Demographer working on evolutionary ecology, infectious disease dynamics, health policy
Feb 18, 2020 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Striking age profile of the CFR reported by China CDC Weekly for #COVID19 in China on Feb 11 (Table 1 in weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/…)
Even if every other feature of this outbreak is unchanged, this alone could alter burden internationally. Applying the profile of case fatality over age from CDC China (A), to UN estimates of pop age structure (B), shows these effects on relative total mortality (C).
Oct 31, 2019 • 13 tweets • 8 min read
Measles vaccination is already often referred to as a 'best-buy' in public health - new results indicate that the public health benefits may be even more important than was thought. Another wonderful bit of work led by @michaelmina_lab out today in @sciencemagazine
@michaelmina_lab@sciencemagazine This builds on a powerful integration across several fields. From Rick de Swart's group, in 2012, a macaque model of measles suggested immune memory depletion by the virus might leave infected individiuals vulnerable to other infections in a previously unconsidered way
