Thread by @ChrisO_wiki

1/ It wouldn't be a real Christmas without a gloomy forecast from Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin, Russia's answer to the Ghost of Christmas Yet to Come. He sees Trump turning against Russia in 2026, anticipates the loss of Transnistria, and predicts a naval blockade by the EU. ⬇️

2/ Writing from his jail cell, Girkin predicts a deteriorating outlook for Russia and its war effort in Ukraine during 2026:

"Naturally, no compromise will be reached this year, because it can't be. I hope this has finally sunk in on everyone on the Planet of the Pink Ponies."

3/ "The situation will continue to escalate. I believe that after some time, Trump will demand that we accept the plan agreed upon with the US and Ukraine.

4/ "After we refuse, they will roll out new sanctions, and they will unleash new members of the "coalition of the willing" against us. It's quite possible that this year, Russian troops will have to contend with units and formations of this coalition on the front lines.

5/ "It's highly likely that Turkey will finally join the ranks of our open enemies. It's entirely possible that Romania will also find itself among our direct and immediate enemies after it, together with Ukraine, clears out Transnistria.

6/ "And we can predict with almost 100% certainty that sanctions and a naval blockade will be tightened by the European Union and elsewhere, which will further worsen our foreign trade and further reduce state revenues from hydrocarbon exports.

7/ "The rest depends largely on whether we finally get our heads together—well, at least not us, but our leaders. And whether they will begin, even now, four years late, to take the necessary measures to mobilise the economy, to mobilise the country for war.

8/ "If this doesn't happen, nothing good will change within a year; everything will continue to slowly, with constant acceleration, slide toward our defeat in the war.

9/ "Because four years is already too much, and any longer than that would mean exhausting Russia much more than it would exhaust its opponents.

10/ "The fact that the war is being waged on Ukrainian territory certainly exhausts Ukraine. But in the eyes of our enemies, Ukraine is a part of Russia that is not worth pitying. And waging war on Russian soil is quite convenient for them, and they will continue to do so.

11/ "If we don't want to win, we will exhaust not only the breakaway and rebellious region of Russia, but ourselves as well. Overall, I don't have any good forecasts for this year yet, because there are no positive signs.

12/ "Domestically, the country will stagnate for some time, as the deadened, degenerate political elites continue to govern as wildly ineffectively, with conditions deteriorating even further, as they do now.

13/ "There are some positive signs, but they are so weak and so counterbalanced by simultaneous countervailing actions that, in my opinion, it's impossible to talk about any positive change in the country right now.

14/ "When patriotism and national interests are promoted by the same people who change their political stance every five years, who are bought and sold at low prices, when suddenly the country's leading patriots, like Shapiro-Solovyov, who receive the highest orders,…

15/ …turn out to be people who only recently denied the need for Crimea's reunification with Russia—what positive developments can we talk about?

16/ "Unfortunately, this war cannot be won by people who are, firstly, cretinously incompetent, and secondly, corrupt and constantly changing course.

17/ Moreover, they are incapable of adhering to any of their adopted policies with any degree of consistency, which leads us to one failure after another.

Therefore, unfortunately, the forecast for the current year is still persistently negative." /end

Source:
t.me/strelkovii/7295

threadreaderapp.com/thread/2007862…