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Good Fundies Brian Profile picture
Good Fundies Brian
@GoodFundies
Be nice. #LFGM
Jun 9, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Sorry to be that optimist, but haven't we all watched enough baseball by now to know that anything can happen? This Mets team has serious talent on it. The story at the end of the season could be anything.

1/3 In one future, the Mets lose six in a row and Alonso gets injured, they spiral out of contention, Buck gets fired, it's a disappointment.

In another future, Scherzer and Verlander right the ship (as we expected!) and the deep Mets lineup does enough until Alonso gets back.

2/3
Jul 21, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
I've said it before and I'll say it again. Giacometti's "Pointing Man" is the most famous work in Steve Cohen's collection, but Hirst's "The Physical Impossibility of Death in the Mind of Someone Living" is the best one. Image By calling his sculpture “The Physical Impossibility of Death in the Mind of Someone Living,” Hirst is challenging us to comprehend death. He’s telling us we can’t fathom “death,” even though we are face-to-face with a dead animal. blog.sevenponds.com/soulful-expres…
Jul 20, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Do you do it if it costs Alvarez, Mauricio, Drew Smith and a low level prospect, plus take on half of what’s owed to Patrick Corbin? Lots of replies. Let’s vote.
Jul 20, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
I came out of retirement to look at the historical comps for a potential Juan Soto trade. #Mets #LGM #Soto
goodfundies.com/what-might-it-… "Cabrera and Willis brought two consensus Top Ten prospects, plus other parts. Betts brought much less, two Top ~40 prospects and another piece, because he was attached to Price’s $92 million price tag."
Jul 19, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Struggling to remember here: who are the best players traded in MLB in the last twenty years? The biggest talents at the youngest age with AT LEAST a full year of control remaining. Bonus points if they are pre-FA contract. A-Rod and Stanton both had massive contracts. Scherzer was impending FA. Sabathia too. Machado too. Johan too.

I think the answer is Miguel Cabrera? Or Francisco Lindor? Lesser guys like Josh Donaldson?
Jun 22, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
People keep blowing up my mentions because I think Pete Alonso has a near-zero chance of being a Hall of Famer. Sorry guys, it's true. But it's not an insult! I love Pete and he's great. But he's 110th among active players in WAR. Pete's 27. If you limit it to active players 28 in their age 28 and younger seasons, he's 77th in WAR.

This is in a group with Tommy Edman, Willy Adams, Salvador Perez and Nick Castellanos. He's closer to Jonathan Villar (9.3) than Brandon Nimmo (12.5).
Jun 12, 2022 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
The Mets offense is good, but it has a desperate need for one more bat. And not generically, "oh they could use help." But more like "this team cannot for the life of them find a ninth hitter." The Mets offense has been great this year. It has a 114 wRC+ and they lead MLB in runs scored.

But they are 13th in wRC+ from DH. With almost all of that damage coming from Pete Alonso (172 wRC+ in 66 PA).

Davis has been better lately, but it's unclear if he sticks.
Oct 22, 2021 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
The 2015 Mets were the best team I have ever watched regularly. Wright, Duda, Granderson, Cespedes, Conforto, Murphy was six deep wRC+ 130 or better. The rotation has deGrom, Harvey, Syndergaard, Matz all healthy with Familia and Reed. Just outrageous. It doesn't look as good on paper because Murphy only started going nuts in August... Cespedes, Wright and Conforto aren't among the PA leaders... Reed and Syndergaard weren't there for full seasons... we didn't know what deGrom was yet fully...
Aug 2, 2021 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Been off Twitter for almost a month. I feel MUCH better.

Twitter is an outrage machine- it incentivizes people to the most polarizing, dramatic takes and cruel replies. It’s a bad place.

Unless social is your job, I highly recommend a break to everyone. Not signing Kumar Rocker is a shame, but the Mets clearly came to the judgment that the compensation pick next year was worth more to them than signing Rocker today, even if he was willing to accept less than the reported $6M. It is not more complicated than that.
Jan 28, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Can we permanently retire "he turned out to be a disappointment" discourse about athletes who turn out to be merely EXTREMELY GREAT rather than Hall of Famers, perennial All Stars, etc.? Do writers have any idea how hard it is to be a good major leaguer? Maybe to you, mediocre sportswriter man, a player like Steven Matz didn't live up to his potential.

But to me, I look at a player like that and am AWED at his ability to persevere through Tommy John, his 95 mph fastball, his conditioning and IRON WILL.
Jan 27, 2021 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Fans seem to be underrating the Mets bullpen. It's very good. Here's why.

Lugo is a bonafide stud. 2.70 ERA in 2019, equally dominant in 2020. Set it and forget it.

