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MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis Profile picture
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis
@MRC_Outbreak
@WHO Collaborating Centre for infectious disease modelling. Follow us for regular reporting on coronavirus COVID-19, other research & opportunities.
2 subscribers
Feb 10, 2023 • 6 tweets • 9 min read
In this week’s #ScienceInContext @thepragmaticape speaks to @ThomRawson & Dr Natsuko Imai about delaying 2nd dose of #COVID19 vaccine in 2020/21:

➡️ UK changed strategy to delay 2nd dose

➡️ More people gained good protection from 1 dose

➡️ Likely prevented thousands of deaths Read all about the work modelling the impact of delaying 2nd doses of COVID vaccines in England, led by @dr_anne_cori and the team at @MRC_Outbreak @Imperial_Jameel and others, here
👇
imperial.ac.uk/news/243032/de…
Nov 27, 2020 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
UPDATE #COVID19 transmission

➡️3.5% chance of asymptomatic person vs 12.8% for symptomatic person to infect a close contact
➡️Chance of one household member infecting another is significantly higher when exposure is 5+ days vs 5 or less days

👇Report 38 imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-inf… Image Collaborators & authors (1/3)
CentrodeSaludPúblicadeCastellón @CIBERESPCIO @UCC @UJIuniversitat @JohnsHopkinsSPH @unibait @ubdbuzz CantonalHospitalOlten DrPrabhakarKoreHospital ChangiGeneralHospital
Jan 25, 2020 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
UPDATE: Transmissibility estimates of #coronavirus #2019nCoV at 2.6

Identification & testing potential cases to be as extensive as permitted by healthcare & testing capacity

🔰imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-inf…

@neil_ferguson @dr_anne_cori @SRileyIDD @MarcBaguelin @IlariaDorigatti Summary 1/8 - Self-sustaining human-to-human transmission of novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) is the only plausible explanation of the scale of the outbreak in Wuhan. We estimate that on average each case infected 2.6 (uncertainty range: 1.5-3.5) other people up to 18th January 2020
Jan 22, 2020 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
UPDATE: Report estimates 4000 cases #coronavirus #2019nCoV

Our estimate at 4,000 cases is more than double the past estimate due to increase of number of cases outside China. This should not be interpreted as implying the outbreak has doubled in size.

🔰imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-inf… Thread 1/10: On January 17 we released estimates of the scale of the nCoV-19 outbreak in China based on an analysis of the number of cases detected outside mainland China.