J.E. Dyer ☘️ Profile picture
Retired Naval officer deconstructing the shibboleths of modern left-progressivism. Standing athwart history yelling Bring it! POTUS46's Irish Whisperer.
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May 4 4 tweets 1 min read
The EU, not NATO, looks to beef up Moldova's defenses.
A lot to unpack, too much for a tweet, but this is not evidence of NATO unity or primary relevance.
An alliance that doesn't think it can deter an aggressor if alliance appears to be overtly involved in ...1/4 ...3rd party defense is on life support, whether that's acknowledged or not.
In early 1990s, massive breach of status quo in Balkans was result of net-positive intl security development: collapse of USSR & Warsaw Pact. It wasn't what NATO was created to invoke Art V over.
May 2 9 tweets 3 min read
After Saturday's superb Lee Smith podcast (link in QT thread below), re-upping a few earlier articles, some with timeline analysis, on Durham revelations.
Purpose is to help clarify that, although Durham has to focus on what's relevant to an indictable case, that case...
1/9 ...isn't all we know.
Taken together, what we know tells us that Russiagate/Spygate was a comprehensive enterprise, of which Hillary & the dossier were a big hinge, but not the earliest moves.
Durham's speaking indictment & follow-on filings have illuminated that.
Apr 30 4 tweets 2 min read
Re the excellent Callin going in @LeeSmithDC podcast: Elias is a "huge fish" b/c he knows who's behind all of this.
It's not Hillary. It's bigger than Obama. It's not "The FBI."
Elias knows who it is.
callin.com/live/durham-on… @LeeSmithDC Elias wasn't running it. He knows who was.
Good point about FIFA case involving all same players: this looks like a shadow war that's been going on for at least a decade.
Given Elias' biggest source of election interference funding, there's at least one place we HAVE to look.
Apr 29 5 tweets 1 min read
Seriously: sitting admin has set up a "Disinfo Board" & placed a serial falsehood-monger in charge of it.
Admin gaslights us repeatedly about ppl's top concerns: inflation/economy & border security.
It endorses/reinforces blue state measures to cancel ppl over medical... 1/5 ...choices.
Admin exceeds exec authority to impose policy shifts w/out due process thru Congress.
It left Amcits & allies in Afghanistan, got ppl killed in botched pullout, & lied about it entire time.
POTUS obviously impaired. We don't know who's making decisions.
POTUS'... 2/5
Apr 14 4 tweets 2 min read
We don't know exactly where she was hit, but last position on her from sat imagery 12 Apr 2022 put her a touch north of 50 FM curve S. of Odessa..
Tweet is here from @rinzyrinz_

