USC Pharmacy Alumni, Full Time Investor. My tweets are a general reflection of where Iam investing money and not a recommendation. Please do your due diligence.
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Aug 22 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
Obesity Full thread part 1-
$VKTX $LLY $NVO $RHHBY
Current treatments vs ongoing drugs in clinical trials, how they differ in two important aspects
- Efficacy
- Safety
- distinguishing advantages
Obesity Thread part 2
$VKTX $LLY $NVO $RHHBY
Current drugs on the market includes Tirzepatide $LLY a dual GLP-1R/GIP dual agonist like $VKTX and Ozempic by $NVO a GLP-1 receptor agonist
Tirzepatide showed highest weight reduction upto -20.9% on 15mg dose (high dose)
Aug 3 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
$VKTX Thread 1 Last weeks's Earnings updates a game changer and why I believe Viking Therapeutics upcoming readout during Obesity week will potentially be the next game changer in Obesity market a goldmine every big pharma wants to own a slice of it
$VKTX 2
Last week's FDA's written response to let viking therapeutics to move straight into Phase 3 program was a huge surprise for shareholders and the company because most were expecting a PH2B completion prior to starting PH3. I was leaning towards ph2b.
Why this is important
Apr 4 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
$PDSB Thread 1
Company has made significant progress over last few years from an early stage oncology company to late stage PH3 ready program which I will discuss in this thread
These are my viewpoints based on my DD and not meant as an investment recommendation for others.
$PDSB Thread 2
Why Triple combo regimen for Head and Neck cancer and not doublet?
Important question is why put resources on two different PH3 trials for the same indication rather pursuing the one where odds of success are pretty good going forward into late stage PH3 trial
Feb 29 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
$PDSB 1
Why it is my Top pick in Biotech in terms of position sizing.
Believe we get updates in March For PH3 trial
Believe management been quiet for some time because
they supposed to be in discussion with FDA this quarter for final trial design for HPV16+ CPI refractory.
$PDSB 2
Just my hypothesis that management could opt for running HPV16+ CPI refractory PH3 trial first before going for Head and Neck Cancer.
Why?
12-month OS rate of 72%. vs published median OS with SOC in HPV-positive ICI-resistant cancer is 3.4 months
No FDA approved SOC
Feb 16 • 18 tweets • 3 min read
$MREO 1 An overlooked small cap biotech with a significant upside for long term investors.
In this thread will lay out my bullish thesis and why this stock could be a great turnaround story over time as company progresses through their pipeline development.
$MREO 2
This stock fits my criteria I use for small cap biotech investments that has all the ingredients for a multibagger potential from current levels.
Company has two lead drugs for two major unmet needs and previous updates has shown positive trend towards future success
Jan 18 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
$PDSB 1
- FDA requested primary endpoint OS not ORR for the PH3 trial (while FinTwit is obsessed about ORR)
-FDA and KOL neither one care about ORR or PFS
Per FDA- ORR and PFS hasn't translated into survival
$PDSB 2
FDA's main focus for the trial is Survival and Safety and this is where $PDSB data has excelled so far. Very good survival data and good safety
Look at 2 plus year data from both triplet data and Versatile-002
Jan 16 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
$EFTR Comprehensive review: Final thread before Kickstart trial 1
@Rajgillishere @mtheory11bio @Bios_n_Techs
- Pipeline and target potential if successful- Focus on Tomivosertib
- Review of Keytruda results for NSCLC 1L
- PH2B trial design
- Risks
- My Take on Q1 readout
$EFTR 2
Pipeline
a) Tomivosertib- Important catalyst this quarter that will could potentially be the binary event for the turnaround. This is currently in PH2B, will move to PH3 registrational trial on +ve data
b) Zotatifin- ER+breast cancer
c) elF4Ei- Solid Tumors (PFE)
Dec 1, 2023 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
List of upcoming Biotech catalysts 1
SABCS San Antonio Breast Cancer conference-
$EFTR PFS data for BC
ASH Conference
$CRVS Soquelitinib readout, Ciforadenant Early 2024
$XFOR See my follow up tweet
$BPMC PH1 for Systemic Mastocytosis
$STRO PH2/3 data for Ovarian cancer
List of Biotech catalysts part 2
$AGIO PH3 readout for Beta Thalessemia
$BLUE PDUFA 12/20
$JAGX PH3 data for CIOB
$ACHL PH1/2 Melanoma readout
Nov 26, 2023 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
$EFTR Thread part 1
Correction Abstract out Tuesday 1PM PST
Upcoming San Antonio Breast cancer data presentation- Thread is based on available data from ASCO, company presentation, and available treatments and approximate PFS in earlier pt. population.
