1/ Hedge funds are shorting #Bitcoin futures at record highs
The entire industry says it’s bearish, but it does NOT mean that!
Let’s dive into what it actually means 🧵 2/ What is the cash-and-carry trade?
A strategy where investors exploit the difference between the spot price (current price) and futures price (price agreed for future delivery) of an asset
Mar 11, 2024 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
Understand this and you'll outperform 95% of other investors: the crypto 4-year cycle!
What is the crypto 4-year cycle? What is each stage about? When to buy and when to sell?
A thread 🧵
BOOKMARK THIS TO COME BACK TO THIS LATER 🔖
Every ~4 years a full cycle plays out entirely. Why does this happen every 4 years? Why so fast?
• Reason 1: Bitcoin halving. Supply shock happens and this triggers the price to go up
• Reason 2: crypto is a young market
• Reason 3: mass psychology effect
As you can see, every phase equals more of less 1 year.
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Aug 25, 2022 • 18 tweets • 4 min read
A simple thread on bonds and bond yields for everybody to understand 🧵
Bonds are debt instruments and represent loans made to the issuer. When macro twitter talks about bonds, we refer mostly to government bonds. Governments use bonds in order to borrow money. 💰
Jun 30, 2022 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
The EU has no clue what they are doing.
- Killing web3 innovation (after EU did the same with web2) .
- Crypto exchanges and other companies will never be able to implement all rules.
- Hacks will happen with the collected data and people's safety will be at risk.
- Unhosted wallets ARE the innovation! Regulating it this way will destroy all innovation around it.
- Intentions of the regulations are "keeping criminals out". They will use P2P transactions, which stay unregulated and are not possible to regulate. MiCa will miss its goal.
2/
Apr 8, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
IMPORTANT: The % of $BTC not being moved for over a year is increasing.
We are now ~6 months after a major turnaround like we only saw twice before. We saw it in 2018, ~6 months before the #bitcoin bottom and in 2014, ~9 months before the price bottom was in.
Now, what does this mean? Historically we see the $BTC price bottom 6-9 months after this turning point. People are not longer willing to sell (or even move) their bitcoin and are simply holding it. Mainly because they think price increases are coming or accumulation is here.
Mar 8, 2022 • 16 tweets • 4 min read
Here's why I think altcoins will outperform #bitcoin during Q2 and Q3 of this year.
Time for a thread 🧵 1) First of all, in recent weeks we had an accumulation of bad news and events. But during this time, it was very remarkable to see how altcoins kept up versus Bitcoin. Even during the heaviest of news and fear in the market, altcoins held up strong compared to Bitcoin.
Mar 12, 2021 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Since the start of altseason, I made:
x7 on $DOT
x10 on $BNB
x12 on $MATIC
x15 on $ENJ
And so on...
-> But 2 of my altcoins are clearly lagging. I'm talking about $ETH and $LINK. A little thread on why I think this is happening to these 2 👇
1/7
In the same period as the ones mentioned above both $ETH and $LINK went up 'only' x2.5. This is remarkably less than other altcoins.
Why is that? I personally think the prices are suppressed of both cryptocurrencies.
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