trouble with the authorities. 'RAG&E' writes:
3/ "The Russian Armed Forces rank second in the world military rankings, but its air defence capabilities are clearly and rightfully ranked first.
I think everyone agrees on this, so let's move on to Laos.
1/ Russian journalist and analyst Yuri Baranchik asks plaintively: "why have they started terrorising the people?" He joins the dots between various recent actions by the Russian government, including the blocking of Telegram, and warns of a "1917 [or] 1989" scenario. ⬇️
2/ Baranchik's lament is the latest in a growing trend of Russian commentators suddenly becoming aware that the repressive power of the state is being turned on 'loyal Russians', rather than just against the despised liberals or anti-war protesters.
1/ Muscovites are being locked into an ever-growing 'digital gulag', complain Russian warbloggers, as a still-mysterious mobile Internet shutdown in central Moscow enters its second week. The shutdown is reported to be causing huge commercial losses and inconvenience. ⬇️
2/ Starting March 5th, Internet access in central Moscow was shut down, apparently on the orders of the Russian government. It has even extended to shutting down Wi-Fi on the Moscow Metro and the parliamentary Wi-Fi network in the State Duma.
3/ 'Blue Beard' says the city is being plunged back into the primeval darkness of 2007:
"The only app that works in the city centre in the evening, regardless of mobile internet conditions, is Yandex Music.
Meanwhile, Sberbank and T-Bank's banking apps have crashed."
1/ In recent weeks, an entire genre has sprung up on Telegram of Russian bloggers suddenly realising that they live in a repressive dictatorship. They complain bitterly that they were "fools", they are being "enslaved", and forced to endure a "cultural counter-revolution". ⬇️
2/ The forthcoming ban on Telegram – likely to be announced on 1 April – appears to have woken up many Russian bloggers to the way the Russian government is systematically attacking free speech. 'Under the ice' predicts catastrophe:
3/ "In general, the desire to confine all citizens of the country to a sterile information bubble, eliminating the use of inappropriate social networks, books, music, and films, will have the most devastating consequences for the state itself.