Lincoln Project co-founder. Ad guy. Pilot. NYT #1 bestselling author. Seemingly unkillable. IFR current and proficient. ETTD never fails. Still got the shovel.
244 added to My Authors
Jun 14 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
1/ When the gentry Republicans (Mitch, Kevin, Elise, NRO, et al) tell you the party is past Trump and that the glittering future of the GOP is Youngkin or DeSantis or McCormick (ha!), they're either lying to themselves or lying to you.
wapo.st/3xv2cFq2/ Particularly at the state level, this is the future; rigid adherence to a lie not because the candidates believe it (though some certainly do), but because one man controls the GOP from top to bottom.
The demand that leaders embrace and promise to act...
Jun 9 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
1/ A couple quick notes on the hearings tonight...
First, the "ignore it and it will go away" show today from McCarthy, Scalise, and Gretchen Weiners (R-Dress Barn) won't be their only attempt at detailing the hearings.
2/ The idea that no MAGA GOPers are on the committee and therefore won't disrupt the hearing is unlikely to deter the Mutant Parade -- Bad Touch Matt (Gaetz), Gosar, Margie Sloth-Toes, Boebert et al from trying to storm the committee room.
The witnesses from the Trump world will filibuster, bullshit, evade and jerk themselves off on live TV for roughly 40% of the hearings. Everyone will have a long statement at the opening.
May 15 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
1/ In the before times, before the MAGA Republican Troll Party, @EliseStefanik would have pulled the tweet down and moved on with a discreet “I mispoke.”
But the ethos of the emergent authoritarian is a mulish refusal to admit the lie, the mistake, the grand and petty indecency.
2/ She knows — and her staff knows — and her lawyers sure as HELL know that she looks terrible and that the last 48 hour news cycle has been a dumpster atop a mountain of toxic waste.
All her corporate donors wanted the Elise she played behind closed doors still.
May 12 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Let's be clear.
I didn't send that card to you, not did I direct anyone else to, either.
I haven't been in Seattle in over a year, that's not my handwriting, and most importantly, I don't have a single fuck to give about you and haven't bothered to follow your race.
Our strategy isn’t a secret. It works. Here’s what we are doing. /2
Apr 25 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
1/ Let me make a few brief remarks about Elon taking over Twitter.
Call me crazy, but I'm not tearing my (remaining) hair out over this. Despite breathless fantasies on the right that "muh 1st Amendment free speech" will somehow be "restored" to a private platform with a TOS...
2/ ...that will still absolutely moderate content. The delusion at somehow the right can't engage in speech right now on Twitter is risible.
Second, the idea that Daddy Elon is going to return Trump to Twitter is frankly a wake up call y'all need.
Apr 24 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
1/ Macron didn't just beat Le Pen.
He crushed her.
I don't know the French term for "road kill" but this was a resounding, total victory.
There's no upside for the end of the decades-long Le Pen investment by Putin and others.
2/ The phony populism couldn't hide the inner core of her pro-Putin, anti-immigrant, not-so-covert racial appeals.
Putin was -- as Macron ably pointed out in one of the most decisive debate performances in history -- her banker.
Apr 22 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
1/ Let's drill down a little deeper on the doom @gopleader has brought upon himself tonight.
It's a lesson about his character, and that of today's Republican Party.
First, Kevin has long postured himself to donors -- and @reedgalen had this from a *major* donor a few weeks...
2/ ...that Kevin's pitch to these six- and seven-figure types was simple: "You need me as Leader so I can fight off the Trump Wing of the GOP." His pitch to corporate $$$ types is "Après moi, le déluge."
And many of them buy the b.s.
Apr 8 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
1/ A central part of the GOP Senate's pitch to major corporate donors is simple: Mitch McConnell and Washington's most powerful player @HolmesJosh -- the man they call "McConnell's brain" -- hate Trump and they're going to stop him.
A brief note on Holmes first.
