Do you see what I see? When short-dated U.S. treasuries are elevated, what's the market telling us? Here's the chart of short-dated U.S. treasuries with the S&P 500 overlay indicating short-term peak rates coincide with a stock market top. twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

Breadth can be useful as a risk measure indicator, and that's usually how I show it. For example, this is the % of financial sector stocks trending above the 50-day average. When most stocks are already in uptrends/downtrends, it becomes more likely the trend will reverse. 2) but you may consider the % in an uptrend may also be used for alpha seeking asymmetric risk-reward. Ie., when only a few stocks in a sector are in uptrends, maybe instead of investing in the index ETF you'd instead invest just in those stocks.

Fear & Greed Index tracks seven indicators of investor sentiment. It's gradually dialing back up to Greed, but not yet Extreme Greed. But when we take a look inside, and understand how it works, I see the main holdout is the . At around 22, the VIX still indicates a moderate level of FEAR, but we have to consider #VIX is fading from its highest level, ever, so its absolute level may not be as indicative.

1) Does hedging market risk with options work on stocks?

We have several ways to direct and control the risk of loss and drawdown. We can:

Sell to reduce exposure in uptrends
Apply trend following to sell after a trend reverses
Hedge dynamically when risk is high
Hedge always 2) The Cboe S&P 500 5% Put Protection Index is designed to track the performance of a hypothetical strategy that holds a long position indexed to the S&P 500® Index and buys a monthly 5% out-of-the-money S&P 500 Index (SPX) put option as a hedge, and rolls on a monthly basis.

1) A Bollinger Band is an observation of historical REALIZED VOLATILITY above/below a simple moving average of the price trend. It's an adaptive trading band as it adjusts to volatility swings in price. We can see volatility is dynamic, not static, over time. THREAD: 2) Placing a channel of volatility above/below the price trend allows us to see if prices are high/low on a relative basis. By definition, the price is HIGH at the UPPER band and the price is LOW at the LOWER band. The odds are best when the price trends outside the range.

1) Lot's of talk about the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio reaching an extreme low, but... 2) Yes, indeed, the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio reaching an extremely low level. In fact, it's as low as it has ever been going back to 2006.

@AndrewMcCurdy2 I like trends and drawing charts, so here is a few before I get in my pool heated with natural gas and solar :) and I'll add you here, too @jdouglaslittle Fossil Production and Renewable. @AndrewMcCurdy2 @jdouglaslittle different perspective:

#Momentum isn't all the same. The parameters such as time frame of lookback, how momentum is defined as an equation, position sizing method, and any volatility type overlays can have a material impact. But on the downside, all three of these #Momentum momentum indexes trended together, which tells me the edge of the S&P Momentum index was in getting exposure to higher upside momentum stocks that continued their trends.

#Momentum leads #Value #Momentum leads #Value over the past 30 days, too.

The energy sector is the most oversold so far. Energy sector is -43% from its early 2014 high.

So far, the dip in $SPX stocks has been minimal at -2.6% max. Emerging markets have dropped the most among global stock markets. $EEM $SPY $SPX $EFA