$EFTR 2
Expected catalyst #1 1) Median PFS data for ZFA triplet in ER+ mBC. Goal is to position this combo as a 2nd line therapy ZFA triplet (Zotatifin+Fulvestrant+Abemaciclib). PFS data in heavily pre-treated pts. after 4+ failed therapies including CDK4/6, Endocrine and Chemo
Sep 13, 2023 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
$PDSB 1
Expected revenues ~$24+ Billion for Keytruda this year (Blockbuster drug for $MRK )
$PDSB has not yet gained much attention from institutional investors despite showing strong trend towards Durability and better Overall Survival vs Keytruda and Keytruda+Chemo in HNSCC
$PDSB 2
While Keytruda alone has shown PFS of 3.2 months and OS of 12.3 mos, $PDSB drug PDS0101+Keytruda combination has more than tripled mPFS ~ 10.4 mos and more than doubled mPFS over Keytruda+Chemo combo
Aug 22, 2023 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
$DCTH Thread 1
This thread will provide a detailed overview of the company’s drug pipeline and clinical results, current valuation and financial overview, Total Addressable Market (TAM) and expected Stock valuation based on TAM. As always do your due diligence.
$DCTH 2
Before I provide an overall picture of the company, one important aspect of investing in biotech is to look for undervalued gems in an unmet need disease state.
So, does this company meet the criteria or biotech theme I often talk about?
Aug 10, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
$MDXH Thread 1
Why the need for diagnostic tests since PSA test is widely used followed by prostate biopsies for further validation
The PSA test measures the level of prostate-specific antigen, a glycoprotein produced by the epithelial cells of the prostate gland
$MDXH 2
However, high PSA levels in the blood are not always an indicator of prostate cancer and may be caused by other factors like
UTI
BPH
PROSTATITIS
So does high PSA levels means pts. should undergo invasive prostate biopsies?
Aug 3, 2023 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
$XFOR 1
I believe Stock is undervalued at current valuation < 300 million and that upcoming data for CN indication is not baked in yet. Keep in mind CN has a much larger TAM vs WHIM indication
I lean towards positive data for CN based on PH1b CN and WHIM results
$XFOR 2 Why it is undervalued
Current cash ~ 150 million including recent private placement and enough to fund operations into Q4 2024. This does not include potential proceeds from likely sale of priority review voucher ~ 100 million which company may receive it H1 2024
May 30, 2023 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
$EFTR Thread 1
Current market cap under 50 million offers an opportunity for investors looking for great risk reward in a small cap biotech Recall $TRIL beaten down to 0.5+ than later acquired and $XFOR overreaction after secondary news. $EFTR +ve data overshadowed by secondary
$EFTR PART 2
Pipeline:-
a) Zotatifin for solid tumors ER+ BC and KRAS NSCLC B) Tomivosertib for 1L NSCLC PD-L1 C) elF4Ei for Solid Tumors Current MC < 50 million $507 million partnership on 3rd STRI product, candidate with $PFE and $PFE owns 5% $EFTR2 big catalysts this year
May 25, 2023 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
$XFOR #CONVICTION Long Term position part 1
Pipeline:- Company lead drug Mavorixafor, an oral drug , works as an antagonist of the CXCR4 receptor for severe chronic neutropenia disorders including WHIM syndrome.
