For the first time in nearly a decade tracking the Far Left, we just witnessed a coordinated, complex ambush by a Far Left direct action cell.
And the media is SILENT on its implications. Here's what you need to know: 🧵👇
1. Last Friday, 8-10 individuals launched fireworks and vandalized an ICE facility in Alvarado, Texas to draw a law enforcement presence.
After a 911 call was made, multiple shooters opened fire, at least one in a nearby treeline, wounding an arriving officer.
2. These kinds of shootings are normally conducted by individuals.
What we see here is 10 militants and an 11th co-conspirator forming a cell, selecting a target, and carrying out a coordinated, complex attack.
Armed Far Left violence is not uncommon, but this is unprecedented
3. What this shows is an operational evolution from individuals acting out of uncontrolled rage to coordinated cell-based violence.
Now that this precedent has been set, where do we go from here?
4. The Most Likely Course of Action is continued attacks involving 1-3 shooters. Larger groups will be exponentially more difficult to coordinate, and there aren't enough Far Left militants to keep getting rolled up by the dozen.
5. Far Left militants will see the relative failure of this attack against a hard target, and simply choose softer targets in the future.
The availability of federal agents' personal information through online doxxing increases this likelihood.
6. The Most Dangerous Course of Action is that this attack open's a Pandora's Box of other armed Leftist groups attempting to successfully carrying out similar relatively large scale attacks against federal facilities.
7. Another Possible Course of Action: The relative failure of the attack and swift response by federal authorities diminishes the likelihood of future armed, organized political violence.
It's a bit counter-narrative, but we've seen that felonies work.
8. The Georgia RICO case is a great example.
After 61 Far Left militants were charged under the RICO Act -- and some with domestic terrorism -- the Stop Cop City movement folded.
They deleted their website and stopped most operations because they didn't have the people.
9. If these 10 individuals and an 11th co-conspirator had a successful attack and escaped, then future attacks would be come immensely more likely because of a belief in the likelihood of success.
But this attack was not successful.
10. These 10 individuals are each being charged with three counts of attempted murder of a federal agent, which carries a mandatory 10-year prison sentence.
This will reduce the likelihood of similarly sized attacks, though not to zero.
11. The Alvarado ambush is a watershed moment for this country and our ongoing Low Intensity Conflict.
We will almost certainly continue to see armed political violence against federal facilities and/or personnel.
RICO works. I'll post my take on RICO below. /fin
My take on using RICO to disrupt the Revolutionary left.
Here's a quick series of events surrounding this ambush.
In short, based on the number of weapons recovered, it could have been much worse. It sounds like some would-be shooters chickened out.
10:57pm: 10-12 individuals dressed in black begin shooting fireworks towards the Prairieland Detention Center.
10:58pm: 2x unarmed Correctional Officers approach the vandals.
10:59pm: Alvarado Police officers arrive.
10:59pm: 2x shooters engage police officers from about 100-150m, expending 20-30 rounds of 5.56 ammunition from AR platforms. At least one rifle jams, and the two shooting suspects flee to the west.
Shortly after, police apprehend seven suspects in a field west of the shooting positions. Police also find 2x AR-15 style rifles abandoned in a nearby woodline. Some were wearing body armor, carrying weapons, and had radios. A total of 12x sets of ballistic vests are later discovered in the area.
Additionally, a Johnson County Sheriff's Office detective makes a traffic stop and arrests 1x suspect armed with a black pistol, 2x sets of body armor, and 1x ballistic helmet. An additional 2x AR-15s are found in the backseats of the van. The suspect is also carrying a radio (no further information).
(This information is found in the indictment, h/t @wbuppert for the link)
I'll add some additional amplifying information in posts below.
By my understanding, police make about 8 arrests within the vicinity of the shooting.
They make another arrest (9) at 2:00am the following day (05 July) in a nearby town. Apparently, this guy fled on foot away from the scene.
On 06 July, it sounds like the FBI had some cell phone intercepts from a suspect who had left her vehicle parked on the street of another suspect, and requested to a co-conspirator that her vehicle be moved. She was concerned about a search warrant being served at the residence.
On 07 July, an FBI surveillance team observed one suspect carrying "multiple packages from his residence to his truck."
The FBI surveillance team followed this suspect to an apartment complex, and then observed the suspect take a box inside.
The FBI later executed a search warrant and found insurrectionary propaganda (Antifa material).
There is a SINGLE solitary organization that embodies all three. Like it or not, therein lies the basis of Right Wing power. 🧵👇
The basis of Right Wing power is the Church. It is the root of Right Wing power.
Attempts to build a Right Wing power base outside the Church will fail.
That's why the Left strikes at the root of our moral authority, because without it, we are dis-integrated. 2/x
Christianity has everything you want in an enduring power: A supranational leader in Christ (and the priesthood), material power (money), organizational power (the congregation), and more importantly Divine Providence.
It is the epitome of earthly power and authority. 3/x
A quick thread on political power, it's origins, and the differences in its use by the Left and the Right.
Or: what the Left understands about power that the Right does not, which enables the Left to do things that the Right cannot.
🧵👇
It's obvious that the Left has conditioned society to believe that unbridled use of government power towards progressive ends is "muh sacred democracy"
while the conservative use of government power to merely conserve the social and economic order is fascism acskually. 2/x
Power simply can't be used to maintain a conservative social and economic order.
This Thursday is May Day -- aka International Workers Day -- and historically a day of left wing protests and riots.
We're probably about to see Antifa re-emerge after years of mostly *crickets*.
Here's what I think is about to go down... 🧵🔽
1. Far Left groups like Antifa need a base of support to sustain direct action campaigns.
Post-2021, that base of support evaporated, which is one of the biggest reasons why Far Left street action did, too.
2. Far Left demonstrations since 2021 have also been limited by other factors:
- A lack of right wing street groups (Proud Boys, etc.)
- Politicians stopped giving "room to riot"
- Militants are being criminally charged now
- Little/no patience from law enforcement