Writer: @categorypirates, @harvardbiz, 5 bks/Advisor: I help grow $1B+ category kings Teacher:/How can I be a rainmaking partner, grow my biz, maximize CAC/LTV
As always, the question matters more than the answer
- Don't ask what it will be ask
- Ask what must be true for this to be good...
- ...and for whom?
🧵👇💰🏴☠️🛳️
1. Going private will be good for the health of the biz
- Twitter revenue is up from $3.4B in '19 to $5.1B in '21
- Users (mDAU) is up 152MM to 217MM from '19-'21
- But operating margins cratered from +11% to -10%
Something is not right. It is easier to fix without a spotlight
Other superconsumers are supers BECAUSE of life
- You have a baby. You become a life insurance super
- You move to a new house. You become a Lowe's super
Discerning the difference matters
Supers for life = highest LTV & your north star for strategy and category design
- Yes they are financially valuable
- But they are far more valuable strategically
- They guide your growth strategy...
- & biz model innovation & data flywheel
Apr 11, 2022 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
The content pyramid below was the product of several days of intense discussion, co-creation & refinement with @lochhead and @Nicolascole77
It's remarkable how well it mirrors each of our careers, as a 3x Silicon Valley CMO, Digital Writer & Entrepreneur extraordinaire and a management consultant who specialized in growth strategy
Apr 4, 2022 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
Thought leadership is the most valuable asset in my career. It helped me become...
- A senior partner in consulting
- A successful solopreneur
- An author and writer
- An exponentially better investor
- A better father and husband
The Content Pyramid is the key 🧵👇
Level 1: Consumption
I started reading the WSJ in my senior year of college when I started interviewing for jobs. But I didn't know what to read, nor did I fully understand what I was reading. This is despite my studying econ & poli sci @UChicago
Mar 30, 2022 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Are Native Digitals who are expert languagers the new "nuclear deterrent" both in international relations and in business?
Does Porter's 5 forces need to add a 6th to include Native Digitals who can influence the world's consumers and business leaders to turn on a dime
🧵👇
My favorite course in college was War and the Nation State taught by Prof. John Mearsheimer.
He taught that nations were rational actors who would always seek to gain power at the expense of weaker neighbors, if they believed they could win with high probability and low cost.
Mar 3, 2022 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
This is not surprising at all. @Rivian is learning about pricing strategy 101 the hard way. 🧵👇
1. Raising prices is very hard in general. It's always better to start high and then come down.
Mar 2, 2022 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
@Ford is laying out the likely only path for long term survival for legacy automotive, which is separating the legacy ICE vs. EV business.
It's not just about making a great EV product (though that is important).
It's about innovating on 8 levers category levers. 🧵👇
You don't have to do all 8...but enough on both the product/offer & the business model
1. Radically different benefit, for a radically different problem
They can just use Tesla's version, just like every other software company has followed Salesforce's evangelism of the cloud
Mar 1, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Creating a category is the ultimate growth strategy. But some people disagree and say Category Design is not for them.
We're not saying it is easy, but many of the reasons why some say they shouldn't create a category are flawed and false.
Here are the top 8 we've heard 🧵👇
1. You can't create demand out of thin air
Like the iPad?
2. It's too expensive
Versus spending hundreds of millions on price promotion?
3. It's not about categories, it's about communities
What about the Bored Ape Yacht Club wannabees?
Feb 28, 2022 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
I started my digital writing career by accident
~15 years ago, I was told I met all the criteria to be elected partner.
But my wife & I were unsure if we should have a 3rd child. The question was if I could serve my wife, 3 kids & my clients all at the same time
🧵👇
I realized that making partner was not the finish line, but the start of another race. I would be at the bottom of the partner totem pole again, depending on senior partners for opportunities. So when a senior partner said jump, I had to say how high
Feb 15, 2022 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
A few short questions predict the future of a business
- How likely are you to recommend this to a friend?
- Can you raise your prices without fear?
- Would you push all your chips in the middle for this?
But one of my favs is, “do you eat your own dog food?”🧵👇
'Do you eat your own dog food' tells you a lot about a company.
- Should you buy from this company?
- Should you work at this company?
- Should you invest in this company?
It's not just the answer that matters, but also the speed, forcefulness & emotion behind the answer
Jan 31, 2022 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
1x $PTON has been hit hard. Is it a buy or not?
@onepeloton is trading about where it IPO’d ~$27/share
In late 2019, it was a $9B market cap on $0.4B revenue for a ~22x revenue multiple
Now it is $9B market cap on $4B of revenue or 2.2x
Not because I don't believe in the tech & @tesla...
...but b/c I've studied consumers for decades & context is king
2x Not all consumers are the same re: driving
- Some drive aggressively vs. cautiously
- Some are always early vs. late
- Some drive angry & competitively vs. carefree
Solving for FSD is hard enough. But who you are as a driver will determine whether or not you like FSD
Jan 25, 2022 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
I started dabbling in real estate investing 20 yrs ago
- I bought/sold ~10 single families, condos, multi-units
- Primary residence, rentals, timeshares, new & old
- I lost big during the 2008 crash
I finally hit a grand slam!
Here’s what I know now that I wish I knew then 🧵👇🏻
Step 1: Build a stomach for a longer-term horizon.
As immigrants, we grew up in a 2 bed/1 bath condo.
I hated how small it was. But my folks saved a lot…
…to pay for private school & college for my bro & me.