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Jan 23 49 tweets 8 min read
Goa Elections Prediction

BJP : 18-23
INC : 13-16
MGP : 2-3
AAP : 0-3
GFP : 0-1

Factors in favour of BJP -

1. This Government is not as unpopular as Parsekar Govt. 2. BJP got many strongmen from other parties in last 5 years who don’t need any symbol to win & they can win on their own.

3. Devendra Fadnavis’s election management has been good so far.

4. Goa never voted on religious lines but recent defections of majority of Christian MLAs
Jan 21 7 tweets 1 min read
Likely Rebels from Uttarakhand BJP -

1. Dwarahat - Kailash Bhatt.
2. Kichha - Ajay Tiwari.
3. Gangolighat - Meena Gangola.

Gangolihat is lost cause for BJP so it won’t matter much whether there is rebellion or not but it is necessary to convince rebels in Dwarahat & Kichha. 4. Dhanaulti - Mahaveer Singh Rangar.

This is winning seat for BJP & if Mahaveer polls even 10% votes BJP’z cart will shake here.
Dec 3, 2021 22 tweets 7 min read
2022 Uttarakhand Elections Prediction

BJP : 37
INC : 33

I have provided district-wise prediction in threads earlier. If you want prediction of any particular seat simply type seat name in Twitter search box along with my username you will get it. I’m reasonably confident that BJP won’t go below this level in Uttarakhand.

People who know me since last one year must be aware that I keep mum or don’t give a clear answer when I’m not sure but after looking at affairs of Uttarakhand I’m confident of outcome in BJP’s favour.
Dec 2, 2021 15 tweets 3 min read
Prediction for Pauri Garhwal District

BJP : 4-5
INC : 1-2

BJP won all 6 seats in this district & it is likely to win majority of seats this time also due to traditional stronghold & strong candidates.

Congress can turn the tables if Harak Singh Rawat switches sides. Yamkeshwar

Demography

SCs : 16%
STs : 2%
FCs : 65%
Muslims : 9%
Others : 8%

This seat is considered as stronghold of BJP as this seat is with BJP since 2002. Former CM BC Khanduri’s daughter Ritu Khanduri is set to win this seat for fifth time for BJP.
Dec 2, 2021 17 tweets 3 min read
Prediction for Almora & Champawat District

BJP : 2
INC : 6

Congress is sweeping Almora district by winning 5 out of 6 seats. In Champawat it is one all.

I think BJP should replace two of its MLAs in Almora if it wants to improve its chances. Dwarahat

Demography

SCs : 23%
Thakurs : 41%
Brahmins : 20%
Others : 16%

I expect a three way contest here between BJP MLA Mahesh Negi, Congress’s Madan Bisht & UKD’s Pushpesh Tripathi. I won’t be surprised if Tripathi joins AAP as UKD is on it last stage in Uttarakhand.
Dec 1, 2021 15 tweets 3 min read
Prediction for Pithoragarh & Bageshwar Districts

BJP : 2-3
INC : 3-4

Here BJP might have scored nil if not for AAP candidates who are going to give tough fight & divide anti-incumbency votes on 3 seats due to good candidates they got from BSP. Dharchula

Demography

SCs : 21%
STs : 15%
FCs : 51%
Others : 13%

Sitting Congress MLA Harish Dhami is safe here due to high concentration of Dalit & Tribal voters here. He is popular also despite some controversies & many believe he was trying to join BJP few months back but
Dec 1, 2021 13 tweets 3 min read
Prediction for Tehri Garhwal District

BJP : 4
INC : 2

BJP is losing two of its seats to Congress in this district but they are gaining one seat by inducting Independent MLA Pritam Panwar due to which it is suffering net loss of only 1 seat. Ghansali (SC)

Demography

SCs : 21%
Thakurs : 40%
Brahmins : 15%
Others : 21%
Muslims : 3%

This constituency is stronghold of BJP & there are many aspirants from this seat from BJP.

Congress is certain to field Dhani Lal Shah who rebelled in 2017 & got nearly 32% votes.
Nov 26, 2021 17 tweets 3 min read
Remembering lesser known Heroes of 26/11 -

1. Mukesh Jadhav : A 23 year old Home Guard earning mere ₹90 per day. He was posted at CST. When Kasab & gang came he guided many passengers to safety.

In saving one passenger he face to face with one terrorist & lost his life. 2. Jillu Yadav - He was a constable of RPF & he took Kasab & Ismail Khan head on. He was armed with outdated .303 rifle & terrorists had 3 AK47 & grenades. He fought bravely & even threw chairs when his rifle jammed to not allow terrorist to cross over to other platform.
Nov 25, 2021 4 tweets 1 min read
Full packed rally of PM Modi. I can’t see any empty chairs.

Mood being set for elections in Western Uttar Pradesh. Yogi Adityanath gifted Lord Krishna’s idol to PM Modi.
Nov 23, 2021 6 tweets 1 min read
➡️You will think it will decimate BJP with this vote share. You are wrong. There will be rebels on more than 40 seats in MVA assuming they fight alone and they will eat each other’s vote share.

Plus BJP’s worst case scenario is near to Sena’s best case scenario in Mumbai. ➡️As Election progresses BJP will only move ahead.

➡️Devendra Fadnavis must be relieved of his responsibilities as Goa Election incharge as he is needed in Maharashtra as Chandrakant Patil is not that useful. If needed Vinod Tawde should be deputed to Goa.
Nov 23, 2021 17 tweets 4 min read
Thread on BMC Elections

Currently BJP has an ambitious aim of defeating Shiv Sena in Mumbai.

If BJP wants to achieve this Herculean task it will have to implement a mix of its strategy in GHMC & Bodoland Territorial Council elections. ➡️ Like GHMC BJP will have to field all its top line leaders in Mumbai & if possible even PM @narendramodi.

➡️First of all it will increase pressure on opposition cadres. Moreover it will ensure good turnout in BJP bastions of Charkop, Borivali, Mulund, Kandivali and Colaba.
Nov 7, 2021 25 tweets 5 min read
Mid Term Opinion Poll for 10 Lok Sabha seats of Haryana

BJP+ : 7-9
INC : 1-3

Factors in favour of BJP in Haryana -

1. PM Narendra Modi is tallest leader for Haryanvis & they support BJP primarily due to him.

2. State Govt ended Parchi system (corruption) in Govt jobs. 3. 75% of reservation for locals in jobs will do wonders.

4. ML Khattar is tallest non-Jat leader in 55 years history of Haryana.

5. Jats V/S Non-Jats consolidation is at peak in Haryana & it will give rich political dividends to BJP