@HolmesJosh 2/ Washington has buzzed with the rumor that Josh is part of WinRed's money pool -- he and a few others are reported to take a skim off the top of WinRed's massive tidal wave of small dollar donor money.
Now, almost all of that small-dollar donor money is raised...
Mar 31 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
1/ On a less facetious note, the Florida GOP threatening Disney for disagreeing with them on an ideological position is one more window into the entirely post-partisan nature of the Trump-era Republican Party.
There IS no governing philosophy except raw power.
2/ They've inverted the old model of free markets and limited government completely.
Now, companies under their eye must conform to the ideological whims of the Party. Their army of snitches will report deviations from the Dear Leader's dictates.
Mar 31 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
1/ The idea the media hates Trump because he "called them out" or "exposed their lies" is risible.
It's beyond absurd. He was handed billions in free media, building on a foundation of 14 years on The Apprentice and the rest of his crapulous media-whoredom.
2/ In the Before Times -- early 2016 -- we ran some focus groups on Trump, looking for a way to break off GOP voters from him.
No matter what you told them -- Atlantic City, bankruptcy, adultery, scumbag deals, screwing over vendors -- they kept coming back to...
Mar 25 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
1/ In the Before Times, there were boundaries. There were spoken and unspoken rules of behavior. I'm not the first to observe that the Ginny Thomas story is being greeted by utter silence -- if not outright approval -- on the right.
"So what?" is the reaction.
2/ And others have posed the counterfactual I will add below, but it's important to think this one through given the New Rules.
Imagine for a moment what the Republicans would say if the spouse of a Supreme Court Justice nominated by a Democrat joined in a conspiracy.
A. Drama queen moments designed to get Fox News clips and to run the hamster wheel cycle. (Be a dick, get called on it, go on Fox to whinge about being cancelled, send email for $, repeat.)
2/ B. Tubthumping desire to get Presidential Primary video library for the inevitable "I showed that uppity liberal her place...did you notice she had the audacity to be black?" ads for the MAGA set.
C. Culture war is all they are now. It often works...
Mar 19 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
1/ History doesn't rhyme, but it does have a beat you can dance to:
On Dec 21, 1989 Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceaușescu demanded a massive rally in Bucharest in response to unrest.
bit.ly/3qjWUd32/ For Bucharest at the time, 100,000 was a massive rally by any standard.
It didn't go well.
After 25 years of dictatorship under NC and his wife Melania, communism's end was coming.
Shots (possible fireworks) rang out, and Ceaușescu desperately tried to regain control.
Feb 27 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
1/ Why is Putin rattling the Last Saber and putting Russian nuclear forces on alert?
First, it's because he is losing. He's losing in Ukraine. He's losing as the world unifies against him. He's losing in the mysterious noumenon the Russian political power. He's losing money.
2/ Putin is in the mouth now of the crocodile, if I may slightly modernize Victor Rezun's formulation of how Soviet-era power worked.
He has to win and keep winning to survive.
Feb 26 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
1/ I have a modest proposal in which the US and allies (or hell, some smart private company) at low cost and risk.
Identify Russian armor and aircraft positions in real-time (or near real time) and pipe the information to Telegram, Twitter, and other platforms.
2/ Several benefits: first, it will give UA defense forces better awareness than the Russians have of their own positions.
Second, it will give civilian defenders both warning and targeting.
Third, it's a record for the war crimes tribunals later.
Feb 21 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
1/ Putin's show today -- all the dog and pony, dog-whistle, golden-oldies from K-Tel's Greatest Hits of the Soviet Era -- is an invitation to the West to stand up, take action, and crush his global klept in a sweeping asymmetric tide of lawfare and financial actions.
2/ Putin and his cronies care about hard power and hard cash. Chaos and division here at home (looking at the vast right-wing media apparatus) are Putin strengths.
The same instinct that led the Russian klept to move their assets overseas...
Feb 17 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
1/ We launched a new ad campaign this week that means a lot as Russia provokes a needless war and challenges the Ukraine, NATO, and the international order.