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Mar 17 18 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ Russia's block on Telegram, crackdown on VPNs and mobile Internet shutdowns are threatening to destroy the 'People's Military-Industrial Complex' – a vast ecosystem of volunteer and start-up efforts that manufactures and supplies the army with drones and other equipment. ⬇️ Image
2/ The 'People's VPK', as it's known in Russia, has grown from garage workshops to well-organised industrial chains linking enthuasists, serving and ex-military personnel, and start-up companies to produce a wide variety of essential equipment for the Russian army.
3/ They supply many things that the Russian MOD and the slow and expensive state-directed military industrial complex does not: drones, signal repeaters, masts, armour plates, charging stations, sighting devices, electronic warfare equipment, and so on.
4/ It's not an exaggeration to say that the Russian army would be crippled without their support. Yet, say Russian warbloggers involved in the People's VPK, this is exactly what is about to happen due to the sudden Internet crackdown.
5/ 'UAV Developer' points out that because of sanctions, Russian equipment producers have to rely on Chinese suppliers for components. But without VPN access, they can't communicate with them:
6/ "Developers like me need access to documentation and datasheets, as well as Chinese websites (none of which can be accessed from Russia without a VPN, which we’re currently cracking down on).
7/ "Purchasing and paying for components for the front lines also requires a VPN.

Working with [sales] agents “over there” also requires a VPN.
8/ "It feels like our so-called “lead-headed” leaders [a pun on Alexander Dugin's name], if they’ve seen nothing on the internet besides porn and memes, assume the rest of the country’s citizens are just as clueless.
9/ "And then, based on their kindergarten-level view of the world, laws are passed and operational plans are drawn up."

'Russian Engineer' warns that making it impossible for people to operate will drive them out of Russia altogether, accelerating a brain drain to China:
10/ "I know that about 80% of the engineering staff involved in supporting the Russian army, especially those developing modern technologies, are already seriously considering offers from the Chinese, who are willing to pay fivefold or tenfold,…
11/ …and are actively head-hunting Russians. Currently, these people are staying put for ideological reasons, because leaving their homeland in difficult times is unacceptable to them.
12/ "But being independent, capable of providing for themselves, and perplexed by what's happening, they are starting to seriously consider offers to relocate.
13/ And this would be a disaster for attempts to achieve technical leadership, provoked by inept actions along the lines of 'just be patient, after the rape, you'll get used to it, we'll still have apples to grow and flowers to water.'
14/ "There aren't millions of such specialists, but tens of thousands, across the entire country, who are responsible for the entire security of our society. So, yes, everyone can be forced. But under the pressure, nothing will survive.
15/ "And in a few years, as the technological gap widens, no nuclear shield will save us... In other words, digitalisation, development, and national security, and with it, Russia's very survival, depend on people who refuse to accept governance through disruption.
16/ "And until this is understood, and until those who perpetrate the prohibitionist frenzy acknowledge it, Russia's future will be at risk.

P.S. Yes, some might say, "Let them go, we'll find others." Of course we will.
17/ "But among them, there will be an even higher level of crooks and swindlers and an even lower level of competent specialists. And so, with each iteration, the technological lag will grow, which has enough reasons as it is." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jun 24
1/ Ukraine is using quadcopter drones carried by uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) to hunt down and destroy Russian anti-drone teams in occupied Crimea, according to a Russian source. ⬇️ Image
2/ Ukrainian drone carrier USVs have been observed in use in the Black Sea in recent months. The Russian warblogger 'Veterans' Notes' describes how they are being used to support Ukraine's middle-strike campaign, by suppressing air defences in the occupied regions:
3/ "Regarding mobile task forces (MOGs) on the peninsula, the enemy has begun actively hunting them. There have already been numerous cases of MOG crews coming under fire from Ukrainian drones and suffering losses. These attacks were carried out on the coast using FPV drones.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 24
1/ The Russian government is a "great hypnotoad" that is trying to distract the population from the fact that things are bad and about to get worse, says Russian warblogger Anastasia Kashevarova. She complains that the government is attempting to "zombify people". ⬇️
2/ A common complaint among Russian warbloggers in recent months has been that the Russian government frequently but ineptly tries to play down the deteriorating situation with the Ukraine war, through so-called "anti-crisis" propaganda or simply not mentioning Ukrainian attacks.
3/ They point out that this is highly ineffective and erodes trust in the government, as anyone with an Internet connection can see – even on Russian pro-war Telegram channels – that things are not going well.
Read 18 tweets
Jun 24
1/ Russian commanders are being accused of failing to ensure that their soldiers do not wear neo-Nazi and far-right insignia. The practice is said to be widespread. However, a crackdown is apparently underway, with offenders being sent to die in assault units. ⬇️ Image
2/ Throughout the war in Ukraine, Russian soldiers have been photographed wearing unofficial patches representing extremist ideologies, such as death's-head insignia, Nazi runes, and the "black sun" Sonnenrad symbol.
3/ This reflects the appeal of far-right and neo-Nazi ideology among Russian nationalists. (Indeed, there is an entire neo-Nazi paramilitary group, the Sabotage Assault Reconnaissance Group (DShRG) 'Rusich', fighting alongside the Russian regular forces.)
Read 11 tweets
Jun 23
1/ Russian warbloggers have steadily become bolder in calling for Russia's leadership to be replaced to overcome the current stalemate in Ukraine. Calling the current situation "hopeless", 'Verum Regnum' calls for new leadership in Russia so that it can win the war. ⬇️ Image
2/ While well aware that open criticism of Vladimir Putin is still too dangerous a step, many warbloggers are willing to criticise "the system" in general terms or call out specific officials regarded as failing, such as Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov
3/ This kind of approach, which could be summed up as "the Tsar should replace his boyars", is clearly visible in what 'Verum Regnum' writes on Telegram:

"Do you know what a "hopeless situation" is? It's a situation where we don't like the simple, obvious way out."
Read 16 tweets
Jun 23
1/ Russia's air defence teams are manned by "homeless people, alcoholics, deserters, disabled people, idiots", complains a Russian warblogger. In the face of continued failures to stop Ukrainian drone attacks, urgent investment in robotic defence systems is advocated. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Military Chronicle' argues that "recent incidents involving the use of attack drones against targets in Moscow and Voronezh demonstrate that the human factor is becoming the most critical vulnerability in modern air defence systems."
3/ 'Dead Heads' explains that Russia's mobile fire teams are attracting the wrong kind of recruits: "We're forming Mobile Task Forces (MOGs) and assembling them by units: homeless people, alcoholics, 500s, disabled people, idiots – why aren't they shooting down anything?"
Read 20 tweets
Jun 22
1/ The Russian warblogger 'Fighterbomber', a retired Russian air force pilot, is taking heavy flak from other warbloggers for disclosing a fuel delivery to Crimea that the Ukrainians promptly blew up. "Go fuck yourself. Preferably holding hands," he responds. ⬇️ Image
2/ On 17 June, in an apparent attempt to refute widespread accounts of fuel shortages in Crimea, 'Fighterbomber' wrote on his Telegram channel: "The audience is saying that fuel has arrived in Crimea. Lots of it. There's more coming. 😍"
3/ Three days later, Ukrainian forces struck the Kerch oil terminal's fuel depot, causing a major fire. An official Ukrainian Telegram channel trolled Fighterbomber by crediting the warblogger for the strike (it's unlikely that he had any influence on it).
Read 23 tweets

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