It seems Jagan Reddy will retain power and both the national parties will continue their humiliating streak in state.
Survey was done to gauge public sentiment and identify issues affecting electoral choices through factors like developmental policies, scheme implementation, stand on special category status, media influence, caste factor, law and order etc.
May 29, 2023 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
Thread for all Questions I received about Madhya Pradesh Elections -
1. Who will win ??
BJP will win. Current vote share wise situation in state -
BJP : 43%
INC : 40%
BSP : 4%
AAP : 3%
SP + JAYS + Bhim Army : 2%
GGP : 1.5%
IND : 5.5%
NOTA : 1%
BJP is likely to cross majority… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…2. How BJP can win when they lost Municipal Polls?
BJP faced some big setbacks in Mayor Elections only & that also because of one reason which I can’t say openly here as it will lead to unnecessary discussions.
NDA can win 75% seats as 7 tough seats are likely to go to NDA once PM Modi campaigns.
NDA is gaining from Modi factor largely despite anti-incumbency against local leaders.
Eknath Shinde’s Shiv Sena is likely to win more seats than Uddhav Thackeray’s SSUBT.
If by chance BJP manages to execute Operation Kamala then Congress tally will be 0.
Feb 17, 2023 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Congratulations Eknath Shinde Sahab.
Common people are jubilant as you are now officially President of Shiv Sena.
During MVA Govt -
1. Mumbai was becoming Kolkata of Communist era with unnecessary protests being held.
2. Common people used to be assaulted or their homes were
demolished just because they supported BJP.
3. Innocent shopkeepers were assaulted by MVA goons during Bandh organised in favour of Rakesh Tikait.
4. Young school kids were also threatened by MVA & they were made to delete FB posts.
5. People were being intimidated through
Jan 16, 2023 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
If it was a wedding -
1. Bride’s dashing father. 2. Joyful buddies of groom.
Dec 3, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Acknowledged Facts -
1. Over 1000 families reside in Benaras.
2. If you visit Maa Annapurna Devi’s temple you will find devotees speaking Tamil more.
3. This connection is nearly 2500 years old when Tamil poets, kings & their families visited Kashi.
#KashiTamilSangamam4. Tamils started setting in Benaras due to efforts of poet Kumaraguruparar who convinced Mughal ruler Dara Shikoh to give land for Kumaraswamy Mutt.
5. You can find locals speaking certain Tamil words.
6. Ayachak Rama Shastri who was an ascetic from present day Tirunelveli
Dec 2, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Turnout Analysis -
As of now turnout is 62.89% & it will reach 64.5% once postal ballots are added.
It should be noted that the turnout was nearly same in 2019 Lok Sabha polls & 4% less than 2017 Assembly polls.
South Gujarat (BJP bastion) has seen less fluctuation
in turnout than Saurashtra which went against BJP in 2017.
In South Gujarat except Varachha & couple of seats in Bharuch BJP successfully mobilised its voters in Surat, Navsari & Valsad. 2-4% turnout decline in urban seats will hard impact BJP’s wins.
Nov 27, 2022 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Haryana ZP Election Results
1. Yamunanagar :
BJP : 6
INC : 5
BSP : 4
INLD : 1
AAP : 1
IND : 1
2. Gurugram
BJP : 4
IND : 6
3. Fatehabad
BJP : 6
JJP : 5
INC : 3
INLD : 2
AAP : 1
4. Panchkula
INC : 5
JJP : 4
IND : 1
5. Sirsa
INLD : 11
BJP+JJP : 7
AAP : 5
OTH : 1
6. Bhiwani
Results unconfirmed but BJP won maximum wards here as per local reports.
In Mewat District 3 Muslim candidates of BJP won.
Oct 25, 2022 • 88 tweets • 12 min read
Himachal Pradesh Prediction -
BJP : 35-43
INC : 25-33
OTH : 0-1
BJP’s rebels are likely to spoil its game in 3-4 seats but not enough to change the outcome.
This contest is close & like Goa/Uttarakhand candidate selection of BJP is good.
Assumption : Turnout is 74% (+/-2)
Factors in BJP’s favour -
1. People love PM Modi here more than his home state.
2. Freebies distributed in last 8 months benefited lakhs of people.
3. BJP’s organisational strength is way above other parties.
Oct 9, 2022 • 22 tweets • 3 min read
Prediction for Sabarkantha, Aravalli & Gandhinagar Districts -
BJP : 4-8
INC : 4-8
AAP : 0-1
Congress will perform strongly due to its KHAM votebank here. AAP might open its account in Gandhinagar city if it gets lucky in a three way contest.
27. Himatnagar (30% Urban)
This seat is stronghold of BJP & it’s sitting MLA Rajendrasinh Chavda. BJP lost this seat only in 2012 when Chavda contested on Congress ticket & defeated Home
Oct 9, 2022 • 20 tweets • 3 min read
Prediction for Patan & Mehsana Districts -
BJP : 8-9
INC :2-3
Thakors & Patidars dominate these districts & there is possibility that Congress might face a complete wipeout in Mehsana.
16. Radhanpur (12% Urban)
