Thread on the #1914 analogy to #Iran crisis: There has been a lot of talk in the past few days about the 1914 analogy because this current crisis, like the one in 1914, superficially involves an assassination. But there is another 1914 analogy to think about and maybe one more on point. What we have felt over the past few days is what Europeans felt in July-August 1914. One day (or hour) news looks very bad and the next it seems like all is well and we can return to our regular lives