Diaz has been the best reliever in baseball 2 of the last 3 years. Split the difference? Still great. (1/6) I wasn't crazy about the trade for Miguel Castro, but since he's here, we count him. His ERA has been between 3.53 and 4.66 the last four years, and his K rate spiked last season to 13.86. Could be an improvement candidate. (2/6)
Sep 24, 2020 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
It's important to understand that the Metsiness of the Mets is not innate. They have not always been a losing franchise, they have not always had meddling owners and more embarrassing fiascos than the rest of the division combined. 1/4 From 1969 to 1988, the Mets won the division four times, winning the World Series twice, losing once, and losing in the NLCS in seven games another time.

From 1997-2000, the year before the Wilpons took control, the Mets won an average of 92 games per year. 2/4
Sep 22, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
This isn't homerism--- it is an objective, data-based and very compelling case for Jacob deGrom, who is 2nd in the NL in WAR (1st in Ks, 1st in K/9, 4th in WHIP, 5th in ERA).

How much harder has deGrom's schedule been so far, you ask? The average OPS+ of deGrom's opponents this year has been 112.9 (!). For Darvish, it is 91.6, for Burnes it is 89.6 and for Bauer it is 89.5.

Jake has faced TB, Philly 2x, ATL 2x, and BOS. Bauer, for comparison's sake, has faced DET 3x and PIT 2x. @MarcCarig
Sep 15, 2020 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
The attitudes of fans absolutely do have an effect on real life operations of a team. Not only do we impact the bottom line ($$) but we impact the narrative with other fans and in the media. You think pros like Healey, Britton, Thosar, Carig, etc. are not hearing Twitter? Twitter did not "make" the Mets sell the team. But if you think that the constant drumbeat of dissatisfaction and, more importantly, scrutiny of this team and its finances didn't make a difference, you don't understand the business world. They're real people, they read the paper.
Sep 14, 2020 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Statcast Outs Above Average is now live. Some highlights.

Gimenez: +4
Rosario: +3
Guillorme: +2
Cano: +2
McNeil (OF): +2
McNeil (IF): -2
Davis (OF): -2
Davis (IF): -3
Alonso: -3
Conforto: -3
Nimmo: -4

Some observations...
baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/ou… Gimenez, Rosario, and Guillorme's stats are even more impressive when you consider the split of playing time. Guillorme has done this in just 42 fielding attempts. Happy to see that Rosario grades out so positively so far as well. Rosario and Gimenez are fairly close on attempts.
Sep 11, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
It deGrom wins the Cy Young this year, he'll have 3.02 Cy Young "shares", which would put him 14th all time, a hair behind Sandy Koufax.

That's good, but you must also consider that the current 14th, Johan Santana, is not getting in. And 15th, Corey Kluber, won't either. That Santana was one-and-done on the ballot is one of the most infuriating things to me.

Ultimately, Santana's career almost compares to Koufax's, and Santana also retired because of injury. But because he didn't go out at the top of his game, people see it differently.
Sep 11, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Michael Conforto has 14.3 bWAR as Met, ranking him 17th in franchise history.

He is ahead of such franchise icons as Gary Carter, Robin Ventura, and Daniel Murphy, and within a couple WAR of Lenny Dykstra (16.6), Kevin McReynolds (15.8), and John Olerud (17.3). Conforto's career on-base percentage is .358, good for 11th all time as a Met. His slugging percentage is .487, good for 8th all-time.

His OPS of 846 also ranks 8th, ahead of Cliff Floyd, Keith Hernandez, Edgardo Alfonzo, Lucas Duda, Howard Johnson, and Robin Ventura.
Sep 7, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I don't typically post a lot of old-fashioned statistics on here, but Michael Conforto is now batting .347. Yes, .347!

If that held it would be the third best mark in team history (Olerud and Piazza in 1998 hit .354 and .348 respectively Conforto's xBA is .308, which sounds about right. The .415 BABIP will come down, but he's surely arrived.

His upside has always been a .300 hitter with discipline and power, a true .300/.400/.500 guy (before the ball was juiced, so maybe .300/.400/.550 now). Here we are.
Sep 2, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Win, lose, who cares! We are blessed to have baseball be a distraction for us right now. The Mets could lose every game the rest of the way and so long as the Wilpons and BVW are gone by winter it’ll be one of the best years ever. It honestly cannot be overstated how much of a rotten cancer the Wilpons were as owners. They were petty and vindictive in addition to dumb and cheap. They’d do stuff like this.

Aug 29, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Jeff Wilpon sucks so bad that they had to exclude him from the negotiation of the sale of the Mets, a sale that’s only happening because his family doesn’t trust him to run the team alone when Fred retires. nypost.com/2020/08/28/met… Lolol Image
Aug 27, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Heard a couple interesting things about the Mets game today.

First, it sounds like the Marlins are going to decide, then communicate it to the Mets via a personal communication to Conforto. And the Mets & Marlins are going to present a united front on the decision. Second, I'm hearing that the Mets -- believe it or not -- are standing behind the players' decision on this and that all of the pressure to play is coming from the Commissioner's Office. Which puts the owners (who are beholden to him) in a tough spot.