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Tom Bevan Profile picture
Tom Bevan
@TomBevanRCP
Co-Founder & President of RealClearPolitics
Oct 25 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Why is Harris visiting Texas? A quick 🧵.

1) Does she really think she can win TX? No. Trump is up 6 in the latest RCP Avg. Could there be a massive poll failure in TX? That's highly unlikely, given where all the other battleground state polls are...

realclearpolling.com/polls/presiden…Image 2) So what's she doing? According to Politico, the plan is to drive her message on abortion rights via another "star-studded" rally featuring Beyonce.

politico.com/news/2024/10/2…Image
Mar 21 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
🧵Who's going to tell her?

@maragay: "The larger risk is in allowing Donald Trump to continue the ongoing impunity that he's enjoyed for too many decades. Anybody else in the United States, if they committed crimes, which he may have done, or if he committed civil fraud as inflating the cost of his real estate assets, anybody else would be prosecuted for that. Anybody else would be held accountable."

The Associated Press, no friend of Donald Trump, found that in 70 YEARS of similar cases of civil fraud, Trump's stood out as unique.

apnews.com/article/trump-…
Image
Mar 17 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
However much you hate the media, it's not enough. Image Btw, I rip on CNN all the time because, well, they're awful. But at least they were far more accurate than many of their colleagues in reporting Trump's comment. Image
Nov 13, 2023 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Battleground state🧵

Biden says he has polling - which he has yet to share - showing him leading Trump in battleground states. Here is where things currently stand..... Georgia: 4 polls taken in the month of October, Trump leads in all four by an average of 5.5%.

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2024/pr…
Jul 20, 2023 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Complete media blackout on IRS whistleblower hearings yesterday. Image Image
Nov 13, 2022 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
The more you dig through the #s the more stunning this election looks. GOP moved the national vote roughly 7 points in their direction from 2020 but will gain only a handful of House seats & make no gains (or may even lose a seat) in the Senate..... despite the fact three of those races took place in states that were razor close in 2020 (GA, AZ, and NV) - and despite the fact Biden's approval rating was in the low 40s in all of them.
Nov 7, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Quick 🧵

Fact: average in-party midterm losses since 1934: 28 House seats and 4 Senate seats.

I have yet to hear a convincing argument for why Dems will do significantly better than average this year, especially taking into account 8% inflation & Biden approval in low 40s. Initially, the argument was that Dobbs was a game-changer. I was skeptical of that from the beginning because, while it energized the Dem base in the short term, the data never supported the claim it would supplant the economy as the most important issue. And it hasn't. /2
Jan 4, 2022 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
1) @DLeonhardt's mea culpa is infuriating on many levels. One of the 1st things we knew abt covid was that kids were at almost no risk. And many parents have been screaming from the start abt the devastating effects of locking kids out of schools.

nytimes.com/2022/01/04/bri… 2) The "country" did not make these decisions, public officials at the state, federal and local level did. The teacher's unions colluded with the CDC to ensure kids stayed home. Local unions & officials in blue states followed suit
Dec 9, 2021 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
This is the most biased, intentionally dishonest, and racially inflammatory story I think I've ever read. Reuters should be ashamed. Gotta 🧵, because the details matter. Here's the story's inflammatory lede, intended to set pulses racing.
Apr 26, 2021 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
1) @Acosta yesterday: "As the nation grapples w/a rash of police killings of black Americans, many of them happening the same week former officer Derek Chauvin was convicted of the murder of George Floyd."

Let's see the receipts for this claim, Jim.

msn.com/en-us/video/ne… 2) If @Acosta was relying on this AP story to claim a "rash of police killings of black Americans," he either didn't read the story or willingly misled his viewers.

apnews.com/article/columb…
Apr 14, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
She'll get to it eventually. In the meantime, let's hop in the time machine and head all the way back to 2019..... Here she is on June 28, 2019.
Dec 20, 2018 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
1. If you want a perfect example of how screwed up the news business is, take a look at these two stories today on Russia sanctions, one from the New York Post and the other from the New York Times. 2. It's all about emphasis. The NY Post wrote up a small 200-word blurb on the news, focusing on the new sanctions on hacking, and relegating the lifting of sanctions on Deripaska to a final, 25-word paragraph.

nypost.com/2018/12/19/whi…