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Mike Mostwill Profile picture
Mike Mostwill
@MikeMostwill
amateur wx forecaster primarily focused on NJ/NYC/EPA. Occasionally dabbling in biology/metabolic heath. All views expressed are my own.
Nov 30, 2022 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
1/11: #wxtwitter has been all over the mid/late Dec wintry wx potential. So I'll just toss in a few tidbits as we approach this period.

➡️Nothing is guaranteed in wx. This should be obvious, but is worth sharing. Just b/c confidence is high for a favorable pattern to evolve... 2/11: ...it doesn't assure a massive snowstorm will bury you in 2' of snow.

➡️The likelihood of EC cyclogenesis is merely increased in large part due to the high sigma, retrograding -NAO block.

➡️The -NAO isn't a great mechanism to usher in bitter low level cold, but it...