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Apr 4, 2021 11 tweets 2 min read
Seems to be some misunderstanding about the term "mobilisation". There's "general mobilisation", which is state level, armed forces-wide. This is NOT happening in Russia right now. At the other end of the scale there is "unit mobilisation", which IS happening now in Russia. 1/ And varying degrees of mobilisation in between the two. Currently, a significant number of units from every military district (mainly Southern, but also Western, Central and to lesser extent Eastern) have been and continue to be mobilised. In addition, a significant number.. 2/
Apr 3, 2021 11 tweets 5 min read
@Andy_Scollick Agree. These look like standard "MC" roundels (size, position) that have been partially obscured by some (temporary) pink-reddish paint. Same as in July-August 2014.

Does anyone have better quality videos? 🧵 There is rumint that Russian Armed Forces are considering entering occupied Donbas as "peacekeeping" forces (MC) to consolidate before an annexation. If these vehicles get to anywhere near the Ukraine border, that would corroborate that rumint.
Oct 16, 2020 4 tweets 1 min read
@RoisinShortall @SocDems We appreciate your efforts to press Government for tighter travel controls/restrictions. Keep pressing them! We know of people who are a) still travelling between Donegal-Derry and West Cork (occasionally via England and France) and .. 1/3 .. b) a Dutch couple planning on travelling by car from the Netherlands to West Cork second home via Belgium, France, Eurostar through Channel Tunnel, drive across England, through Wales, ferry to Rosslare then to West Cork. Multiple stops for petrol, WC, food etc. Madness! 2/3
Jul 18, 2020 4 tweets 1 min read
Hypothetically speaking. Russia has the capability to mobilise over 150,000 Ground Forces troops for operational deployment against Ukraine within 96 hours of receiving an alert. 80,000 of those could cross into Ukraine during the first 24 hours. That's for starters. 1/3 Over 5,000 Russian VDV airborne troops plus several thousand Naval Infantry (marines), intelligence (GRU) & other spestnaz units would spearhead to seize and/or destroy strategic targets. Then there are Russia's reserve forces, and the National Guard (maybe 150,000 of them). 2/3
Feb 21, 2020 15 tweets 4 min read
Is the OTT exaggeration that "The Putin regime has mapped out a plan to invade #Ireland" 👇 a deliberate or accidental muddying of the waters to dampen down news about Russia's real interests in Ireland? Thread #slandail centerforsecuritypolicy.org/2020/02/20/rus… "he "invasion plan" idea is being spread by the Center for Security Policy @securefreedom, which is described as a far-right, anti-Muslim, prone to conspiracy theories, Washington DC based think tank. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Center_fo…