Karolina Hird Profile picture
Russia Team Deputy Lead + Analyst @TheStudyofWar writing about Russia's occupation of Ukraine and Russian force design// opinions mine.
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May 31 12 tweets 3 min read
Proud to share my new comment for @Telegraph examining Russia's ongoing genocide in Ukraine. I argue that Russia’s genocidal project is the purpose of Russia’s military operations, and Ukraine’s supporters must not separate the two. telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/05/3… Russia is undeniably carrying out a genocide in Ukraine. The Genocide Convention defines genocide as acts committed “with intent to destroy, in whole or in part” a specific group. This definition of genocide is important, and I use it as the guiding framework in all my research. Image
Apr 24, 2023 11 tweets 4 min read
Very excited to share my latest for @TheStudyofWar (alongside some phenomenal maps by @georgewbarros) on the current Russian order of battle (ORBAT) in Ukraine- a thread⬇️ 1/ We assess that Russian forces are operating along 7 axes: Kupyansk (NE Kharkiv Oblast); Luhansk Oblast; Bakhmut; Avdiivka-Donetsk City; western Donetsk/eastern Zaporizhia; western Zaporizhia; and Kherson Oblast. The force disposition along these lines tell us a lot.
Mar 20, 2023 10 tweets 4 min read
1/ It's been a while since I've done a thread on the overall pace and prospects of 🇷🇺 offensives in 🇺🇦... so here's a quick one on our latest @TheStudyofWar assessment on indicators that the overall 🇷🇺 spring offensive appears to be nearing culmination. 2/ 🇺🇦 mil officials have made several statements supporting @TheStudyofWar's assessment that the #Donbas offensive is nearing culmination. Eastern Group spox Cherevaty stated that current 🇷🇺 offensives cannot be called "a major strategic operation."
Feb 1, 2023 7 tweets 3 min read
1/ A quick 🧵on two seemingly innocuous things that are actually allowing 🇷🇺 occupation officials to strengthen social and administrative control of occupied areas of 🇺🇦: birth certificate registration and maternity capital. 2/🇷🇺-backed #Zaporizhia occupation head Balitsky announced that families in occupied Zaporizhia can register 🇺🇦 birth certificates- as long as they are translated into 🇷🇺 at the Ministry of Internal Affairs. How does this expand occupational control?