1/4 Mapped out here (red star is CG-121 Moskva on 12 Apr):
Apr 9 4 tweets 1 min read
I don't think this is just generic warning either.
If I read Durham right, he's not just sounding an alarm about what COULD be done w/this data.
He's establishing that Alfa-gate group (a) did misuse one slice of IP/DNS data, as basis for (b) case we haven't seen all of yet...1/4 ...that same group, using GA Tech participation in DARPA proj, was engaged in something bigger.
DARPA proj solicited in Apr 2016 was awarded AFTER 2016 election. Hence timing of DARPA-related arrangements: Dec 2016 into 2017.
Possibly Sussmann visit to Agency-2 not so much...2/4
Apr 5 6 tweets 2 min read
An attempt to remove Russia from UNSC (demanded by Zelensky) would have to blow UNSC up anyway. Could not be done another way.
Curiously, under conditions, I'd be OK with that.
Main condition is that US have alternative to current UNSC situation to propose & implement immediately.
In absence of UNSC as it currently exists, I don't want anyone else (i.e., China) stepping in with new plan for such consultation & decision-making.
Mar 28 4 tweets 1 min read
Your choice whether to agree w/religious refs here.
But don't skip it due to finding them off-putting (if you do). Sources you'll find credible are doing straightforward treatments of this.
This is the top reason it matters how COVID19 got into humans.
This is a very... 1/4 ...radical, civilization-altering proposal. Humans will never have the moral capacity to hold this power over each other w/out abusing it.
Any argument that some pandemic emergency warrants instituting that power should (a) be rejected, but (b) also be met w/rigorous... 2/4
Mar 26 5 tweets 1 min read
Drumbeat begins.
West/media will spin it as "disaster" for Putin that he has to settle for keeping troops all over eastern Ukraine.
msn.com/en-us/news/wor… 1/5 Each day that goes by allows Russian military to fortify its position there. If Ukr were going to counterattack, yesterday was better than today. Today's better than tomorrow.
To dislodge Russian forces Kyiv has to go on offense. They're not equipped for that. 2/5
Mar 24 4 tweets 1 min read
Yes, everything mentioned was result of the JCPOA, & was reason for exiting it.
Less UN supervision: JCPOA, directly/unequivocally.
Iran never limited centrifuge development/deployment. Got away w/that b/c sanctions snapback was chimera. Other UN members unwilling to... 1/4 ...join US.
Iran cd pay for centrifuge upgrades b/c of cash infusion w/suspension of sanctions. JCPOA, directly/unequivocally.
Centrifuge upgrades & yrs of prior mastery of enrichment => faster recovery of enriched uranium stock & progress to 60%.
BUT... 2/4
Mar 22 7 tweets 2 min read
Short thread on Barr & "election interference."
The strange thing here is that Barr is saying some ppl's failure to tell the truth about the laptop was election interference.
Yet - pay close attention - the only actor that might conceivably be accused of interference was... 1/7 ...the FBI. The FBI knew something it wasn't telling anyone, b/c it had had the laptop since Dec 2019.
And - here's the "pay attention" part - Barr said over the wknd that the FBI did its job by making a statement about that.
Yet the FBI *DIDN'T* say anything illuminating...2/7
Mar 21 14 tweets 3 min read
This is what a lot of ppl are arguing over & it's a good moment for reflection.
"The media, intelligence community and DNC all lied in order to alter the outcome of an election."
Jeff C says exactly the right thing: we can't trust them now.
He does NOT say the wrong thing... 1/14 ...which would be that there's anyone to prosecute or any statutory crime here.
Two of the groups actually get to lie to alter the outcome of an election, & do it all the time. (Media & DNC.)
3rd group, intel comm, can lie as private citizens (what they did re laptop)...2/14
Mar 20 13 tweets 3 min read
This is going to be really unpopular, & it's no excuse about the evident corruption at FBI & DOJ.
But it's true.
1. Ratcliffe did his job, even if it was weak sauce. His job was to make an *intel* statement on the propaganda statement from the "51 officials."
Such a... 1/13 ...statement by the DNI had to be about *intel.* It cd NOT legitimately be about confirming/vouching for laptop origin or contents. Not intel's lane.
Nor could he state it wasn't Russian disinfo. He could say there was no intel to support that assessment.
His assessment... 2/13
Mar 9 13 tweets 4 min read
Weird indeed.
Note, in any case, that Iran statement from new USIC threat assessment is a masterpiece of disingenuousness.
1/13 The statement, from p. 15 of the assessment document.
"We continue to assess that Iran is not currently undertaking the key nuclear weapons-development activities that we judge would be necessary to produce a nuclear device. …"
Mar 9 4 tweets 2 min read
Interesting sequence with Poland, US, and the MiG-29s.
Monday 7 Mar (reporting time 2053 GMT)
Iran envoy abruptly walks out of Vienna talks
Tuesday 8 Mar (reporting time 2022 GMT)
US govt disclaims knowledge of MiG-29 delivery plan thru Ramstein, says it's "untenable."
Mar 7 4 tweets 2 min read
Analyses predicting this are holding up well.
In this 12 Jan piece, I was off on how much of Ukraine Putin would put at immediate risk in an invasion. But the case that Putin's real goal is to divide & neutralize NATO stands.
…eoptimisticconservative.wordpress.com/2022/01/12/a-d… 1/4 Pull quote:
"I am confident NATO is not itching for an armed confrontation in Ukraine. The risk is not that there would be one, but that there would spectacularly not be an effective reaction to another Russian move there.
"Rather, it’s at least 50-50 that we would start...2/4
Mar 5 4 tweets 1 min read
Not a bad place to be. No-fly zone is a badly flawed proposal in this situation.
Risk to enforcing forces would be significantly greater than in Iraq. Russia has threat of S400 & drawback of poor air space management capabilities.
Russia's using a lot of helos but ... 1/4 ...relatively few fixed-wing aircraft (little need for fighter interceptors, & Ru ground strike aircraft relatively hard to defend from ground-to-air threats).
NFZ wd be mainly about helos. Escalation cost of classic model NFZ enforcement for that threat exceeds... 2/4
Feb 27 7 tweets 2 min read
Caveat regarding situation in Ukraine.
This isn't a warning about unverified claims, images, & video. Ppl are familiar w/that.
Situation overall is evidently a temperate version of "Russia not doing as well as expected."
No need to doubt that, though anecdotes keep falling... 1/7 ...apart.
Initial damage/kill numbers rarely reliable in conflict this size. Understood.
Caveat is about taking Russia's failures w/out question as to *why.*
It's not interesting to conclude things are going wrong for Russia.
Russia is DOING everything wrong. Why? 2/7
Feb 23 6 tweets 2 min read
This is actually an awesome meme-base.

1/6 The POTUS should adopt it.

Feb 6 5 tweets 2 min read
Reminder as you ponder this blatant hypocrisy:
The campaign against Rogan doesn't have to convince you.
It only has to convince Spotify. Much, much smaller target demographic, with a lot to lose - not even money so much... 1/5 ...as losing a nice future free of relentless assaults on the co.
I wasn't paying much attention to Spotify/Rogan until it became clear it's an organized assault.
Saw the clues; @wokal_distance brings the receipts.
So do pay attention. This is how canceling is done. 2/5
Jan 27 7 tweets 2 min read
Thanks, @supersleuthgrl!
This thread has the links to my 6-part "Uranium Jerky series," which starts with Goldman Sachs becoming a seller of physical uranium (requiring a unique, never replicated grandfathering approval from USG) *on Obama's Inaug Day in Jan 2009.*
Links: 1/7 The series was posted Sep-Nov 2020.