Harrison Lavelle Profile picture
Nov 9, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
Updates on VA-02, 07, 10 (Thread)

VA-02: Kiggans 56-44%
VA-07: Vega 51-49%
VA-10: Wexton 51-49%

(See below) ImageImageImage *should be prefaced by the fact that there are outstanding mail-ins*

VA-02: Looking good for Kiggans. Margins reminding me of Youngkin 2021, who carried this seat 55-44%. VA Beach here is Kiggans 55-45 compared to Youngkin's 54-46 margin.
Nov 7, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
Going to advertize the @SplitTicket_ predictions once again because a lot of careful consideration went into each important call. @lxeagle17, @Thorongil16, and myself were detailed in our reasoning and presentation of potential caveats. (1/4) (2/4) The Senate 50-49 R + GA Runoff
From @lxeagle17

split-ticket.org/2022/11/07/our…
Jan 1, 2021 5 tweets 2 min read
Happy 2021 Election Twitter! As a special gift to my Illinois friends I present three new maps and a short thread below. Chicagoland is one of my new favorite regions to study politically. I hope you all enjoy the holiday! #ElectionTwitter ImageImageImage IL6 - Drawn to be a Republican vote sink, the 6th is now becoming reliably Democratic. It's currently held by Democrat Sean Casten, who was just won a second term over Fmr St. Rep Jeanne Ives, who won only the Lake County portion. Casten's margin was slightly greater this year.
Dec 27, 2020 12 tweets 4 min read
Day 1: Illinois-3 - This year progressive Democrat Marie Newman significantly underperformed Dan Lipinski's bloated 2018 margin in the district. Please follow the thread below for detailed analysis of this fascinating Chicago-based district. #ElectionTwitter ImageImageImage It all began earlier this year when Marie Newman successfully defeated long-time Congressman Dan Lipinski in a primary rematch. Lipinski had served since his father's retirement in 2005 and had formed a record as one of the most conservative members of the Democratic caucus. Image
Jul 11, 2020 14 tweets 5 min read
QGIS Learning Thread Below! Are you interested in learning how to map? I’m going to go step by step to produce a Texas Map. Follow along and you will be able to try it yourself. #ElectionTwitter Step 1: You want to download a shapefile that properly fits your data. In this case we are testing a Texas VTD file. This is trial and error, but it is important to have a shapefile that matches. In your downloads, drag and drop the .shx file onto the QGIS Canvas and it will show