Current market cap ~ 240 million
$XFOR part 2
A quick recap of chronic neutropenia Neutrophils, type of white blood cells, an army that plays an important role in fighting off infections. Basically, lower the # of neutrophil count, the lower the ability of the body to fight infections (⬆️risk of infections)
May 24, 2023 • 23 tweets • 6 min read
$NARI Thread part 1
This is my top investing biotech position currently based on strong fundamentals, competitive advantage, TAM, pipeline and could be a good candidate for acquisition in Med Device area in future.
Acquisition is not the point of discussion for bullish thesis.
$NARI part 2
What is VTE?
VTE (venous thromboembolism) is a blood clot that could block blood flow in veins like legs (DVT) or in the lungs (PE) and usually could be life-threatening.
It roughly affects 1 in 1,000 Americans each year.
Roughly 25% of patients with PE die from it.
May 23, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Position Updates 1
Buyouts $PRVB $ISEE $BLU $CTIC $FSTX
Long Term Biotech Investments in order size
$NARI $AMLX $XFOR $VKTX $PDSB $INZY $IMGN $MDXH $GRTX $PAVM $CRVS $LIFE $MREO $MCRB $TERN $ARDX $OCUL $MDGL $AUPH $DAWN $ITCI $TGTX $AXSM $DMTK $PTGX $APLS $SRPT $VRNA $BPMC $PFE
Long Term Tech Investments in order size 2
Techs: $AMZN $ZS $CRWD $TTD $GOOG $SOFI $TSLA $PINS $DIS $ABNB $PANW $AMD $GTLB
May 22, 2023 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
$HRTX Thread part 1:- Potential for a good turnaround story from depressed share prices.
Thesis based on following listed factors 1) Foremost management changes 2) Pipeline 3) Valuation and Risk Reward
$HRTX part 2
Management changes:-
- Lackluster sales and revenues under the leadership of previous CEO Mr. Quart despite 3 drugs approved on the market.
- Mr. Quart is replaced by Mr. Collard who has a proven track record of successful mergers and acquisition activities.
Apr 25, 2023 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
$HOOK Thread 1
Current market cap ~ 50 million
Current cash ~130 million
Trades at negative EV of ~ 80 million
Collaborations with Roche and Gilead Sciences
Pipeline consists of HB-200, HB-300 and rest of the pipeline in preclinical stages including HB-400, HB-500, and HB-700
$HOOK Thread 2
Thesis: This is a swing trade position for the upcoming catalysts this quarter for their pipeline HB-200 primarily.
Will decide to go long term after clinical updates for HB-200
HB-300 data for prostate cancer 1H 2024 so this catalyst is bit far at the moment
Apr 23, 2023 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
$LIFE Thread 1
This could very well be one of those undervalued gems ignored by the street. My whole investment thesis is based on "Pulmonary Sarcoidosis" Indication.
Company is currently running PH3 Clinical Trial for PS.
PS a rare disease causing inflammation in the lungs.
$LIFE PART 2
Pulmonary Sarcoidosis is a rare disease and fits my theme of unmet net and rare dz. criteria.
Current market cap of ~ 100 million with cash ~130 million, enough to run operations all the way into 2026. No risk of secondary in near future.
Last secondary at $2.25
Apr 14, 2023 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
$IBRX Thread 1
Current investment focus is based upon upcoming PDUFA for Bladder Cancer by May 23rd.
Indication is for tx of Bladder cancer in pts. with BCG-unresponsive non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) carcinoma in situ.
Will discuss data in next few tweets ⬇️⬇️
$IBRX Thread 2
Current FDA approved treatments for NMIBC are $MRK Blockbuster drug KEYTRUDA
Adstiladrin
Valrubicin
Let's discuss $IBRX reported data vs approved FDA competitors.
⬇️⬇️