Stephen Barlow Profile picture
Apr 18 26 tweets 6 min read Read on X
I want to propose something very serious, that needs to be considered, and widely known.

Was the official "fight" against climate change, deliberately set up to fail i.e. it was fixed, it was never meant to succeed, and it's primary purpose, was to deceive the public?
1/🧵
This is not something I am just saying now, I first proposed this possibility in September/October 1992, just after the 1992 Rio Earth Summit, to a leading scientist, who had written the standard textbook on air pollution and climate change.

2/independent.co.uk/arts-entertain…
Specifically, at a seminar, I asked how could we be certain that our political leaders, were simply not going to renege on the promises and pledges, they made at the 1992 Rio Earth Summit, as they had on the Action Plan at the first 1972 UN Environment Conference?
3/
After all, the only reason the 1992 Rio Earth Summit took place, is because the world's governments had taken no action whatsoever, on the Action Plan they had agreed to at the first UN Environment Conference. So it was a fair question.

4/un.org/en/conferences…
The Wikipedia page has been re-written. It used to say, the UN were alarmed.

"Ten years after the 1972 United Nations Conference on the Human Environment, a number of global environmental challenges had not been adequately addressed."

5/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brundtlan…
The Brundtland Commission, and it's report, Our Common Future, led directly to the 1992 Rio Earth Summit.

My claim that the 1992 Rio Earth Summit, only happened due to failure to take action agreed to in 1972, is supported by the evidence.

6/sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/docume…
I am not suggesting that the UN, or those involved in formulated these agreements, were involved in setting up these agreements to fail, but that the governments who signed them, never had any intention of doing what they agreed to.
7/
I present a massive and damning piece of circumstantial evidence, which I say, absolutely proves that governments, never had any intention of doing what they pledged at the 1992 Rio Earth Summit.
8/
This is just about climate change and the UNFCCC, and not the rest of the sustainability/ecological crisis, the 1992 Rio Earth Summit was actually about.

It's always been known that the only way to prevent dangerous climate change, is to phase out fossil fuel burning.
9/
So where is there any evidence, that governments, ever had such a plan?

Remember, the current rationalist narrative, is that governments found it too hard to do. But where is the evidence, that governments, ever even had a notion to phase out fossil fuels. There is none.
10/
Major governments at the COP talks, set up by the UNFCCC in 1992, have gone to massive lengths, to stop any binding wording about phasing out fossil fuel burning, to ever be entered into the agreements, in 33 years.
11/
The UNFCCC saw itself as a continuation, to the 1987 Montreal Protocol, which led to the phasing out of CFCs, which were causing a dangerous thinning of the Earth's upper ozone layer. The UNFCCC actually states this, repeatedly,
12/
"containing measures to mitigate climate change by
addressing anthropogenic emissions by sources and
removals by sinks of all greenhouse gases not
controlled by the Montreal Protocol"

That is a direct quotation from the UNFCCC.

13/unfccc.int/files/essentia…
Note how it says "to mitigate climate change by
addressing anthropogenic emissions by sources". It maybe in diplomatic language, to allow the precise policy/strategy, to be decided in COP talks, but it was clearly about eliminating the sources of greenhouse gas emissions.
14/
Therefore, only by eliminating the sources of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, driving dangerous climate change, could we ever hope to avert dangerous climate change, and climate catastrophe.

15/theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
In other words, any plan, not to eliminate the sources of these anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions i.e. the large scale burning of fossil fuels, was totally unrealistic, and would lead to out of control climate change. This is what we now face.

16/theguardian.com/environment/20…
Even the most optimistic (I say unrealistically optimistic), prominent scientists and techno-optimists, admit, that it would be very difficult, to nigh impossible for our civilization to exist at 3C of warming. Yet we are on course to 4C+ warming, with no plan to stop it.
17/
I say, the idea that our civilization could still exist, well before 3C of warming, is totally unrealistic. Based on false assumptions about the robustness of our present system, which has never been researched, at all.

18/pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
This is why I say, the fight to stop climate change, was as fixed as a professional wrestling bout. That it was set up to fail, by our governments, not doing anything at all to facilitate the only means by which dangerous climate change, could be prevented.
19/
Because governments are so secretive, we never know what their actual plans are, so when they told us all, that they were committed to addressing the climate crisis, and to stop dangerous climate change, we just had to take their word for it.
20/
Not only is it me saying that our governments are liars, and the last 33 years are a litany of broken climate promises, but that is what the UN Secretary General @antonioguterres says. However, I say, this is far more than just procrastination.

