Andrew Percival Profile picture
College Football #MetricsConsensus #NFLCensus #CFBInfographics #ManVsMetrics #CoachEvaluation #CFBSchedules #CFBMatchMaker #StayAt4
Oct 24, 2021 4 tweets 2 min read
Best #CoachEvaluation comps to Jimmy Lake

^ Y2 score -30% to -60% (Lake now is -45%)
^ P5
^ since 2000
^ no deep rebuilds

Y2 / Final (sorted by inheritance quality)

-57% / -50% : Rodriguez, Michigan (3)
-42% / -42% : Taggart, FSU (3)
-32% / -15% : Shannon, Miami (4)

1/4 -38% / -37% : Strong, Texas (3)
-31% / -23% : Tuberville, Texas Tech (3)
-49% / -49% : Gilbertson, UW (2)
-31% / -41% : Prince, Kansas State (3)
-37% / -41% : Rhule, Baylor (3, promoted)
-32% / -39% : Neuheisel, UCLA (4)
-42% / -50% : Kragthorpe, Louisville (3)

2/4
Oct 24, 2021 25 tweets 8 min read
Big picture & neutral Jimmy Lake evaluation thread.

I have a formula (#CoachEvaluation) that grades FBS head coaches.

I've yet to deep test for predictive value. Anecdotally it works, but I have a lot of work to do before I'd feel really good using it in front of an AD.

1/25 A little about the #CoachEvaluation formula...

Conceptually, it compares the performance of a team in a HC's tenure w/ the that of the team in the years prior to the HC's hire. Using advanced metrics, with the goal being to be fair to both coaches taking over strong

2/25
Aug 1, 2021 18 tweets 9 min read
Without Texas & Oklahoma, can the Big 12 continue performing as a power conference * on the field * ?

Yes it can.

A thread ... @BobBowlsby

1/ First let's state the obvious, that losing Texas & Oklahoma is a blow.

Since 2017, they've been the two best programs in the Big 12. Oklahoma has been the clear #5 nationally, with a ceiling, but an extremely high floor.

National SRS, 2017-2020

images2.imgbox.com/32/5f/uuS0QmCr…

2/