Joseph Dempsey Profile picture
Research Associate for Defence & Military Analysis @IISS_org My views are my own
Nov 4 4 tweets 2 min read
North Korea launch suspected ballistic missile The timing of North Korea's launch on the eve of the US elections is unlikely coincidental.

While it may be timed to make a undiplomatic point, there may still be an underlying developmental dimension depending on the ballistic missile system tested.

Sep 17 6 tweets 3 min read
North Korea launches suspected ballistic missile according to South Korea (JCS) and Japan (MoD)

A single missile could likely indicate a
medium-long range system or something novel like a HGV test.

m-en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202407… Both South Korea (JCS) and Japan (MoD) subsequently clarifying 'multiple' ballistic missile were launched by North Korea

🕖~06:50 (🇰🇷) / 06:53 & 07:23 (🇯🇵)
▶️~400km (🇰🇷)
🔼 No data
🗺️Launch from Kaechon area, North of Pyongyang (🇰🇷)

Sep 17 6 tweets 3 min read
My latest #MilitaryBalance @IISS_org blog utilises @Maxar satellite imagery to identify new progress by North Korea 🇰🇵 in modifying an Il-76 transport aircraft, providing additional evidence that is intended to be an airborne early warning (AEW) platform.
iiss.org/online-analysi… 1⃣. Satellite imagery by from 8 September 2024 shows the modifications on top of the fuselage uncovered for the first time with two convergent vertical struts consistent with a possible radar-dome mounting.

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Sep 12 4 tweets 3 min read
North Korea launched "multiple ballistic missiles" this morning according to Japan MoD

🕖 07:10 - 07:14 (GMT+9)
▶️>350km
🔼~100km

mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…
Image Given the trajectories, multiples and time spread I assess North Korea's KN-25 guided MRLS would be the most likely candidate, rather than a 'traditional' ballistic missile.

Image
Jun 25 4 tweets 2 min read
Possible North Korea missile launch reported by Japan MoD. North Korea ballistic missile launch confirmed by South Korea JCS

yna.co.kr/view/AKR202406…
May 30 7 tweets 4 min read
North Korea🇰🇵 launched "multiple ballistic missile" from Pyongyang's Sunan area.

🕕 06:13
▶️>350km
🔼~100km

Source: mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…
Image "around 10 short-range ballistic missiles" according to ROK JCS
en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202405…
Apr 1 6 tweets 3 min read
North Korea launched suspected ballistic missile. North Korea presumed to have launched an IRBM from Pyongyang region at 06:53 (GMT+9) according to South Korea JCS en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202404…
Mar 17 7 tweets 4 min read
Japan MoD reports suspected North Korea ballistic missile launch

mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2… North Korea launched three ballistic missiles

🕢07:44
▶️350km
🔼50km

🕢07:44
▶️350km
🔼50km

🕣08:21
▶️350km
🔼50km

Source: Japan MoD
mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…
Image
Feb 14 6 tweets 3 min read
North Korea conducts 5th round of cruise missile tests since start of 2024.

en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202402… North Korea claim test of "Baasuri-6" AShM

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Aug 13, 2023 5 tweets 3 min read
North Korea 🇰🇵 typhoon relief effort provides a rare glimpse of KPAF Mi-26 Halo heavy transport helicopter

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North Korea 🇰🇵 received four Mi-26 Halo - the worlds largest production helicopter - from Russia 🇷🇺 in 1995/96. They are based at Pukchang (East) air base (39.490030, 126.000379) Image
Mar 19, 2023 8 tweets 5 min read
North Korea conducts a further suspected ballistic missile launch

🕚11:05 / 02:05 GMT
▶️800km
🔼50km

Source: mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2… Depressed and "irregular trajectory" at this range could indicate KN-23 series, though previous max demonstrated range had been ~690km.

I would also not rule out a resumption of testing relating to claimed hypersonic manoeuvrable vehicles

Feb 8, 2023 4 tweets 3 min read
A truly epic capture by @Maxar potentially showing the moment #NorthKorea 🇰🇵 revealed a suspected new solid fuel ICBM system at the parade!!! Following the apparent Hwasong-17 ICBM pairs are four unidentified but apparently similarly sized canisterised systems
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Nov 2, 2022 4 tweets 3 min read
North Korea has reportedly fired at least 2⃣3⃣ missiles within the last 12 hours.

reuters.com/world/asia-pac… So far we only have official initial estimates of just three North Korea launches courtesy @ModJapan_jp

08:50 (23:50 Tue UTC)
▶️150 km 🔼 150 km
▶️200 km 🔼100 km
mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…

16:00 (09:00 UTC)
▶️? km 🔼<50km
mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2… ImageImage
Nov 2, 2022 13 tweets 7 min read
North Korea 🇰🇵 launched a possible ballistic missile states Japan 🇯🇵 @ModJapan_jp

mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2… Image South Korea JCS state North Korea 🇰🇵 missile fired in direction of South Korea island of Ulleungdo

For North Korea to test missiles in S or SE direction into East Sea and towards South Korean territory is highly unusually and particularly provocative.

yna.co.kr/view/AKR202211…
Oct 10, 2022 5 tweets 4 min read
North Korea 🇰🇵 finally broke its missile silence!

There is a lot to pack in this new show and tell... 🧵 So North Korea's curious lone 25 Sept SRBM test was actually the KN-23 derived SLBM fired from an inland reservoir! 👀
Mar 24, 2022 15 tweets 9 min read
#NorthKorea 🇰🇵 suspected to have successfully conducted its first full lofted trajectory test of Hwasong-17 ICBM (Thread🔽)
en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN202203… #Japan MoD estimates #NorthKorea missile flew for 71 minutes, covering a distance of about 1,100km with a max altitude exceeding 6000km
mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2…
Mar 22, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
Looks like #Russia @mod_russia migrated from @YouTube to domestic @rutube from video sharing ImageImage This follows recent external viewing restrictions to @mod_russia run @zvezdanews own @YouTube channel Image
Mar 18, 2022 4 tweets 4 min read
"tactical landing operation"🤔

#Russia 🇷🇺 @mod_russia publishes Ka-52 combat footage around Hostomel airport #Ukraine 🇺🇦 which appear to end with a forced landing. A less edited version...
Mar 15, 2022 7 tweets 5 min read
15 March satellite imagery @planet of Kherson Airport appears to show a number of #Russia 🇷🇺helicopters destroyed or damaged following reported #Ukraine 🇺🇦 strike (46.67358° N, 32.50764° E)
Mar 3, 2022 6 tweets 4 min read
Remains of #Russia 🇷🇺 3M14 Kalibr land-attack cruise missile, reportedly in Kyiv #Ukraine 🇺🇦 The 3M14 designation is specifically associated with the naval (surface and sub-surface) launched Kalibr LACM

Mar 1, 2022 6 tweets 6 min read
Interesting @planet imagery showing multiple impacts on Ozerne air base #Ukraine 🇺🇦

Notable at least two strikes that apparently failed to target the runaway. I have identified at least two further impacts points at Ozerne air base #Ukraine 🇺🇦 ImageImageImage