Pippa Norris Profile picture
Political scientist at Harvard for three decades, Vice President of the World Values Survey, & founding Director of the Electoral Integrity Project.
Jul 11 6 tweets 2 min read
Daron:

Correct, there is a lot to learn from the Labour victory.

Unfortunately, this is not it!

A short thread why: ... 1) In fact, the % Labour vote under the moderate Starmer (33.7%) in 2024 was a lot LESS than in 2017 under radical leftie Corbyn (40%) -- and very similar to a series of GEs won by the Con since 2010. Image
Jan 17, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read
Is Trump an anomaly?

Nope.

Some cross-national evidence for anyone doubting the persistent link between diverse Authoritarian Populist leaders in executive office & subsequent democratic backsliding.

The cases of Brazil, Hungary & India

v-dem.net
1/5 And for deteriorating freedom of expression, tho Brazil was already sliding downwards..
2/5
Jun 30, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
Why are US Republicans reversing abortion rights, contrary to global trends...

A short thread...
@ValuesStudies @WVS_Survey
blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2022… 1/ Religiosity makes America more conservative on abortion than many comparable Western societies like Sweden, the Netherlands and Switzerland.
Jun 25, 2022 8 tweets 3 min read
1/ How do American attitudes towards abortion compare with other countries worldwide?

A short thread using data from the Worldvaluessurvey.org Wave 7 (2017-21) 2/Republican voters are some of the most conservative towards abortion & homosexuality across 19 Western democracies; by contrast, Democrats are fairly mainstream.
Oct 17, 2021 10 tweets 4 min read
1/ Do Authoritarian-Populists appeal most strongly to older, less educated voters?

New paper updates some of the evidence on social cleavages in party support presented earlier in Norris and Inglehart "Cultural Backlash" (CUP 2019).

cambridge.org/core/books/cul…

An 8-pt thread... 2/ The book used data available from the 2014 CHES & the 2002-2014 ESS.

Are key predictions about socio-demographic cleavages in voting for Authoritarian-Populists demonstrated with newer data?

The analysis was updated using the 7th wave EVS/WVS 2017-21 & the 2019 GPS.
May 21, 2021 7 tweets 3 min read
Worthwhile read; interesting & technically sophisticated study seeking to resolve the economic threat v cultural backlash debate about populism.

The argument is summarized below.

Some reflections, however, about the design & findings...

/1 The authors theorize that both rapid cultural change and economic pressure can create uncertain and dangerous threats leading to populism. But this both-sideism is the issue at the heart of the debate. Can both sides be right?

/2
May 17, 2021 4 tweets 2 min read
Dear journalists,

It's not just Trump. Nor just the GOP leaders.

Here's the % of the public approving of strongman leaders 'who don't have to bother with elections' around the world.

The US is not yet Brazil, Thailand nor Kazakhstan. But neither is it Norway, Sweden & Denmark. Image Source: worldvaluessurvey.org
May 5, 2021 5 tweets 3 min read
1. This column by @tomfriedman is correct about the real and present dangers to USA democracy from the GOP Big Lie.

But it fails to diagnose the causes -- & thus the effective solutions.

A short 1-5 thread.

nytimes.com/2021/05/04/opi… 2. It is not enough to support GOP moderates. There are too few.

The problem is institutional incentives.

Due to gerrymandering, $$, & primaries, GOP legislators get reelected to Congress & State Houses by pandering to MAGA activists, not expanding their support.
Nov 20, 2020 10 tweets 4 min read
1/10
Six risks for American democracy from the transition crisis.

A short thread summarizing my Harvard talk yesterday.

Video of the CES panel will be available soon from:
ces.fas.harvard.edu/events/2020/11…

Download all pp slides from my talk @:
dropbox.com/s/wt6o7tya73tm… 2/10 Theory
Sep 20, 2020 10 tweets 3 min read
1/ Will disputes over Nov 3rd divide America further?

A short thread summarizing what we know from research about risks of contentious elections, drawn from our 2015 Routledge book: 2/ 'Contentious elections’ are defined as contests involving major challenges, with different degrees of severity, to the legitimacy of electoral actors, procedures, or outcomes.

Here's the model we used to identify successive steps in the process...
Aug 5, 2020 8 tweets 3 min read
1/ Is there a cancel culture in political science? A short thread summarizing key results from a new research paper...More at dropbox.com/s/y5a0bwu82to2… Image 2/ Academics in political science skew moderate left - especially in America. Confirms long-standing body of research since Lazarsfeld (1958). But the imbalance doesn't necessarily mean growing intolerance of dissent and contrarian voices. Image
Jul 18, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read
1/ Who's switched in the US electorate since 2016? Short thread.

Here's the change in @YouGov polls.

Biggest social group shifts? Hispanics fall (-8).

Trump consolidates GOP base (84>91%).

Good news for Trump?

But Trump's support among Independents falls 4%... 2/ And compared with 2016, Biden broadens the Dem coalition by picking up Independents (+8) and Moderates (+6)...
Mar 30, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read
A new research paper on European values with some more background on the Hungarian developments in comparative perspective:

1. The tipping point in Hungary has been reached after a long slide. 2. But it would be misleading to read Hungarian public opinion directly from the actions of the Orban regime.
Feb 23, 2020 14 tweets 4 min read
1/ Are there varieties of populists in America? /2 Definitiopn of Populism
Sep 1, 2019 7 tweets 1 min read
The Brexit perfect storm or the triple crisis facing the UK. The first is a cultural crisis symbolized over Brexit. This is not just a deep policy divide, evident for decades, but a fundamental choice about British identity. People are being towards Europe or America, with longstanding bonds to both.
Mar 23, 2019 11 tweets 2 min read
1/ With apologies, bit of a rant follows about the so-called 'will of the people', repeated endlessly in attempts to discredit the proposed #Brexit PV. 2/ Many, MANY varieties of democracy exist, direct democracy, liberal democracy, consensus democracy, deliberative democracy, social democracy, parliamentary democracy etc etc. See v-dem.net/en/