Here are 5 charts you need to see๐งต
$VRNO $TRUL $CURA $CCHW $AYR $CL $GTII
Current Ratio: Measures if they can pay current liabilities if due today. Below 1 is bad.
If you exclude inventories which can't all be sold at once only 3 of 7 can pay current liabilities.
Feb 10, 2023 โข 11 tweets โข 4 min read
Will US LNG bail out the natural gas market?
I spent a week diving deep and I have some news...๐งต
LNG certainly looks like it is going to take gas demand and prices to a whole new level.
In this thread I'll take you through all the moving parts, my big conclusion and some stocks I think are positioned to win.
Aug 8, 2022 โข 10 tweets โข 4 min read
A quick refresher on why investing in US natural gas looks like a home run right now. #COM#OOTT#EFT
The US produces about 100 Bcfe/d of gas.
Outside America, the world consumes 280 Bcfe/d for a total of 380Bcfe/d of global demand.
Jul 25, 2022 โข 10 tweets โข 4 min read
Owning energy stocks into a recession is usually a bad idea.
Here are 6 charts that changed my mind..
#COM#EFT#OOTT
The world isn't spending nearly enough on drilling for oil & gas. 70-80% of cashflow is typical.
We are at 35%, way too little to meet demand
Feb 11, 2021 โข 13 tweets โข 3 min read
(1)Aphria $APHA is trading for ~$25.
If the Tilray $TLRY merger goes through Aphria investors get $38
A 55% return is up for grabs, but it doesn't come for free.
Time for a thread on "merger arbitrage"
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(2)Merger arbitrage is simply betting a merger between two companies will close when other investors think it won't.
This bet takes the form of a spread between the deal price and the current stock price of the company being bought.