Raylan Givens Profile picture
Mar 3 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
⭕️🧵THE US & ISRAEL’S GROUND PLAN FOR IRAN: With the WSJ report that President Trump is open to arming militias in Iran to start acting as “ground forces” and begin an armed rebellion against the remnants of the regime, here’s what I think the plan is.
📌 The conditions on the ground that Israel and the promised to create for the Iranian people to rise up will start in Kurdistan. Reports earlier this week said that Trump had spoken to Iraqi Kurdish leaders about “sensitive” matters that could not be disclosed. With this new report about specifically arming Iranian Kurdish groups, I believe we will first see action there.
📌 This could present in a number of ways. Armed Iranian Kurdish groups (some of which already exist) could begin a localized uprising in Western Iran. This might be in conjunction with and supported by the Peshmerga in Iraqi Kurdistan, who could do anything from sending supplies/weapons to actually sending ground forces over the border to fight. Israeli strikes have specifically been focusing on IRGC military infrastructure in Western Iran/Kurdistan to “clear the path” for an uprising.
📌 The US and Israel could plausibly support this uprising in a number of ways. The easiest option would be logistical support and weapons, but declaring a no-fly zone and providing aerial strikes would also be highly effective. We might see Israeli and/or American SF units embed with Kurdish groups, whether that be US Army Special Forces (Green Berets), who specialize in training and leading unconventional forces in hostile countries, or other units.
📌 Another dimension to this plan might be a deeper strategic move designed to punish the Iranian puppet regime in Iraq. If Iraqi Kurdish forces do get actively involved in the fighting in Iran, this could be an opportunity for them to further consolidate territorial control of a more unified Kurdistan across Iran and Iraq (minus the Syrian and Turkish regions).
📌 President Trump MAY have promised the Iraqi Kurdish leaders whom he spoke to this week that the US would support a breakaway from Iraq in exchange for assistance from Iran. Again, this is a massive “IF” given that historically the Kurds have been mostly abandoned by the West.

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More from @JewishWarrior13

Jun 17
⭕️🧵WHAT'S NEXT FOR THE US AND ISRAEL? A new axis of evil has just formed before our eyes: Iran, Qatar, Pakistan, and Turkey. Shockingly, Trump now fully supports them and considers them allies. Israel's security concerns are no longer a priority for Trump; he cares little for Israel. Let’s examine the fronts Israel is fighting on, along with my predictions for each:
📌 Iran: Israel will return to covert warfare, fighting the regime from within and continuing to damage its terror infrastructure, eliminating key IRGC figures, and seeking to destabilize the leadership. The Mossad will assume a leading role, operating beyond the use of IDF jets.
📌 Lebanon: Israel will accelerate the destruction of all terrorist infrastructure and villages along the Israeli border to prevent Hezbollah from reestablishing positions and launching another 10/7-style attack. Trump will force Israel to withdraw in order to preserve his surrender deal with Iran. Israel, however, will strike in Lebanon on its own terms after any withdrawal.
Read 9 tweets
Jun 17
⭕️ 🧵Many good people correctly point out that we defeated Iran militarily. I agree, but what was the point? All we did was kick the can down the road—while not only giving Iran a huge amount of money, but also handing them the most powerful weapon they could have dreamed of: control over the Strait of Hormuz. A thread. 👇
📌 Before the war started, the Strait of Hormuz was open. Iran was economically broken—the sanctions were crippling the regime from within. Protests were increasing and threatened the regime’s survival. Their nuclear program had been set back at least 5–7 years. Both the US and Israel were closely monitoring enriched uranium 24/7 after it was bombed, and any attempt by Iran to recover it (which is complicated, even for Iran) would have been met with a strike.
📌 During the war, the Strait of Hormuz was closed. About 85% of Iran’s military defense complex and supporting industries were destroyed. Most of their ballistic missiles—about 70%—were eliminated, and the majority of their military was wiped out. The nuclear program remained unchanged from before the war. The blockade was demolishing what was left of their economy. The proxies were on their knees. All that was needed was some patience.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 12
⭕🧵 Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqhchi is giving an interview on Iranian television about the emerging deal with the US, here is what he said:
📌 The best time to end a war is when we have the upper hand. We are indeed winning on the battlefield. We have stood for 40 days against what is considered the world's superpower. An agreement and an end to the war will anchor this victory.
📌 The final agreement has not yet been reached. If it is completed, I promise to explain every clause in it. The agreement includes two phases, and we have moved the nuclear issue to the second phase.
Read 11 tweets
Jun 8
⭕️🧵Full details from last night's marathon of talks and consultations between Bibi and Trump and senior US leadership: In Israel, there was a desire to carry out a more "significant" attack in terms of the targets to be hit. Among other things, last night there was a discussion with the US leadership about the possibility of attacking energy facilities—the US message was unequivocal: NO
📌 As is known, PM Netanyahu spoke last night with President Trump, but not only him; there was a marathon of talks held last night by PM Netanyahu, including with Secretary of State Rubio and Secretary of War Hegeseth, where they went into the details and targets to be attacked.
📌 Senior Israelis briefed on the Netanyahu-Trump conversation say President Trump told the PM: attack and move on.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 5
🧵REVEALED - THE IDF'S PLAN FOR LEBANON: Earlier today, IDF Radio revealed the detailed plan that the IDF has come up with for a new security zone in Southern Lebanon. This will likely shape the region for the coming years so let's dive in.
The core of this plan is the COMPLETE destruction of the first line of villages along the Lebanon-Israel border and the creation of a *depopulated* “security zone” where Lebanese residents would not be allowed to return.
The IDF says that Hezbollah has spent the past year trying to rebuild terror infrastructure near the border and the entire belt roughly 3–4 km from the border must become a cleared security area with a new forward line of Israeli positions.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 19
⭕️🧵Senior IDF Air Force official: During 18 days of fighting, air activity was carried out equivalent in scope to a "whole year of operational activity." A Thread.
📌 Air Force pilots conducted more than 8,500 strikes across Iran in less than three weeks, using over 12,000 bombs. About 3,600 munitions were dropped in Tehran alone.
📌 In the "Rising Lion" operation in June, the IDF focused its efforts on three areas in Iran, while in the "Roar of the Lion" operation, the IDF operated throughout Iran. One-fifth of the air strikes change their targets while the aircraft are in the air.
Read 5 tweets

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