Decision scientist. AMS Certified Meteorologist. @XavierMBA/@sycamoreschools/@psumeteo grad. Eagle Scout. Lover of avocado/data/sleep/days starting after 10am.
Sep 5, 2019 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Several problems here, so here goes: 1) This "spaghetti plot" leverages model data and represents the track of #Dorian over time. Some models (the GFS/America and European/ECMWF) have ensembles or numerous iterations of the model with different initial conditions.
2) The line with shapes are true operational "models", the lines without shapes are ensembles of the American/GFS and European/ECMWF model. Notice no operational model goes through Alabama. 3) Ensembles are supposed to be noisy because they have different initial conditions.
