1/ Russia's block on Telegram, crackdown on VPNs and mobile Internet shutdowns are threatening to destroy the 'People's Military-Industrial Complex' – a vast ecosystem of volunteer and start-up efforts that manufactures and supplies the army with drones and other equipment. ⬇️
2/ The 'People's VPK', as it's known in Russia, has grown from garage workshops to well-organised industrial chains linking enthuasists, serving and ex-military personnel, and start-up companies to produce a wide variety of essential equipment for the Russian army.
3/ They supply many things that the Russian MOD and the slow and expensive state-directed military industrial complex does not: drones, signal repeaters, masts, armour plates, charging stations, sighting devices, electronic warfare equipment, and so on.
4/ It's not an exaggeration to say that the Russian army would be crippled without their support. Yet, say Russian warbloggers involved in the People's VPK, this is exactly what is about to happen due to the sudden Internet crackdown.
5/ 'UAV Developer' points out that because of sanctions, Russian equipment producers have to rely on Chinese suppliers for components. But without VPN access, they can't communicate with them:
6/ "Developers like me need access to documentation and datasheets, as well as Chinese websites (none of which can be accessed from Russia without a VPN, which we’re currently cracking down on).
7/ "Purchasing and paying for components for the front lines also requires a VPN.
Working with [sales] agents “over there” also requires a VPN.
8/ "It feels like our so-called “lead-headed” leaders [a pun on Alexander Dugin's name], if they’ve seen nothing on the internet besides porn and memes, assume the rest of the country’s citizens are just as clueless.
9/ "And then, based on their kindergarten-level view of the world, laws are passed and operational plans are drawn up."
'Russian Engineer' warns that making it impossible for people to operate will drive them out of Russia altogether, accelerating a brain drain to China:
10/ "I know that about 80% of the engineering staff involved in supporting the Russian army, especially those developing modern technologies, are already seriously considering offers from the Chinese, who are willing to pay fivefold or tenfold,…
11/ …and are actively head-hunting Russians. Currently, these people are staying put for ideological reasons, because leaving their homeland in difficult times is unacceptable to them.
12/ "But being independent, capable of providing for themselves, and perplexed by what's happening, they are starting to seriously consider offers to relocate.
13/ And this would be a disaster for attempts to achieve technical leadership, provoked by inept actions along the lines of 'just be patient, after the rape, you'll get used to it, we'll still have apples to grow and flowers to water.'
14/ "There aren't millions of such specialists, but tens of thousands, across the entire country, who are responsible for the entire security of our society. So, yes, everyone can be forced. But under the pressure, nothing will survive.
15/ "And in a few years, as the technological gap widens, no nuclear shield will save us... In other words, digitalisation, development, and national security, and with it, Russia's very survival, depend on people who refuse to accept governance through disruption.
16/ "And until this is understood, and until those who perpetrate the prohibitionist frenzy acknowledge it, Russia's future will be at risk.
P.S. Yes, some might say, "Let them go, we'll find others." Of course we will.
17/ "But among them, there will be an even higher level of crooks and swindlers and an even lower level of competent specialists. And so, with each iteration, the technological lag will grow, which has enough reasons as it is." /end
1/ Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland in January, with military support from France, Germany, and Nordic nations. Elite troops and F-35 jets with live ammunition were sent, and runways were to be blown up to prevent an invasion. ⬇️
2/ The Danish public broadcaster DR reports that officials in Denmark, France and Germany say that Donald Trump's threats to seize Greenland were taken so seriously that wide-ranging preparations were made to forcibly resist a US invasion of the Danish island.
3/ The Danish and French governments worked together to create a northern European coalition to defend Greenland from the United States. Under the cover of a pre-planned defence exercise, Greenland's defences were bolstered to raise the costs of any US invasion attempt.
1/ Pro-government Russians shouldn't be excessively disappointed by the Putin regime's repressive behaviour in recent months, says drone manufacturer Alexey Chadayev. He argues that that's how it's always been in Russia and nobody should expect any different. ⬇️
2/ Chadayev is the Director General of Russia's Ushkuynik Research and Production Centre (NPC Ushkuynik). He comments on recent complaints by previously pro-government commentators about the blocking of Telegram and the Internet shutdowns in Moscow and St Petersburg:
3/ "On the topic of 'disillusioned patriots' (I'm not talking about weathervane lawyers, in case it's unclear, but about the threat of 'loss of motivation' among government supporters, a topic that has been much discussed by various commentators in recent days).
1/ While the world's eyes are elsewhere, the long-running water crisis in Donetsk is continuing. An account from Russian warblogger Dmitry Steshin highlights how residents of what had been one of Ukraine's most developed cities are living now. ⬇️
2/ Since 2022, much of the occupied Donetsk and Luhansk regions have been experiencing a severe water shortage. Cities have faced water rationing, while outlying towns and villages have often had no water at all.
3/ The root cause of this is a combination of war damage to the canal that provided pre-war Donetsk with water, the source of which is in Ukrainian-held territory near Kramatorsk, and decrepit infrastructure which has gone unmaintained due to corruption.
1/ Powerful interests in Russia are milking the war in Ukraine for profit and power, complains a Russian drone developer and blogger. He argues that the interests are indifferent to the loss of Russian lives and are ripping off the state defence procurement system. ⬇️
2/ 'UAV Developer' writes on Telegram: "You see, they couldn't care less about our victory."
3/ "They—a collective group of people in power, one of the towers [factions]—understand that the name of the Lord Special Military Operation can still be used to cover up any nonsense, and to call opponents foreign agents and enemies of the people.
1/ Russia is suffering huge casualties in the battle for Kostiantynivka, says a Russian soldier who is fighting there. He says that 75% of his unit of poorly-trained middle-aged men was killed in a single assault, with dogs eating the skeletonised bodies of the dead nearby. ⬇️
2/ A man named Tamerlan – likely from the North Caucasus, judging by the name – has recorded a video describing his experiences. He says:
"Today, 27 men went into the assault, and only six survived ... "
3/ "They're just fucking new guys, they've just arrived, they haven't even been serving for a month, damn it. We were herding them in there... It was a complete mess."
1/ The Russian government is blocking Telegram to destroy the Russian people's social connections, says former high-level government advisor German Klimenko. The frank admission has caused outrage among Russian commentators. ⬇️
2/ In an interview with 'Parliamentary Gazette', Klimenko says: "The primary function of any messenger is to create social connections. Therefore, to stop people from using a messenger, these connections must be destroyed."
3/ "In 2018, when Telegram first clashed with [communications regular] Roskomnadzor, the latter managed to knock out about 10 percent of social connections: let's say, I have a thousand contacts in the messenger, 100 stopped working, and 900 remained.