Antoine FLAHAULT Profile picture
Prof, MD, PhD, Dir. of the Institute of Global Health at the University of Geneva, and Deputy Dir. of the Swiss School of PH, Zürich - Tweets express my views
𝔅𝔬𝔤𝔡𝔞𝔫 ( ⵇⵙⵏⵟⵉⵏⴰ) ᠮᠤᠩᠭᠤᠯ ᠤᠯᠤᠰ Profile picture Karen Salitis Profile picture martine sigaudes Profile picture Anne ROLLAND Profile picture Kiki DuSud - 💉 #jemeferaivacciner Profile picture 7 added to My Authors
16 Jan
1/9 - “In the second wave we acquired much more evidence that schoolchildren are almost equally, if not more infected by SARS-CoV-2 than others.”
google.ch/amp/s/www.wsj.…
2/9 - “The problem is not that schools are unsafe for children,” Mr. Boris Johnson said last week. “The problem is schools may nonetheless act as vectors for transmission, causing the virus to spread between households.”
3/9 - “An antibody survey conducted by researchers in Geneva in May and December, using thousands of random samples, found that children of age 6 to 18 were getting infected as often as young adults. The study has yet to be peer reviewed.”
Read 9 tweets
16 Jan
1/21. Jan 16 to Jan 22-
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/21. Denmark is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.67), at medium levels of activity, still increasing in mortality at very high levels, for 7 more days.
3/21. Switzerland is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.80), at high levels of activity, decreasing in mortality while still at high levels, for 7 more days.

(more details in the link above)
Read 24 tweets
16 Jan
1/9 - Switzerland -Jan 16 to 22-
The #COVID19 epidemic activity is improving in most cantons and mortality, although at high levels, is decreasing.
7 cantons detailed.
Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/9 - Valais is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.91), while remaining at high level of activity, plateauing at high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/9 - Geneva will be plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=0.98), at high levels, with very low levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Read 10 tweets
15 Jan
1/21. Jan 15 to Jan 21-
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/21. Denmark is quickly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.61), at medium levels of activity, with still increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/21. Switzerland is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.80), at high levels of activity, decreasing in mortality while still at high levels, for 7 more days.
Read 24 tweets
14 Jan
1/7 - “People who have already contracted coronavirus are as protected against reinfection as those who have received the best #COVID19 vaccines, according to a survey of 20,000 UK healthcare workers, the largest study in the world so far.”
ft.com/content/929ef3…
2/7 - “Public Health England regularly tested two matched groups of volunteers between June and November — 6,000 health workers who had previously been infected with coronavirus and 14,000 who had not.”
3/7 - “A comparison of infections in the 2 groups found that prior infection provided at least 83% protection against reinfection. It gave better than 94% protection against symptomatic #COVID19 , matching the figures for the most effective #COVID19 vaccines.”
Read 7 tweets
14 Jan
1/21. Jan 14 to Jan 20-
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/21. Denmark is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.72), at medium levels of activity, with still increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
3/21. Switzerland is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.85), at high levels of activity, decreasing in mortality while still at high levels, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 24 tweets
14 Jan
1/10 - USA. Jan 14 to Jan 20-
The #COVID19 situation is plateauing at high levels of activity, and very high levels of mortality.
9 states detailed and analysis in:
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/10 - Massachusetts will be slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.85), at high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
3/10 - Vermont is experiencing a surge in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.29), at high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 12 tweets
14 Jan
1/5 - Canada – Jan 12 to Jan 18 –
The country will be plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity, at medium levels, with high levels of mortality.
Forecasting for 13 Provinces/Territories:
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
4 Prov. in the thread. Image
2/5 - Quebec is plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=0.97), at high levels, with increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
3/5 - Ontario is plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.01), at high levels, increasing in mortality at high levels, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 7 tweets
13 Jan
1/7 -“A wave of new #COVID19 infections traced to migrant workers has ended Thailand’s solid run on containing the pandemic. The centre of the outbreak is Samut Sakhon province, a hub of the country’s $6bn seafood export industry in south-west of Bangkok.”
ft.com/content/7f98f0…
2/7 - “Now the outbreak is stirring debate about the corrupt practices that allowed the virus to resurface — and the role in the Thai economy of the more than 2.5m foreign migrants who do the kingdom’s toughest jobs, from laying pavements to peeling supermarket shrimp.”
3/7 - “Nearly all the new #COVID19 cases have been traced to migrants, some of whom entered the country illegally. Returning Thais and citizens of Myanmar have been slipping over the two countries’ long border without undergoing Thailand’s mandatory 14-day quarantine.”
Read 7 tweets
9 Jan
1/5 -La France aurait l’occasion et les moyens de développer une ambition “contagieuse” pour le reste de l’Europe vis-à-vis de la stratégie vaccinale. Voici une proposition en complément de la doctrine actuelle du pays.
2/5 - La France sait faire voter 38 des 54 millions de ses citoyens de plus de 18 ans, en 10 heures, sur une seule journée. Elle peut organiser dans chaque commune, sous l’impulsion de ses 36000 maires un dispositif semblable pour vacciner tous les adultes volontaires.
3/5 - Mais il faut pour cela savoir produire un vaccin pour près de 2x54 millions de doses. Cela demanderait 4 à 5 mois à un laboratoire qui a le savoir faire - comme Sanofi-Pasteur - qui devrait alors disposer d’un accès facilité à l’un des vaccins approuvés. Disons juin 2021.
Read 5 tweets
9 Jan
1/21. Jan 09 to Jan 15 -
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic 7-day-forecasting for 209 countries and territories.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

