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Mar 17 18 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ Russia's block on Telegram, crackdown on VPNs and mobile Internet shutdowns are threatening to destroy the 'People's Military-Industrial Complex' – a vast ecosystem of volunteer and start-up efforts that manufactures and supplies the army with drones and other equipment. ⬇️ Image
2/ The 'People's VPK', as it's known in Russia, has grown from garage workshops to well-organised industrial chains linking enthuasists, serving and ex-military personnel, and start-up companies to produce a wide variety of essential equipment for the Russian army.
3/ They supply many things that the Russian MOD and the slow and expensive state-directed military industrial complex does not: drones, signal repeaters, masts, armour plates, charging stations, sighting devices, electronic warfare equipment, and so on.
4/ It's not an exaggeration to say that the Russian army would be crippled without their support. Yet, say Russian warbloggers involved in the People's VPK, this is exactly what is about to happen due to the sudden Internet crackdown.
5/ 'UAV Developer' points out that because of sanctions, Russian equipment producers have to rely on Chinese suppliers for components. But without VPN access, they can't communicate with them:
6/ "Developers like me need access to documentation and datasheets, as well as Chinese websites (none of which can be accessed from Russia without a VPN, which we’re currently cracking down on).
7/ "Purchasing and paying for components for the front lines also requires a VPN.

Working with [sales] agents “over there” also requires a VPN.
8/ "It feels like our so-called “lead-headed” leaders [a pun on Alexander Dugin's name], if they’ve seen nothing on the internet besides porn and memes, assume the rest of the country’s citizens are just as clueless.
9/ "And then, based on their kindergarten-level view of the world, laws are passed and operational plans are drawn up."

'Russian Engineer' warns that making it impossible for people to operate will drive them out of Russia altogether, accelerating a brain drain to China:
10/ "I know that about 80% of the engineering staff involved in supporting the Russian army, especially those developing modern technologies, are already seriously considering offers from the Chinese, who are willing to pay fivefold or tenfold,…
11/ …and are actively head-hunting Russians. Currently, these people are staying put for ideological reasons, because leaving their homeland in difficult times is unacceptable to them.
12/ "But being independent, capable of providing for themselves, and perplexed by what's happening, they are starting to seriously consider offers to relocate.
13/ And this would be a disaster for attempts to achieve technical leadership, provoked by inept actions along the lines of 'just be patient, after the rape, you'll get used to it, we'll still have apples to grow and flowers to water.'
14/ "There aren't millions of such specialists, but tens of thousands, across the entire country, who are responsible for the entire security of our society. So, yes, everyone can be forced. But under the pressure, nothing will survive.
15/ "And in a few years, as the technological gap widens, no nuclear shield will save us... In other words, digitalisation, development, and national security, and with it, Russia's very survival, depend on people who refuse to accept governance through disruption.
16/ "And until this is understood, and until those who perpetrate the prohibitionist frenzy acknowledge it, Russia's future will be at risk.

P.S. Yes, some might say, "Let them go, we'll find others." Of course we will.
17/ "But among them, there will be an even higher level of crooks and swindlers and an even lower level of competent specialists. And so, with each iteration, the technological lag will grow, which has enough reasons as it is." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jul 21
1/ Claims by a senior Russian military official that the Russian army's tactical medicine system is efficient and rapid are greeted with incredulity by Russian commentators. They point out that wounded soldiers are often not evacuated for days or weeks. ⬇️
2/ Deputy Minister of Defence Anna Tsivileva – a relative of Putin's who was controversially appointed a lieutenant general despite no previous military experience – has given an upbeat assessment of the performance of Russian tactical medicine.
3/ At a board meeting of the Russian MOD, Tsilvileva said that since December 2025, work has been undertaken as a high priority to improve the speed of evacuations and the quality of primary care on the front lines.
Read 27 tweets
Jul 20
1/ The Russian-appointed governor of the occupied part of Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region has told Vladimir Putin in person that the R-280 highway to Crimea is under total Russian control. Russian warbloggers dispute this and suggest that he's lying. ⬇️
2/ In a meeting at the Kremlin, Yevgeny Balitsky said:

"The R-280 road, which supplies Crimea, is currently under complete control, the effectiveness of Ukrainian drones has significantly decreased. The means used are constantly being improved." Image
3/ "There are new methods being used. There are new means being used by the Russian Armed Forces. At your direction, the road was placed under special control."
Read 33 tweets
Jul 20
1/ The arrest in Miami of Andrew and Tristan Tate is being celebrated in Russia, where a few weeks ago they were guests of honour at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum. Now they're seen as too scummy for Russia; one Russian blogger calls them "genetic garbage". ⬇️ Image
2/ The fact that the Tates were invited to Russia in the first place attracted criticism at the time, given their reputation. Russian nationalist bloggers saw it as a degrading display of subservience to the 'decadent' West. They now see themselves as vindicated by the arrests:
3/ 'Leib-Hussar' isn't mincing words: "This utterly "uncivilised" subservience to the West has been an unquestionable fetish of the domestic authorities for about 40 years. They constantly import and promote all sorts of genetic "garbage" into the country, which,…
Read 17 tweets
Jul 20
1/ The destruction by Ukrainian drones of two of Wildberries' massive warehouses near Moscow is a huge disaster for the Russian economy, which will inflict far more damage than the headline $1.2 billion loss of stock. Here's why. ⬇️
2/ While Wildberries itself can absorb the loss of two of its biggest warehouses – it will not need to compensate sellers as it has very recently disclaimed responsibility for losses caused by enemy action – the impact of the strikes on the wider economy will be significant.
3/ Wildberries is frequently called the 'Russian Amazon', but it has a far more dominant role in the Russian economy than Amazon does in Western economies. Since it was founded in 2004, it's become one of the most structurally important companies in the Russian economy.
Read 17 tweets
Jul 19
1/ Ukraine's attacks on two of Wildberries' biggest warehouses in Russia, causing losses estimated at over $1.2 billion dollars, has once again prompted Russian warbloggers to ask "when will we start fighting for real?" ⬇️
2/ Ever since the great Russian retreat in 2022, after the unsuccessful assault on Kyiv, ultra-nationalist warbloggers and supporters of the war have been demanding to know why the war is not being fought according to their preferences, blaming a 'weak' elite for the failures.
3/ The Wildberries attacks have revived such sentiments, with warbloggers perceiving the massive destruction as a humiliation and sign of Russian weaknees. 'Intelligence Diary' complains:
Read 15 tweets
Jul 19
1/ As Ukraine's drone campaign against Russian shipping and energy targets steps up, Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin warns that "WITHOUT URGENT MEASURES TO COUNTER THE AIR OFFENSIVE, THE DAMAGE TO OUR MILITARY ECONOMY COULD REACH AN OMINOUS PROPORTION". ⬇️ Image
2/ Writing from the prison where he is currently incarcerated, Girkin is (as usual) scathing about the deficiencies of the Russian strategy and alarmed at the scale and ambition of Ukraine's targeting of Russian strategic assets. He writes:
3/ "So, let's start with the enemy's strategy: IT IS CLEAR, UNDERSTANDABLE, LOGICAL, AND SO FAR FAIRLY EFFECTIVE (since countermeasures are not yet capable of stopping effective strikes on the enemy's chosen targets).
Read 20 tweets

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