Clément Molin Profile picture
Mar 14 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Ces frappes ukrainiennes 🇺🇦 qui terrorisent les arrières de l'armée russe 🇷🇺

Depuis le début d'année 2026, des centaines de frappes de drones ciblent les radars, les trains, la défense aérienne et les bases arrières de l'armée russe en Ukraine occupée.

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FP-1, FP-2, c'est le nom donné à ces nouveaux drones longue distance de l'armée ukrainienne. Le FP1-1 peut atteindre 1 500 km, le FP-2 200 km.

Il existe aussi le FP-3, en développement, le FP-4 pour le signal radio embarqué, le FP-5 Flamingo, le célèbre drone-missile longue portée.

Il existe également le FP-6, FP-7, FP-8 et FP-9, différente version de drones/missiles à longue portée en plein développement côté ukrainien.
Le but de ces drones est de pouvoir pénétrer en profondeur dans l'espace aérien sous contrôle russe pour mener des frappes ciblées.

Sont visés les transformateurs électriques, trains, dépôts d'armes et de munitions.
La petite révolution, c'est le fait que des drones FPV sont désormais embarqués à bord d'USV, ces drones navals massivement développés en Ukraine.

Ils s'approchent de la Crimée et mènent des frappes continues contre les cibles russes à haute valeur, dont les radars. Image
Pour le détail, des frappes, en jaune les aéronefs frappés (20, pas tous détruit, pas tous utilisés), en blanc les systèmes de DA (3), en orange les radars (12) et en rouge le reste (dépôts de munitions, embarcations, lances roquettes...). Image
Ces frappes en profondeur ont l'avantage d'être peu couteuse alors que les cibles attaquées sont d'une grande valeur.

Ce sont les yeux de l'armée russe en Ukraine occupée et en Crimée qui sont touchés, facilitant les frappes sur les ports russes de la mer Noire.
Les frappes dans le sud de l'Ukraine sont aussi très nombreuses, on remarquera quand même le nombre de 9 systèmes de DA et deux trains (en rose) visés.

Ces frappes mettent à mal la logistique russe et créent des trous dans le maillage défensif anti-aérien. Image
Ces frappes ukrainiennes sont réalisées par des unités spécialisées du SBS, le groupement des drones ukrainiens.

Elles sont quotidiennes et filmées, c'est leur nouveauté. On voit souvent qu'un drone de reconnaissance est présent sur la zone.
Les frappes touchent enfin l'est de l'Ukraine occupée, on compte 1 train (touché à deux reprises), 3 systèmes de DA et 2 radars. Image
Au total, il est donc possible de compter, rien que dans les territoires occupés pas moins de 15 systèmes de défense aérienne, 14 radars, 3 trains différents, 20 avions et de multiples autres moyens (Iskander, BM-30, navires...) depuis début janvier.

Source des données : @UAControlMap et @UkraineDailyUpd
Côté russe, les frappes en profondeur sont également très nombreuses, comme le montrent le cartes de @ShahedTracker (ici janvier 2026).

Elles visent avant tout les infrastructures critiques, la production électrique et les bases arrières de l'armée ukrainienne. Image
Voici par exemple toutes les frappes de drones Shahed et de missiles russes en 10 mois.

On ne voit que celles qui n'ont pas été abattues. Bravo à @ShahedTracker pour ce travail.

Merci d'avoir suivi ce thread Image
Au passage, j'ai commencé à actualiser ma carte en ligne, en voici le lien qui est toujours présent dans mon Linktree :

google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

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More from @clement_molin

Jul 11
In recent weeks, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched a large number of strikes against electricity infrastructure in Crimea

Since 2026 started, both Ukraine and Russia 🇷🇺 launched continuous strikes against each other energy infrastructure.

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Recently, most of Crimea has been without power after a large number of Ukrainian strikes (source : @georgewbarros).

You can see here that most of the peninsula was lacking electricity, including large cities.
In total, around 37 electric substations have been hit, together with oil and gas infrastructure.

This has drastic consequences on both civilian and military infrastructure of the peninsula.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 8
During the first week of July, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to target Russian 🇷🇺 trucks and logistics, hitting more than 240 vehicles, 34 per day.

Despite fewer coverage, these strikes continue to be a very big problem for Russian forces across occupied territories.

