Adam Ruby Profile picture
28, PhD in particle physics. Data Scientist in Finance. Previously worked on ATLAS experiment @CERN
Oct 4, 2021 26 tweets 9 min read
Weekly #COVID19 thread for Liverpool: 4th Oct 21
• Cases down on last week: 276.3 per 100k pop (321.3 week ago)
• Hospital admissions down 🏥
• 17 recorded deaths for week ending 17th Sep (ONS)
• Vaccination 1st dose up 0.2%, 2nd doses up 0.3% of eligible pop 💉

1/ Image The weekly case rate per 100k pop is 276.3, down from 321.3 last week.

Last few days trend is downwards.

Data by specimen date up to 30th Sept

2/ Image
Sep 20, 2021 26 tweets 9 min read
Weekly #COVID19 thread for Liverpool: 20th Sep 21
• Cases down on last week: 300.2 per 100k pop (383.1 week ago)
• Hospital admissions down 🏥
• 10 recorded deaths for week ending 3rd Sep (ONS)
• Vaccination 1st dose up 0.2%, 2nd doses up 0.7% of eligible pop💉

1/ Image The weekly case rate per 100k pop is 300.2, down from 383.1 last week.

As the downwards trends following the end-Aug/start-Sep bump continues

Data by specimen date up to 16th Sept

2/ Image
Sep 19, 2021 12 tweets 4 min read
After a month of very boring slow PCR positivity fall in Liverpool, the recent rise & dip has started to look interesting still. Positivity is a mad stat though where the grey bars (number of tests) is just as important for the interpretation Image PCR testing is generally done for people who feel sick, mainly with the three “classic” symptoms (LFT advised two weekly/if you present ‘other’ symptoms)

And for other reasons like to confirm LF +ve, contact of a case etc ImageImage
Sep 13, 2021 26 tweets 10 min read
Weekly #COVID19 thread for Liverpool: 13th Sep 21
• Cases up on last week: 380.7 per 100k pop (361.8 week ago)
• Hospital admissions up 🏥
• 10 recorded deaths for week ending 27th Aug (ONS)
• Vaccination 1st dose up 0.2%, 2nd doses up 0.9% of eligible pop💉

1/ The weekly case rate per 100k pop is 380.7, up slightly from 361.8 last week.

In the same time though there has been a bump in cases. Hopefully remains a bump (there was lots of back-to-school testing)

Data by specimen date up to 9th Sept

2/
Sep 12, 2021 7 tweets 3 min read
Pretty obvious considering how little seemed done in terms of specifics / actually sorting it out

Was always just a lie to try & nudge unvaccinated to take it up… did it work? not sure it actually did much

No signal in increasing uptake after the original announcement, or after any other half-hearted stints ministers had on TV/radio Image
Sep 11, 2021 6 tweets 2 min read
my unqualified bit on the 'overwhelmed' discussion

Think its complex & cant just put a number with respect to whole NHS, as if the virus was as simply spread neatly like below, since that's not how it works

E.g Liverpool was swamped last autumn while London was relatively sound Like, latest data up the 7th Sep 21 has Liverpool University Hospitals FT already over half the ICU beds of January peak, a time where make-shift beds had to be made cos of how overwhelmed the situation was <- during a lockdown that constrained other resp virus & accidents
Jan 15, 2021 21 tweets 7 min read
Weekly update on the #COVID19 situation in Liverpool: 15th Jan 2021

- Weekly cases possibly peak on 8th Jan at 5,419.
- Both under & over 60's rate starting to fall. 🙂
- BUT, Liverpool hospitals admissions have increased sharply, passing highest levels from 2nd wave 😩

1/19 Total weekly cases were seen to grow >3x that of previous week at end of year but weekly growth has now declined & cases are now falling.

The peak occurred 8th Jan but more importantly cases are still higher than in 2nd wave, so restrictions still necessary. 2/19
Jan 15, 2021 5 tweets 3 min read
Liverpool #COVID19 Community Testing: 14th Jan 2021 update

The pilot is over but Liverpool are still rolling out lateral flow tests in some form or another. Here's the weekly breakdown from 7th Dec.

CB = Christmas Break

Data: liverpool.gov.uk/communities-an… 1/5 Weekly LFT fraction of +ves, for those areas not affected by small number suppression:

No more low numbers so can see the fractions in all areas now

33% of Wavertree's cases were identified by asymptomatic testing last week. Mean of 23% across all areas 2/5
Jan 13, 2021 5 tweets 3 min read
Liverpool #COVID19 Community Testing: 13th Jan 2021 update

The pilot is over but Liverpool are still rolling out lateral flow tests in some form or another. Here's the weekly breakdown from 7th Dec.

CB = Christmas Break

Data: liverpool.gov.uk/communities-an… 1/5 Image Weekly LFT fraction of +ves, for those areas not affected by small number suppression:

No more low numbers so can see the fractions in all areas now

35% of Central Liverpool's cases were identified by asymptomatic testing last week. Mean of 23% across all areas 2/5 Image
Jan 12, 2021 5 tweets 3 min read
Liverpool #COVID19 Community Testing: 12th Jan 2021 update

The pilot is over but Liverpool are still rolling out lateral flow tests in some form or another. Here's the weekly breakdown from 7th Dec.

CB = Christmas Break

Data: liverpool.gov.uk/communities-an… 1/5 Image Weekly LFT fraction of +ves, for those areas not affected by small number suppression:

No more low numbers so can see the fractions in all areas now

37% of central Liverpool's cases were identified by asymptomatic testing last week. Mean of 23% across all areas 2/3 Image
Jan 8, 2021 18 tweets 7 min read
Weekly update on the #COVID19 situation in Liverpool: 8th Jan 2021

- Weekly cases now surpass 2nd wave's highest weekly number.
- Steep rise in both under & over 60's age groups.
- COVID patients in the Royal now on the up.

😕

1/18 Image Total weekly cases increased at a speed never seen during the 2nd wave, growing > 3x that of previous week.

Many reasons for this. Personal opinion; Christmas mixing probably dominating the rise, egged on by already recent increase in prevalence + new variant. 2/18 Image