We also have an updated comparison of the mandates from Feb: instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/fut…
We also, once the two sides legal texts were published in May, took a closer look at the key flashpoints:
Worth looking at to get a sense of where the two sides have compromised when we finally get that text...
Dec 21, 2020 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
With 10 days to go, there are three main outcomes of the #Brexit talks: 1) no deal 2) the two sides are still talking but run out of time - qu if can find other ways to buy more time 3) a deal is reached which the UK ratifies & EU provisionally applies
In some ways, option one is the most simple
If the two sides walk away then we dont need to see the govt recalling UK parliament & the european parliament also doesn't need to vote
Aug 12, 2019 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Latest @instituteforgov report looks at what could happen in Parliament when MPs return from summer recess. Depending on the PMs approach, MPs could have limited opportunities to influence the #Brexit process
Short thread on key findings👇
1/
If Johnson does renegotiate a deal, there isn't much time to pass it. He would need to get the Withdrawal Agreement Bill (to implement the deal in UK law) through Parliament before ratification. If conference recess is scheduled as normal, only 22 sitting days 3 Sept-31 Oct
2/
Mar 15, 2019 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
While we've all been distracted by the big #Brexit votes in the Commons - some really interesting happenings in the Lords on the Trade Bill 1/
Last week, peers amended it to to say parliament (*both Houses*) must approve a negotiating mandate & approve a final trade deal before ratification
Also requires approval of mandate/deal by a designated select committees & consultation with the devolved administrations 2/
Nov 15, 2018 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
As things stand there are two key options for the PM
- continue as planned & try to get deal through Parliament
- accept there will be no deal so immediately increase govt planning
In both cases the govt will have to go to parliament, I've set out no deal process below👇1/
EU Withdrawal Act says 3 prospects for no deal: 1) parly votes down the deal 2) PM announces that no deal can be reached by 21 Jan 3) 21 Jan arrives without a deal
In whichever scenario a minister has to make a statement saying what the govt plans to do next 2/
Jul 16, 2018 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
Before the #whitepaper we thought amdts from Tory Remainers would be the big story this week on the #Brexit bills
Instead, after number of govt resignations, all eyes are on Brexiteer amdts to #CustomsBill
But what do they mean & what are some of the other amdts? 1/
ERG amdts
-prevent govt from collecting taxes/duties for territory without reciprocity
-NI can't be in separate customs territory to GB
-have to pass Act of Parl to participate in customs union
-remove powers to govern VAT of goods from territory if in a customs union with it 2/