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The number of strikes continue to increase, with nearly 600 trucks and vehicles hit in june 2026 (around 20 per day) and already 240 for the 1st week of july (34 per day).

All these strikes are only the confirmed ones from ukrainian videos, I do not count videos from the ground. Image
Today, the Ukrainian army of drones () published a compilation of nearly 200 strikes on trucks and vehicles near Crimea.

This video covers multiple units work for the 1st week of July. The good point ? Everything is proven. t.me/robert_magyar/…
Read 8 tweets
Jul 3
Let's dive in Russian 🇷🇺 war propaganda machine

Recently, new videos emerged of Russian soldiers showing their flag far behind the frontline.

What is important about that is the aim of these operations : to show to the Russian command.

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Russian flag videos are almost always the same. One or two Russian soldiers walk along the front line for weeks, evading Ukrainian detection.

Upon reaching the rear, they spend a day wandering through an entire village with their flag, while a drone overhead films them. Image
They are often not armed and will stay in the village for a long time, hidden in a basement, most of the time being found and captured/killed and sometimes go back to their lines.

These soldiers are not meant to disrupt Ukrainian rear but to create the illusion Russia controls an area.
Read 9 tweets
Jul 2
In June 2026, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 8 284 airstrikes, of which I managed to map 49%

This airstrike campaign is at the heart of Russian offensive strategy and one of the biggest challenge to the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces.

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With artillery and drones, airstrikes are the third phase of the Russian strike campaign.

These unguided bombs—the FAB-250, -500, -1000, and -1500—are fitted with a UMPK guidance kit and dropped from more than 50 km behind the front line.

Here you can see the results of those : Image
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The use of these guided bombs is steadily increasing, reaching a record high this month.

The accuracy of the FABs, which ranged from 10% to 30% last year (with "accuracy" defined as hitting something, such as a hedgerow, a village, or a forest), now stands at between 40% and 90%.Image
Read 20 tweets
Jul 1
Russian 🇷🇺 offensive assessment for June 2026

In June, Russia occupied 28 km2 and continued offensive operations in 7 directions out of 12. Russian forces took control of some neighbourhoods inside Kostiantynivka and advanced near Sloviansk.

My analysis :

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Data above is from @Pouletvolant3 who has a strong regularity, using @Majakovsk73 data.

Below, Maps bases are from @M0nstas, with @Deepstate_UA and @AndrewPerpetua data.

The battle for Kostiantynivka has been ongoing for over 8 months.

Russian forces have been infiltrating the city's eastern, southern, and western sectors for several months; in recent weeks, they have—for the first time—managed to seize control of several neighborhoods, particularly in the west, and secure certain access routes to the city center.

Concurrently, Russian forces have launched a major propaganda campaign, showing flags across nearly the entire city and releasing videos showing their infiltration into most areas of Kostiantynivka.

Ukrainian forces maintain a presence throughout almost the entire city, although their hold on the southeastern and southwestern neighborhoods is increasingly threatened by the Russian advance into their rear. Fighting within the neighborhoods continues, and the Russian objective remains to seize control of the two roads supplying the city.

While the majority of Ukrainian assets—including drones and artillery—were evacuated in early June, the battle for the city (much like the earlier battle for Toretsk to the south) could drag on for weeks or even months until Russian forces achieve total control, enabling them to use the city as a hub for a northward push toward Drujkivka and Kramatorsk.

Overall, the battle for the city is lost, even though the Ukrainians still control more than a quarter of it—specifically the northeastern districts. It is important to understand that it is too early for Russian forces to use the city as a launch point for artillery or drone strikes; however, the initial drone units arriving in the coming weeks could intensify the threat to the northern supply routes leading to Drujkivka.Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 30
In recent months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to reinforce its fortifications across the country

6 months ago, Zaporizhzhia direction was lacking defensive preparation, it now has 5 defensive lines, which shows how fast Ukraine can adapt.

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Here in red are all the new fortifications built from january to jun 2026. Lines are stretching from Chernihiv to Odessa.

You can see priority was given to Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblast. Image
Near Zaporizhzhia, are still digging new lines, with currently 5 lines protecting the city from the east.

Red are lines dug in 2026, yellow in 2025 and white in 2024 (mostly obsolete). Image
Read 13 tweets

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