Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 6 11 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Russian occupation makes young Ukrainian men illegal on their own land: join Russia’s army, or go to prison. So they run.

In 2024 alone, Russia drafted 5,500 men from Crimea. Since 2015, it has drafted 50,000+ Crimean residents into the Russian army. — Hromadske.

1/ Image
Vasyl, 20, from Crimea got his first draft notice at 18 — at work.

He hid, moved across Russia, and fled through Belarus to Ukraine in Dec. 2025 — without documents.

2/
Bogdan, 18, from occupied Berdiansk, faced the same path.

Russian authorities pulled him from class, took him to a psychiatric hospital, registered him for the draft, and told him: “Free until 2026. Then — the army.”

3/
Russia now runs year-round conscription, starting Jan. 1, including occupied territories.

This violates the Rome Statute of the ICC. Moscow treats it as normal policy.

4/
At school in Crimea, teachers erased Ukraine.

They banned Ukrainian identity, hung Putin’s portraits, played Russia’s anthem, and punished posts about Ukraine.

5/
Russian officers push conscripts to sign contracts with the Russian army.

This lets Moscow claim “no mobilization” — only “voluntary service.”

6/
Ukrainian intelligence reports that in fall 2024, Russia forced about 300 men into service in occupied Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions during the first draft there.

7/
Draft age in Russia: 18–30.

Many targets were children in 2022 — 14–17 years old when the full-scale invasion began.

8/
Despite the risk, young men escape via humanitarian routes through Belarus, often without passports, then fight bureaucracy in Ukraine to prove who they are.

9/
Some plan temporary emigration. Most say the same thing: They will return to Ukraine.

Russia drafts. Ukraine waits for them back.

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 7
UK may move from sanctions to seizures — targeting Russia’s shadow fleet.

The Guardian: London is weighing the capture of a Russia-linked tanker, an escalatory step that could open a new front against Moscow as oil revenues fall. 1/ Image
KSE Institute: Russia’s oil and gas revenues fell 24% in 2025, down to 22% of state income from 41% in 2022.

A maritime services ban plus tanker seizures would be very painful for the Kremlin. 2/ Image
British defense sources confirm NATO discussions identified military options to seize “stateless” shadow fleet ships.

In Jan alone, 23 tankers using false flags transited the Channel or Baltic, many carrying Russian oil to China, India, Turkey. 3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
Feb 7
Jeffrey Epstein spent years trying to meet Putin, cultivated ties with Russian officials including an FSB academy grad.

Epstein once asked a Kremlin contact for help after claiming a Russian woman was blackmailing "powerful businessmen" in NYC — The WP. 1/ Image
Putin’s name appears 1,000+ times in newly released DOJ files. He made repeated attempts from 2013-2018 to arrange a Putin meeting, often through former Norwegian PM Thorbjørn Jagland. No evidence shows it ever happened. 2/
Sergey Belyakov, a high-ranking FSB academy graduate and Russia's deputy economic development minister, maintained a close friendship with Epstein from 2014-2018. He invited Epstein to Russia's top investment forum multiple times. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 7
Russia refused to hand over control of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant to the US, offering cheap energy for sale to Ukraine.

The US wants peace signed by the end of March, but there’s no agreement on territories or security guarantees. Reuters on talks in Abu Dhabi. 1/ Image
Under the framework, any deal would go to a referendum alongside national elections. Ukrainian officials discussed a possible May vote.

Talks led by Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner urged a quick vote as Trump shifts focus to domestic politics ahead of November midterms. 2/
Ukraine’s election authorities say organizing a vote would take about six months under current conditions.

Elections are banned under martial law in Ukraine, and Kyiv wants a ceasefire throughout the campaign to protect the referendum’s integrity. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 7
Brittney Shki-Giiziz, Canadian volunteer in Ukraine: My first day fighting was absolutely excellent. I destroyed a train station with a tank. Being at war was physically easier than the training the Canadian Army puts us through. It prepared me very well for war. 1/
Shki-Giiziz: The truth is that Russia is pushing. We are holding, but we are being pushed back constantly.

Our safe houses are pushed further back. We had positions in Myrnograd and Pokrovsk not so long ago. 2/
Shki-Giiziz: My first motivation for learning Ukrainian was to serve in a tank. Language was a requirement. I studied Ukrainian and the 25th Brigade gave me a chance. At first I just studied the commands. Now I’m conversational and can work freely in Ukrainian. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 7
A German wargame claims Russia could break NATO with just 15,000 troops — by exploiting hesitation.

Ben Hodges for Telegraph: A small Russian force could break NATO due to Western paralysis. The core fix is Ukraine. 1/ Image
The scenario: Oct 2026. Russia stages a “humanitarian crisis” in Kaliningrad, moves into the Suwałki Corridor, seizes Marijampolė.

US stays out. Poland mobilises but hesitates. Germany dithers. Baltics get cut off. NATO credibility collapses — on paper. 2/
Hodges: Ukraine stopped a far stronger Russian army in 2022. Helping Ukraine defeat Russia is the strongest deterrent — it destroys the myth that Russia can win against NATO-level forces. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 7
Bloomberg: Russia is short nearly 10-11 mln workers and is now recruiting labor from India and Sri Lanka to keep its economy running as war and demographics drain the workforce. 1/ Image
For decades, Russia relied on migrants from Central Asia. That model is breaking down as the Ukraine war, emigration, and aging push the country into its deepest labor crisis in years. 2/
Moscow estimates it will need 11 mln additional workers by 2030. Unemployment is about 2%, while one-quarter of the population is already retirement age. There is no domestic reserve left. 3/
Read 14 tweets

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