With the 2022 #FFIDP regular season in the books I'm going to post my projections vs reality.
As always.
There's good.
There's bad.
There's meh.
But I put those numbers out. I'd better be honest about how useful/close/decent they are.
A few things:
Players that move teams in-season are included as per original projections, but marked with seasonal numbers.
So for example Bradley Chubb appears on the DEN sheet, but all his MIA numbers count.
Sep 12, 2020 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
Safety is the most interesting position in the NFL.
It's right at the front of schematic innovation.
But it's poorly understood - because a lot of safety play happens off camera [and far away from the ball].
Here's some info from the game this week. #ChiefsKingdom #WeAreTexans
Firstly the guys you all love: Honey Badger.
Here's where he lined up.
Over a third in the slot.
Some in the box.
Deep quite a bit.
Now often you'll hear people call him a strong safety.
That's just an inadequate term.
Sep 8, 2020 • 40 tweets • 9 min read
With rosters pretty set before the start of the season I thought I'd share team-by-team #FFIDP projections.
Let's gooooooooooooooooooooo............
Cardinals
Jun 17, 2020 • 22 tweets • 4 min read
I did a thing.
I wanted to look at how much injured QBs affected coaches and teams. So I did some fiddling with data from the past few years.
Here we go #Thread
My method was fairly simple.
I went back through the past 4 years [I had the data handy] and looked at how often starting QBs missed games through injury.
I looked at the PFF grade for the starter and the replacement.
May 3, 2020 • 23 tweets • 7 min read
Some thoughts on Anthony McFarland.
I've seen him creeping higher and higher in rookie drafts.
The logic goes that the Steelers want to use James Conner less, and McFarland was picked fairly early so he's got a job.
I'm unconvinced. #Thread
So the first thing is team RB approach - the Steelers under Tomlin were traditionally a "lead back" team.
Which is why Conner [and Lev Bell before him] had such great seasons.
But that appeared to change last year. They never showed any intention to have a lead back
Mar 28, 2020 • 37 tweets • 9 min read
OK.
The ongoing QB megathread starts up again.
8 teams left to cover. #Thread...
Next - the Jets.
Spoiler: I don't think Sam Darnold is very good.
He's still crazy young and he might get better but at the moment he's not been good and I'm not a believer in ageing=improving.
There have been lot of QBs who were bad young and never got good.
Mar 27, 2020 • 21 tweets • 5 min read
OK. QB numbers #Thread #3 of the day.
[show me what a great Friday you're having with a high-energy, positive LETS GOOOO gif].
The Chargers.
It seems like Tyrod Taylor is getting the first shot right?
I still think it's weird they haven't gone after Jameis, Cam or Dalton.
But there's plenty of time.
No point grasping.
Mar 27, 2020 • 27 tweets • 7 min read
OK.
I shared thoughts on the first 8 teams QB situations this morning.
This is going to be the #Thread thread for the next 8...
The Cowboys are up first.
So here's a look at Rayne Dakota Prescott.
He's one of the layers that has pleasantly surprised me.
According to the way I measure and grade he's been consistently excellent.
Mar 21, 2020 • 20 tweets • 4 min read
With Todd Gurley in Atlanta I thought I'd share this.
It shows pass/rush attempts for the last decade.
The 2019 Falcons were historically pass-heavy.
The only teams in the last decade to pass more were the 2012 Lions and the 2018 Steelers.
If you remember the 2012 Lions it was the year Matt Stafford threw the ball 727 times.
727!
That's 45 attempts per game.
He still only managed 20 TDs which was ridiculously low.
His 6.8 yds/att was awful too.
Weird year
Feb 14, 2020 • 34 tweets • 10 min read
Another day, another RB #Thread
When talking about RBs one of my main tenets is that coaches tend to have certain roles for backs - and slot players into those roles.
Rather than building an offense around the capabilities of the players at their disposal.
Jul 21, 2018 • 7 tweets • 1 min read
New league idea: vampire.
Normal start-up draft except one team does not get to pick at all. They just have to make a line up from waivers.
This team is the Vampire.
Every time the Vampire team wins a weekly matchup they have to swap one of their starting line-up with one of their opponents at the same position.
So they'll start weak but with each win get a bit stronger.
If they manage to beat a good team they'll grow much more powerful