21/
I assert, that our governments knew when they pledged to reduce emissions and avert dangerous climate change, 33 years ago, that they knew they were lying, and that they never had any intention of phasing out fossil fuel burning.
22/
If they intended it, but found it too difficult, then where is there any evidence at all, that they ever had a plan to phase out fossil fuel burning, the only realistic way, of averting dangerous climate change? They never even tried, or had a plan.
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My reason for posting this, is because we must recognize the reality, and snap out of the denial. Our governments are run by professional liars, who represent powerful vested interests, and oligarchs, and not the people they claim to represent.
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@KevinClimate @jrockstrom @rahmstorf @GreenJennyJones @natalieben @CarolineLucas @GretaThunberg @ExtinctionR @ClimateBen @ClimateDad77 @ClimateHuman @ECOWARRIORSS @MrMatthewTodd
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More from @SteB777

Apr 19
The reason for my last 2 threads, wasn't to be pessimistic, or even to apportion blame.

Rather, the approach for the last 50+ years, has been to persuade politicians, governments, to act on the climate and ecological crisis. This has proved absolutely fruitless.
1/🧵
Scientists, conservationists, NGOs and activists - and even the UN, have expended a massive amount of energy, in trying to persuade governments to act on the climate and ecological crisis, for nothing. Governments have done nothing to address these crises.
2/
Governments have talked a lot, announced countless initiatives in a PR way, but none of what they did were anything, but token gestures, that made no difference. Emissions from fossil fuel burning have just kept steadily increasing, and biodiversity carries on declining.
3/
Read 25 tweets
Apr 19
I want to clarify what I mean in this thread, when I say, the official fight against climate change was set up to fail.

Nothing agreed to was ever binding. It'd have been very easy to have had a binding agreement to phase out fossil fuels.

1/🧵threadreaderapp.com/thread/1913154…
It was clear back in 1992, when the UNFCCC was signed, that the only way to prevent the climate crisis, becoming a climate catastrophe, was to phase out the widespread use of fossil fuels. This was tacit in the UNFCCC.

2/unfccc.int/files/essentia…
The wording of the UNFCCC makes it very clear that it was seen as a continuation of the 1987 Montreal Protocol, where it was agreed to phase out CFCs, to protect the ozone layer, protecting us from UV rays. The wording was clearly about mitigation.
3/
Read 12 tweets
Apr 14
This is horrific. For many years we have been led false narratives, blatant gaslighting, and propaganda, about the successful actions of governments to address climate change. How emissions are plateauing, whilst in reality, atmospheric CO2 levels get steadily higher.
1/🧵
If you look at the Keeling Curve, linked to in @ClimateDad77's excellent post, you will see a continuing climb in atmospheric CO2 levels, which just goes up and up. None of the climate talks, the schemes, the government talk, make one bit of difference.

2/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keeling_C…
What this proves is that all supposed action to address the climate crisis during the last 33 years, since the UNFCCC was signed at the 1992 Rio Earth Summit, HAS BEEN TOTALLY FAKE, a charade, with governments and corporations doing nothing at all meaningful to curb emissions.
3/
Read 26 tweets
Apr 12
This point, actually proves my point, it doesn't contradict it. This is why I said the human caused megafauna extinction hypotheses, are a house built on sand. Unless you are going to say early humans directly hunted a species to existence, saying they're the cause is false.
1/🧵
Every ecological event/effect, actually has a myriad of causal factors, in a massive causal chain, not just one. Unless there is an overwhelming single cause like directly killing an animal or a population of them, then ascribing that to a single cause, is at best specious.
2/
Lyle seems to be arguing that early humans didn't directly hunt to extinction, but these extinctions happened because of trophic cascades, induced by early humans. This is the main bone I have to pick with the human megafauna extinction hypotheses.
3/
Read 33 tweets
Apr 10
I find a very common misconception, including with educated, or even scientifically literate people, is that climate change, just means a warmer climate, and we can just adapt to that. When the reality is, it's going to carry on getting warmer and worse for a very long time.
1/
In other words, just letting the climate warm, by not rapidly reducing emissions, would produce an ongoing pattern of increasing adversity, that is going to carry on for a very long time. Not just a transition, and that is it, then.
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Just letting it rip, by not rapidly reducing emissions, means we will have barely adapted to that change, when it changes again, and again, and keeps on changing and keeps getting worse and worse. That is what I mean, by what will we be adapting to?
3/
Read 19 tweets
Apr 9
There is a huge problem with this nature hating, and ecologically ignorant, Starmer, Labour government. They act as if the biodiversity crisis and indeed the climate crisis doesn't exist, because they are so firmly fixated on economic growth.

1/🧵theguardian.com/environment/20…
However, I must take issue of some of the rhetoric, lacking vision of these heads of NGOs, which are too fixated on promoting their organizations, rather than focusing on the actual nature crisis.
2/
The UK really is one of the most nature depleted countries in the world, with most land in private hands, which is exploited and managed, at the cost of biodiversity, with much of our land being a biodiversity desert.
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Read 17 tweets

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