Aryn Toombs Profile picture
Journalist by way of words, photos, and data. Bylines at @LiveWireCalgary. Covid-19 data and analysis at Charting Alberta Covid.
Feb 16, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
Severe #covid19ab outcomes for babies, children, and youth:
• 1 new hosp., incld. 1 ICU for under one
• 2 new hosp. for 1-4
• 2 new hosp. for 5-9
• 6 new hosp. for 10-19 The count of pediatric hospitalizations is now getting very close to doubling what we had total for the entire pandemic before the beginning of the 5th wave.

Currently to date we've had 917 hospitalizations for youth, versus 475 on Dec. 12 when the 5th wave began.
Sep 10, 2021 6 tweets 2 min read
A deeper numbers dive into 2021 school outbreaks:

With the school #covid19ab outbreak threshold changed from an absolute value to a percentage this year, we're going to see a lot less outbreaks even if schools have the same number of cases. 🧵👇 Thus far from the 13 outbreaks publicly announced, using 2020/2021 enrollment estimates, the schools range from 65 to 839 students with the median school size ~240. This is well below the overall median of ~320 for all schools in Alberta.
Sep 9, 2021 6 tweets 3 min read
Thursday #covid19ab brief:
• 1522 new cases (-12 to previous days)
• 7 day trend is now 1247
• +359 active cases to 15,977
• +32 hospitalizations
• 9 new deaths
aryntoombs.github.io/brief/ The daily case numbers rise back up for Wednesday numbers restoring the day over day rising trend post Labour Day.
Sep 9, 2021 7 tweets 4 min read
Belated Wed. #covid19ab brief:
• 1229 new cases (-63 to previous days)
• 7 day trend is now 1293
• +132 active cases to 15,618
• +45 hospitalizations to 647 (+16 to previous days)
• 18 new deaths

aryntoombs.github.io/brief/ And the daily adjustment chart with net 63 cases being removed between October 25th, 2020 and September 6th, 2021.
Sep 7, 2021 5 tweets 3 min read
Tuesday #covid19ab brief (Fri-Mon #s):
• 1336, 1457, 825, 1309 new cases (-6, -7, -5, -6 to prev days)
• 7 day trend is now 1484
• +87 hospitalizations from Fri (515 to 602)
• +1,991 active cases to 15,486
• 17 new deaths

aryntoombs.github.io/brief/ 30 day waterfall chart of #covid19ab trends, and whiskers for actual daily cases. And as indicated last Friday the recalculation removed the flattening once the entire week's data was available. Image
Sep 7, 2021 5 tweets 3 min read
Rodeos and #covid19ab? Probably not what you think, or at least not for all Rodeos. A thread:

Looking at the active cases post Alberta Rodeos gives us some interesting results. As the data shows, only one Rodeo stands out and was the La Crete Rodeo in the High Level LGA. Image We can compare this again with the vaccination rate versus the growth rate (max active at 21 days - active at the start of the Rodeo) and La Crete stands out as an extreme outlier. Image