This is one of the most important threads I’ve ever posted. The sharpest analysis of Israel’s failed defense doctrine, from a psychological perspective, plus 5 key recommendations ⬇️ Israel’s modern mode of thinking is entirely different than psyche & mindset of its enemies, says psychologist & researcher Ofer Grosbard. Israel must develop a much deeper understanding of how its enemies see the world ⬇️

1. US admin authorizes sale of over $5 billion in military gear to Egypt. Some Israeli observers have previously warned that Egypt’s significant military buildup could one day be directed at Israel --> 2. The massive arms package includes 555 Abrams tanks, over 2,000 Hellfire missiles, and precision-guided munitions, @TimesofIsrael reports. This raises questions about Egypt’s long-term intentions -->

1. Strikes in Tehran & Beirut force Iran to decide if it wants full-scale war vs Israel or gradual de-escalation of current conflict, says defense analyst Ron Ben-Yishai; Israel signals that it’s ready to enter direct war vs Tehran if Iran axis doesn’t step back --> 2. Israel must prepare for possible regional war vs Iran axis, Ben-Yishai writes via @ynetalerts, including heavy missile & drone barrages from Iranian soil plus battles with Iran’s regional militias to be mobilized by Tehran -->

1. A war in Lebanon will present Israel with serious challenges, as Hezbollah is much more powerful than Hamas. But IDF has some distinct advantages. Here’s a breakdown of some of the key factors:

>>> 2. Hezbollah is the world’s most well-armed terror org, stronger than many national armies. The group has a huge missile & rocket arsenal, precise weapons, large stockpile of drones, naval assets, some air defenses

Dramatic details on October 7 assault: Hamas attack plan included raids on Dimona & Tel Aviv, says journalist Ilan Kfir via @kann_news; Hamas placed large forces on standby to execute 2nd phase of assault deep into Israel. Here are the details ⬇️ 1. Hamas planned 2nd wave of deep raids on October 7, including attack on Dimona where Israel’s nuclear reactor is located; other terror squads aimed to reach Shikma prison in Ashkelon to free jailed terrorists

Gaza war status update:
1. IDF achieves operational control in 70% of Gaza; army will soon seize control of Khan Younis area as well; large number of terrorists captured in city are a source of high-quality intelligence info

>>> 2. IDF says 17 of 24 Hamas battalions defeated; Israeli forces currently engaged in fighting 2 battalions in Khan Younis area; 3 functioning Hamas battalions remain in Rafah, 2 in Dir al-Balah in central Gaza

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Are tunnels turning into a death trap for Hamas? The vast tunnel network in Gaza was built to protect the Hamas terror army & leadership. But as Israeli forces move deeper into Gaza, Hamas is facing some problems…

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Problem 1: You can seal off tunnels or pour things into them: Water, cement, gas, explosives… you can send in robots... but it doesn’t work the other way around. Terrorists inside a tunnel have limited options for targeting those outside…

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1/ Israel's new spy aircraft, the Oron, is ready for action after being equipped with state-of-the-art tech by the Defense Ministry. It can swiftly locate targets under any weather conditions, marking a significant leap in Israel's military power 2/ The aircraft will enhance the IDF's ability to identify targets for attack in Iran, Iraq, Yemen, and other remote locations. Powered by artificial intelligence, the Oron can gather intel on thousands of enemy targets within seconds

Potential missile assault on Jerusalem – a thread:

1. Likelihood of missile attacks on Jerusalem in the next war is 100%, says IDF officer in charge of protecting the capital (via @ynetalerts). Intel experts mapped potential damage, calculated expected death toll 2. The IDF estimates that Iran axis will target Knesset and other Israeli government buildings in Jerusalem to disrupt decision-making in wartime. Tehran will hope to create chaos & uncertainty in the city, disrupt Israeli political-military chain of command

How Syrian experience screwed up Russian army:
1. #Russia used Syria battleground to prepare its troops for future wars. But turns out this was terrible preparation for the kind of war the Russians are now fighting in Ukraine 2. Russian Air Force became used to operating in almost sterile environment. No effective air defenses, no opposing Air Force, plus Syria not very large. Russian pilots would mostly take off for short flights to bomb undefended targets