23.26 m already vaccinated as of Jan 09.
2/21. Denmark is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.79), at high to medium (by next mid-week) levels of activity, with still increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
112,427 vaccinated as of Jan 08.
3/21 - Belgium is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.87), at medium levels of activity, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
700 vaccinated as of Jan 02.
Read 24 tweets
8 Jan
1/7 - “The EU has hit back at criticism from member states that its bloc-wide vaccine procurement plan has failed to secure enough doses to enable a rapid start. [...] EC had been overly cautious in reaching agreements with vaccine manufact. last year”.
ft.com/content/c1575e…
2/7 - “The EU official’s intervention came as a blame game escalated over the slow pace of the vaccine rollout in many European countries. While Britain has vaccinated more than 1m people, as of Tuesday, Germany, Spain and France had vaccinated 367,00, 139,000 and 5,000 people.”
3/7 - “The EU, with a population of almost 450m, has assembled a portfolio totalling more than 2bn doses of seven different vaccines. But investments by the EU to help companies cover upfront costs appear to have been relatively modest compared with those agreed by the US.”
Read 7 tweets
8 Jan
1/21. Jan 08 to Jan 14 -
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic 7-day-forecasting for 209 countries and territories.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

17.33 m already vaccinated as of Jan 08.
2/21 - Belgium is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.87), at medium levels of activity, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
700 vaccinated as of Jan 02.
3/21. Germany is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.94), at high levels, with remaining very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
417,060 vaccinated as of Jan 06.
Read 24 tweets
8 Jan
1/10 - USA. Jan 08 to Jan 14-
The #COVID19 situation is getting worse with new rebounds or plateau in activity, and very high levels of mortality.
9 states detailed and analysis in:
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

5,92 m vaccinated by Jan 07.
2/10 - Massachusetts will be plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.02), at high levels, with increasing alarming levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/10 - Vermont will experience a surge again in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.27), at high levels, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Read 12 tweets
8 Jan
1/5 - Canada – Jan 08 to Jan 14 –
The country will experience an increase in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with very high levels of mortality.
4 Prov. in the thread.
Forecast for 13 Prov/Territ on:
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/5 - Quebec does not seem to succeed to take over control of its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.05), at high levels, with increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/5 - Ontario will see an increase in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.09), at high levels, with increasing high to very high (by next mid-week) levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Read 7 tweets
7 Jan
1/10 - “Last month, Israel began the world’s speediest coronavirus vaccination campaign, handing out first jabs of a two-shot BioNTech/Pfizer vaccine to more than 1m citizens. Millions more are planned.”
ft.com/content/0e2f59…
2/10 - “Next door, in the West Bank, occupied by the Israeli military, and in Gaza, blockaded by the same forces, millions of Palestinians waited for their turn. They are still waiting.”
3/10 - “The stark disparity is not just an illustration of the inequities that await the global rollout of #COVID19 vaccines, with wealthy nations racing ahead of poorer ones to immunise their citizens.”
Read 10 tweets
7 Jan
1/21. Jan 07 to Jan 13 -
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic 7-day-forecasting for 209 countries and territories.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

15.56 m already vaccinated as of Jan 06. Image
2/21 - Belgium is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.86), at medium levels of activity, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
700 vaccinated as of Jan 02. ImageImage
3/21. Germany is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.80), at medium levels, with remaining very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
367,331 vaccinated as of Jan 05. ImageImage
Read 24 tweets
7 Jan
1/7 - “The UK, Ireland, Germany, Denmark and some northern Italian regions have all ordered schools to shut for several weeks to try to contain #COVID19 infections, in some cases on the back of extended Christmas holidays.”
ft.com/content/8121ca…
2/7 - “We know how important it is for parents to have to look after
children and how important learning is for children . . . and how important educational qualifications are in our country,” said Markus Söder, prime minister of Bavaria, “It was a “difficult decision”
3/7 - “European countries largely kept schools open last autumn even as they imposed a second lockdown, shutting bars, restaurants, leisure venues and non-essential shops. It was a stark contrast with the first lockdown in the spring when many switched to remote learning.”
Read 7 tweets
6 Jan
1/9 - “Beijing has barred the entry of a 10-member World Health Organization team investigating the origins of the #COVID19 pandemic after their visas were not approved.”
ft.com/content/7e9ce6…
2/9 - “The slow progress of the WHO probe and its lack of access into the origins of the pandemic have drawn criticism from the US and calls for greater transparency from some western governments.”
3/9 - “China maintains that it welcomes the investigation, which will be primary focused on identifying when, where and how the #SARSCoV2 virus that causes #COVID19 made the jump from animals to humans.”
Read 9 tweets
6 Jan
1/9 - Switzerland -Jan 06 to 12-
The country is plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity, at high levels, with very high levels of mortality.
7 cantons detailed.
Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/9 - Valais is experiencing a surge again in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.22), at high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/9 - Geneva will be slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.95), at high levels, with low levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Read 10 tweets
6 Jan
1/21. Jan 06 to Jan 12 -
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic 7-day-forecasting for 209 countries and territories.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

14.56 m already vaccinated as of Jan 05.
2/21 - Belgium is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.87), at medium levels of activity, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Vaccine campaign has started. No data reported.
3/21. Germany is plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=0.97), at high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Soft lockdown.
316,962 vaccinated as of Jan 04.
Read 24 tweets